6 Fortunato Rd · Hancock, NY
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.6/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent location and construction. This home will make a cozy first home or a convenient second home for fishermen. Easy to care for and lots of storage for boats and toys. Craft room in basement could be converted to a third bedroom. Must see, this will not last!
Key facts
- Lots of storage
- 0.56 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-113 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $159k (11.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (10.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.4% in Hancock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#454 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities D, commute F.
- Hancock Central School District (rural): math 40% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #649 of 755 in NY (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 66 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Delaware County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 262 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $140k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 262 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.37%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $347,159
- List price
- $179,000
- Delta
- -48.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.80×
- Total profit
- $90,413
- Equity at exit
- $161,257
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.43×
- Total profit
- $272,120
- Equity at exit
- $347,758
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13783
- Home prices YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 57
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,600 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax from tax record
- −$308 /mo · $3,696/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $-113
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-11 | -5% $-62 | +0% $-113 | +5% $-163 | +10% $-214 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-239 | -5% $-176 | +0% $-113 | +5% $-50 | +10% $14 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-23 | -0.5pp $-67 | base $-113 | +0.5pp $-159 | +1.0pp $-206 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 318 E Main St Apt 2 Hancock, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,600 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-31status $179,000 Pending 262 DOM
-
2026-04-07price $179,000 266-char remark
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
Excellent location and construction. This home will make a cozy first home or a convenient second home for fishermen. Easy to care for and lots of storage for boats and toys. Craft room in basement could be converted to a third bedroom. Must see, this will not last!
-
2025-09-24status Active 266-char remark
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
Excellent location and construction. This home will make a cozy first home or a convenient second home for fishermen. Easy to care for and lots of storage for boats and toys. Craft room in basement could be converted to a third bedroom. Must see, this will not last!
-
2025-09-14status Pending 266-char remark
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
Excellent location and construction. This home will make a cozy first home or a convenient second home for fishermen. Easy to care for and lots of storage for boats and toys. Craft room in basement could be converted to a third bedroom. Must see, this will not last!
-
2025-08-31$189,000 Active 266-char remark
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
Excellent location and construction. This home will make a cozy first home or a convenient second home for fishermen. Easy to care for and lots of storage for boats and toys. Craft room in basement could be converted to a third bedroom. Must see, this will not last!
-
2021-02-10soldstatus $140,000
-
2021-01-19soldstatus $140,000 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
Picture perfect ranch fits into the landscaped yard and forms an ideal picture. Just outside the Village of Hancock, so it is convenient to everything. Well maintained home is ready to move in. Delaware river sits just down the hill, enjoy fishing and kayaking all summer long. Perennial gardens provide color to the landscape nearly all year.
-
2021-01-19soldstatus $140,000
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
Picture perfect ranch fits into the landscaped yard and forms an ideal picture. Just outside the Village of Hancock, so it is convenient to everything. Well maintained home is ready to move in. Delaware river sits just down the hill, enjoy fishing and kayaking all summer long. Perennial gardens provide color to the landscape nearly all year.
-
2020-10-10$150,000 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
Picture perfect ranch fits into the landscaped yard and forms an ideal picture. Just outside the Village of Hancock, so it is convenient to everything. Well maintained home is ready to move in. Delaware river sits just down the hill, enjoy fishing and kayaking all summer long. Perennial gardens provide color to the landscape nearly all year.
-
2020-10-10$150,000
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
Picture perfect ranch fits into the landscaped yard and forms an ideal picture. Just outside the Village of Hancock, so it is convenient to everything. Well maintained home is ready to move in. Delaware river sits just down the hill, enjoy fishing and kayaking all summer long. Perennial gardens provide color to the landscape nearly all year.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,696 · $308/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,696 · $308/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$3,696
- − Insurance
- −$1,562
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,536
- − Management
- −$1,536
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable loss
- −$4,364
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,047
- After-tax cash flow
- $-307/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hancock Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3613560
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,208
- Composite
- 35.99/100
- National rank
- #9539
- State rank
- #649 of 755 in NY
Livability — Hancock
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #454
- US rank
- #7935
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,200
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,668 people
- By 2030
- 40,337 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 35,514 · -16.8%
- By 2050
- 31,265 · -26.7%
- By 2075
- 24,455 · -42.7%
- By 2100
- 19,529 · -54.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Serbian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.8) · D 40.1% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -5.2pp · 2024: -19.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.8 2020: R+18.4 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+9.6 2008: R+5.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.62%
- Current HPI
- 484.0977
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+19.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $179,000 UNYREIS
- 2025-09-24 Relisted — UNYREIS
- 2025-09-14 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2025-08-31 Listed $189,000 UNYREIS
- 2021-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2021-01-19 Sold (MLS) $140,000 ODBOR
- 2021-01-19 Sold (MLS) $140,000 UNYREIS
- 2020-10-10 Listed $150,000 ODBOR
- 2020-10-10 Listed $150,000 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,696 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…