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275 Evans City Rd
C+ Composite 60.39
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

275 Evans City Rd · Homeacre-Lyndora, PA 16001
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,614 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 133 Days on market
Built 1929 0.27 ac lot Est $265k · 47% under ↓ 15% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Lots of extra storage in home and garage - some newer flooring - huge Dining Room – eat-in Kitchen-newer windows and H20. Nice side porch and easy access for parking - garage has a carport - level property - great location.

Key facts

  • Formal dining room
  • Enclosed sunroom
  • Living room

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENFORMAL DINING ROOMLIVING ROOMFIREPLACEENCLOSED SUNROOMDETACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered, detached garage; Total of 4 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Resale property; Three stories
  • Construction: Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer

Interior

  • Kitchen: Main-level kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms (three listed on the upper level)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating (gas); Wall unit cooling
  • Interior features: Interior entry basement; One fireplace located in the family/living/great room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $160 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.8% in Homeacre-Lyndora — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Butler Area SD (town): math 41% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #181 of 539 in PA (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Butler Area Ihs (math 25% / reading 55%, grade F, #257 of 512 statewide, top 52%, 1,342 students, 47% FRL); Butler Area Shs (math 72% / reading 30%, grade D+, #123 of 437 statewide, top 28%, 1,989 students, 31% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+20.4%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 987 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Butler County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $6k; list at $140k implies a 2088% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $123,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.66%
Cash-on-cash
4.89%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$264,696
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
275 Evans City Rd 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,614 (0%) 0mo $140,000 $87 96
251 Evans City Rd 0.14mi 4/1.0 1,700 (+5%) 8mo $278,000 $164 78
140 Artlee Ave 0.27mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,651 (+2%) 18mo $125,000 $76 61
110 Avon Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,563 (-3%) 15mo $273,900 $175 53
222 Pinewood Dr 0.19mi 4/1.5 1,400 (-13%) 18mo $238,500 $170 52
243 Alameda Rd 0.28mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,523 (-6%) 22mo $183,900 $121 50
105 Woodbury Dr 0.43mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,638 (+2%) 22mo $260,000 $159 48
208 Clayton Ave 0.26mi 3/3.5 (-1) 1,855 (+15%) 8mo $346,000 $187 42
402 Acre Ave 0.59mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,380 (-14%) 3mo $245,000 $178 39
219 Havenhill Dr 0.69mi 4/2.5 1,856 (+15%) 9mo $320,000 $172 29
155 David Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,856 (+15%) 10mo $262,700 $142 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.1%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-4,769
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
11.6%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$44,148
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16001

Home prices YoY
-31.7%
Rents YoY
20.4%
Active inventory
206
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,457 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$199 /mo · $2,384/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$306
Net cashflow
$160

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,255
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $239 -5% $199 +0% $160 +5% $120 +10% $81
Rent -10% $45 -5% $102 +0% $160 +5% $217 +10% $275
Rate -1.0pp $230 -0.5pp $195 base $160 +0.5pp $124 +1.0pp $87

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
468 Whitestown Rd Unit A Meridian, PA 3.0 1.5 1210 $1,400 $1.16 45d 1 0.80mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    status $140,000 Pending 133 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $140,000 Contingent 133 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $140,000 Contingent 129 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $140,000 Contingent 128 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $140,000 Contingent 127 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,000 Contingent 126 DOM
  7. 2026-03-26
    historical Contingent
  8. 2026-02-27
    price $140,000
  9. 2026-01-25
    listed $150,000 Active
  10. 2025-09-30
    soldstatus $6,400
  11. 2021-10-29
    soldstatus $209,000 Closed 229-char remark
    Show marketing remark (229 chars)

    Lots of extra storage in home and garage - some newer flooring - huge Dining Room – eat-in Kitchen-newer windows and H20. Nice side porch and easy access for parking - garage has a carport - level property - great location.

  12. 2021-09-29
    historical Contingent 229-char remark
    Show marketing remark (229 chars)

    Lots of extra storage in home and garage - some newer flooring - huge Dining Room – eat-in Kitchen-newer windows and H20. Nice side porch and easy access for parking - garage has a carport - level property - great location.

  13. 2021-09-27
    listed $175,000 Active 229-char remark
    Show marketing remark (229 chars)

    Lots of extra storage in home and garage - some newer flooring - huge Dining Room – eat-in Kitchen-newer windows and H20. Nice side porch and easy access for parking - garage has a carport - level property - great location.

  14. 2018-04-26
    historical Expired 223-char remark
    Show marketing remark (223 chars)

    LOTS OF EXTRA STORAGE IN HOME AND GARAGE - SOME NEWER FLOORING - HUGE DINING ROOM - EAT IN KITCHEN-NEWER WINDOWS AND H20. NICE SIDE PORCH AND EASY ACCESS FOR PARKING - GARAGE HAS A CARPORT - LEVEL PROPERTY - GREAT LOCATION.

  15. 2017-04-26
    listed $165,000 Active 223-char remark
    Show marketing remark (223 chars)

    LOTS OF EXTRA STORAGE IN HOME AND GARAGE - SOME NEWER FLOORING - HUGE DINING ROOM - EAT IN KITCHEN-NEWER WINDOWS AND H20. NICE SIDE PORCH AND EASY ACCESS FOR PARKING - GARAGE HAS A CARPORT - LEVEL PROPERTY - GREAT LOCATION.

  16. 2017-01-09
    historical Withdrawn
  17. 2016-10-10
    price $159,000
  18. 2016-08-30
    listed $165,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,384 · $199/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,384 · $199/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,483
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$2,384
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,399
− Management
−$1,399
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable loss
−$313
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$75
After-tax cash flow
$1,993/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Butler Area SD
NCES district ID
4204590
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$49,348
Composite
42.65/100
National rank
#3180
State rank
#181 of 539 in PA

Livability — Homeacre-Lyndora

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Homeacre-Lyndora, PA
County
Butler County · 73,107 people
City population
1,109
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
39,234
Household income
$63,635
Rent vs Own
31.6% rent · 68.4% own
Severe rent burden
1441.0

Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
190,777 people
By 2030
191,476 · +0.4%
By 2040
189,474 · -0.7%
By 2050
182,050 · -4.6%
By 2075
159,526 · -16.4%
By 2100
129,028 · -32.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Serbian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Butler

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.2) · D 33.5% · R 65.7%
2008→2024 swing
-4.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -32.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.2 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.40%
Current HPI
222.4445
Rent YoY
▲ 20.36%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-15.2% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-26 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2026-02-27 Price Changed $140,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-01-25 Listed $150,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $6,400 Public Records
  • 2021-10-29 Sold (MLS) $209,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2021-09-29 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2021-09-27 Listed $175,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2018-04-26 Delisted West Penn MLS
  • 2017-04-26 Listed $165,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2017-01-09 Delisted West Penn MLS
  • 2016-10-10 Price Changed $159,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2016-08-30 Listed $165,000 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,384 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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