275 Evans City Rd · Homeacre-Lyndora, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lots of extra storage in home and garage - some newer flooring - huge Dining Room – eat-in Kitchen-newer windows and H20. Nice side porch and easy access for parking - garage has a carport - level property - great location.
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Enclosed sunroom
- Living room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Covered, detached garage; Total of 4 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Resale property; Three stories
- Construction: Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer
Interior
- Kitchen: Main-level kitchen
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms (three listed on the upper level)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating (gas); Wall unit cooling
- Interior features: Interior entry basement; One fireplace located in the family/living/great room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $160 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.8% in Homeacre-Lyndora — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Butler Area SD (town): math 41% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #181 of 539 in PA (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Butler Area Ihs (math 25% / reading 55%, grade F, #257 of 512 statewide, top 52%, 1,342 students, 47% FRL); Butler Area Shs (math 72% / reading 30%, grade D+, #123 of 437 statewide, top 28%, 1,989 students, 31% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+20.4%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 987 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Butler County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $6k; list at $140k implies a 2088% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.89%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $264,696
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 275 Evans City Rd | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,614 (0%) | 0mo | $140,000 | $87 | 96 |
| 251 Evans City Rd | 0.14mi | 4/1.0 | 1,700 (+5%) | 8mo | $278,000 | $164 | 78 |
| 140 Artlee Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,651 (+2%) | 18mo | $125,000 | $76 | 61 |
| 110 Avon Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,563 (-3%) | 15mo | $273,900 | $175 | 53 |
| 222 Pinewood Dr | 0.19mi | 4/1.5 | 1,400 (-13%) | 18mo | $238,500 | $170 | 52 |
| 243 Alameda Rd | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,523 (-6%) | 22mo | $183,900 | $121 | 50 |
| 105 Woodbury Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,638 (+2%) | 22mo | $260,000 | $159 | 48 |
| 208 Clayton Ave | 0.26mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 1,855 (+15%) | 8mo | $346,000 | $187 | 42 |
| 402 Acre Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,380 (-14%) | 3mo | $245,000 | $178 | 39 |
| 219 Havenhill Dr | 0.69mi | 4/2.5 | 1,856 (+15%) | 9mo | $320,000 | $172 | 29 |
| 155 David Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,856 (+15%) | 10mo | $262,700 | $142 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-4,769
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $44,148
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16001
- Home prices YoY
- -31.7%
- Rents YoY
- 20.4%
- Active inventory
- 206
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,457 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$199 /mo · $2,384/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$306
- Net cashflow
- $160
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $239 | -5% $199 | +0% $160 | +5% $120 | +10% $81 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $45 | -5% $102 | +0% $160 | +5% $217 | +10% $275 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $230 | -0.5pp $195 | base $160 | +0.5pp $124 | +1.0pp $87 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 468 Whitestown Rd Unit A Meridian, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1210 | $1,400 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-08status $140,000 Pending 133 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Contingent 133 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $140,000 Contingent 129 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Contingent 128 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Contingent 127 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Contingent 126 DOM
-
2026-03-26historical Contingent
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2026-02-27price $140,000
-
2026-01-25$150,000 Active
-
2025-09-30soldstatus $6,400
-
2021-10-29soldstatus $209,000 Closed 229-char remark
Show marketing remark (229 chars)
Lots of extra storage in home and garage - some newer flooring - huge Dining Room – eat-in Kitchen-newer windows and H20. Nice side porch and easy access for parking - garage has a carport - level property - great location.
-
2021-09-29historical Contingent 229-char remark
Show marketing remark (229 chars)
Lots of extra storage in home and garage - some newer flooring - huge Dining Room – eat-in Kitchen-newer windows and H20. Nice side porch and easy access for parking - garage has a carport - level property - great location.
-
2021-09-27$175,000 Active 229-char remark
Show marketing remark (229 chars)
Lots of extra storage in home and garage - some newer flooring - huge Dining Room – eat-in Kitchen-newer windows and H20. Nice side porch and easy access for parking - garage has a carport - level property - great location.
-
2018-04-26historical Expired 223-char remark
Show marketing remark (223 chars)
LOTS OF EXTRA STORAGE IN HOME AND GARAGE - SOME NEWER FLOORING - HUGE DINING ROOM - EAT IN KITCHEN-NEWER WINDOWS AND H20. NICE SIDE PORCH AND EASY ACCESS FOR PARKING - GARAGE HAS A CARPORT - LEVEL PROPERTY - GREAT LOCATION.
-
2017-04-26$165,000 Active 223-char remark
Show marketing remark (223 chars)
LOTS OF EXTRA STORAGE IN HOME AND GARAGE - SOME NEWER FLOORING - HUGE DINING ROOM - EAT IN KITCHEN-NEWER WINDOWS AND H20. NICE SIDE PORCH AND EASY ACCESS FOR PARKING - GARAGE HAS A CARPORT - LEVEL PROPERTY - GREAT LOCATION.
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2017-01-09historical Withdrawn
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2016-10-10price $159,000
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2016-08-30$165,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,384 · $199/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,384 · $199/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,483
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$2,384
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,399
- − Management
- −$1,399
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$313
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$75
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,993/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Butler Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4204590
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,348
- Composite
- 42.65/100
- National rank
- #3180
- State rank
- #181 of 539 in PA
Livability — Homeacre-Lyndora
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Homeacre-Lyndora, PA
- County
- Butler County · 73,107 people
- City population
- 1,109
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,234
- Household income
- $63,635
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1441.0
Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 190,777 people
- By 2030
- 191,476 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 189,474 · -0.7%
- By 2050
- 182,050 · -4.6%
- By 2075
- 159,526 · -16.4%
- By 2100
- 129,028 · -32.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Serbian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Butler
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.2) · D 33.5% · R 65.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -32.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.2 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.40%
- Current HPI
- 222.4445
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 20.36%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-15.2% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $140,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-01-25 Listed $150,000 West Penn MLS
- 2025-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $6,400 Public Records
- 2021-10-29 Sold (MLS) $209,000 West Penn MLS
- 2021-09-29 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2021-09-27 Listed $175,000 West Penn MLS
- 2018-04-26 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2017-04-26 Listed $165,000 West Penn MLS
- 2017-01-09 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2016-10-10 Price Changed $159,000 West Penn MLS
- 2016-08-30 Listed $165,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2026): $2,384 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…