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623 W Arch St
B- Composite 69.26
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,995

623 W Arch St · Pottsville, PA 17901
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,374 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 632 Days on market
Built 1926 1,307 sqft lot $73/sqft · 54% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom Pottsville Home. Within walking distance to the new Alvernia Collegetown campus. Home features both Electric and oil heat. Easy access to Route 61 for travel. Only 1 hour to Allentown & 2 1/2 hours to NYC. Sold As-is. Cash sales only. Call today for info!

Key facts

  • Built 1926
  • Listed 631 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $343 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 6.1% in Pottsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#442 in PA, #4,025 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
  • Pottsville Area SD (town): math 29% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #395 of 539 in PA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 177 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 632 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $34k; list at $100k implies a 198% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,995 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 632 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
11.08%
Cash-on-cash
17.08%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$64,783
List price
$99,995
Delta
54.35%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
800 Mine St 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,392 (+1%) 3mo $35,000 $25 88
901 Fairview St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,388 (+1%) 5mo $145,000 $104 77
607 N 8th St 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+2%) 10mo $196,000 $140 69
331 E Arch St 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,300 (-5%) 11mo $80,000 $62 61
939 S Seneca St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,322 (-4%) 13mo $205,000 $155 56
241 Peacock St 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,242 (-10%) 2mo $97,000 $78 55
1507 W Market St 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,260 (-8%) 6mo $194,000 $154 54
326 E Race St 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,530 (+11%) 7mo $90,000 $59 52
1308 Mount Hope Ave 0.55mi 2/— (-1) 1,240 (-10%) 2mo $259,000 $209 52
103 N 16th St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,264 (-8%) 11mo $130,500 $103 45
1401 Mount Hope Ave 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,478 (+8%) 9mo $175,000 $118 45
1414 Mt Hope Ave 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,240 (-10%) 7mo $80,000 $65 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.7% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.3%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$9,434
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
2.89×
Total profit
$52,780
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $27,999 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17901

Home prices YoY
-21.2%
Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
177
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,345 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$98 /mo · $1,179/yr
Insurance
$42
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$283
Net cashflow
$343

Break-even live

Break-even rent $911
Max offer price $99,995
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $400 -5% $371 +0% $343 +5% $315 +10% $286
Rent -10% $237 -5% $290 +0% $343 +5% $396 +10% $449
Rate -1.0pp $393 -0.5pp $368 base $343 +0.5pp $317 +1.0pp $291

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,999
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
631 W Race St Pottsville, PA 3.0 1.0 1340 $1,200 $0.90 44d 1 0.08mi
909 Mahantongo St Unit 1 Pottsville, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 44d 1 0.21mi
321 N 3rd St Pottsville, PA 4.0 1.5 1260 $1,400 $1.11 44d 1 0.22mi
119 S 11th St Pottsville, PA 3.0 1.5 1140 $1,450 $1.27 44d 1 0.28mi
210 Harrison St Pottsville, PA 3.0 1.0 1078 $1,200 $1.11 44d 1 0.37mi
612 N 2nd St Pottsville, PA 2.0 1.0 1742 $1,295 $0.74 44d 1 0.39mi
426 Adams St Pottsville, PA 3.0 1.0 1104 $1,350 $1.22 44d 1 0.56mi
517 E Arch St Pottsville, PA 4.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 44d 1 0.62mi
525 E Market St Pottsville, PA 4.0 1.0 1120 $1,250 $1.12 44d 1 0.64mi
536 E Arch St Pottsville, PA 2.0 1.0 1360 $975 $0.72 44d 1 0.68mi
8 N Wolfe St Pottsville, PA 3.0 1.0 1260 $1,795 $1.42 44d 1 0.76mi
2063 King Ave Pottsville, PA 3.0 2.5 1656 $1,600 $0.97 44d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,995 Active 632 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,995 Active 630 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,995 Active 629 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,995 Active 628 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,995 Active 627 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,995 Active 626 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,995 Active 624 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,995 Active 623 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,995 Active 620 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,995 Active 619 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,995 Active 618 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,995 Active 617 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,995 Active 615 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,995 Active 614 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,995 Active 613 DOM
  16. 2025-12-08
    status Active 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom Pottsville Home. Within walking distance to the new Alvernia Collegetown campus. Home features both Electric and oil heat. Easy access to Route 61 for travel. Only 1 hour to Allentown & 2 1/2 hours to NYC. Sold As-is. Cash sales only. Call today for info!

  17. 2025-12-01
    historical 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom Pottsville Home. Within walking distance to the new Alvernia Collegetown campus. Home features both Electric and oil heat. Easy access to Route 61 for travel. Only 1 hour to Allentown & 2 1/2 hours to NYC. Sold As-is. Cash sales only. Call today for info!

  18. 2025-05-22
    price $99,995 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom Pottsville Home. Within walking distance to the new Alvernia Collegetown campus. Home features both Electric and oil heat. Easy access to Route 61 for travel. Only 1 hour to Allentown & 2 1/2 hours to NYC. Sold As-is. Cash sales only. Call today for info!

  19. 2024-09-17
    listed $125,000 Active 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom Pottsville Home. Within walking distance to the new Alvernia Collegetown campus. Home features both Electric and oil heat. Easy access to Route 61 for travel. Only 1 hour to Allentown & 2 1/2 hours to NYC. Sold As-is. Cash sales only. Call today for info!

  20. 2024-09-01
    historical
  21. 2024-02-23
    listed $95,000 Active
  22. 2023-12-05
    soldstatus $33,500 Closed
  23. 2023-11-13
    historical Active Under Contract
  24. 2023-11-05
    price $42,900
  25. 2023-11-03
    price $43,900
  26. 2023-11-03
    status Active
  27. 2023-09-18
    historical
  28. 2023-09-08
    price $34,900
  29. 2023-09-06
    listed $39,000 Active
  30. 2014-07-16
    soldstatus $13,000
  31. 2007-05-24
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,179 · $98/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,380 · $115/mo
Expected delta
+$200/yr (+$17/mo · 17.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,145
− Mortgage interest
−$5,601
− Property taxes
−$1,179
− Insurance
−$1,166
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,292
− Management
−$1,292
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$2,706
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$649
After-tax cash flow
$3,467/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pottsville Area SD
NCES district ID
4219710
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$39,157
Composite
31.32/100
National rank
#6002
State rank
#395 of 539 in PA

Livability — Pottsville

Score
75/100
State rank
#442
US rank
#4025

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pottsville, PA
County
Schuylkill County · 22,371 people
City population
22,371
Metro
Pottsville, PA
Population (ZIP)
22,371
Household income
$62,484
Rent vs Own
29.9% rent · 70.1% own
Severe rent burden
622.0

Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
137,447 people
By 2030
133,121 · -3.1%
By 2040
124,172 · -9.7%
By 2050
115,611 · -15.9%
By 2075
100,796 · -26.7%
By 2100
86,667 · -36.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Iranian 5% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
2008→2024 swing
-33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.14%
Current HPI
200.6516
Rent YoY
▲ 5.70%
Metro
Pottsville, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+566.6% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-08 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-05-22 Price Changed $99,995 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-09-17 Listed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-09-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-02-23 Listed $95,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-12-05 Sold (MLS) $33,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-11-13 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-11-05 Price Changed $42,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-11-03 Price Changed $43,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-11-03 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-09-18 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-09-08 Price Changed $34,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-09-06 Listed $39,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
  • 2007-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,179 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…