261 Wesley Chapel Rd · Monarch Mill, SC 29379

$52,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,092 sqft · Other public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1955

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

2-bedroom, 1-bath, 1,091 sq ft on 0.87 acres. Property needs renovating. Sold as-is, cash buyers only! $52,000 OBO.

Key facts

• Built 1955

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $52k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $501 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $52k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#229 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Union 01 (town): math 23% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #60 of 80 in SC (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 57 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $360 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Union County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $11k; list at $52k implies a 359% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $52,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.00% ✓
• Cap rate: 17.86%
• Cash-on-cash: 41.30%
• DSCR: 2.84
• GRM: 4.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 37.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.61×
• Total profit: $23,478
• Equity at exit: $7,753

10-year hold

• IRR: 44.4%
• Equity multiple: 5.22×
• Total profit: $61,500
• Equity at exit: $4,496

Cash invested: $14,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State South Carolina: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 29379

• Home prices YoY: -31.6%
• Active inventory: 121
• Price-to-rent: 4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,038 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$273
• Tax from tax record: −$25 /mo · $298/yr
• Insurance: −$22
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$218
• Net cashflow: $501

Break-even live

Break-even rent $404

Max offer price $52,000

Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $13,000
• Closing costs: $1,560
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-26
   listed $52,000 Active
2. 2006-01-17
   soldstatus $11,332

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $298 · $25/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $298 · $25/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,459
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,913
• − Property taxes: −$298
• − Insurance: −$260
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$997
• − Management: −$997
• − Depreciation: −$1,513
• Taxable income: $5,482
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,316
• After-tax cash flow: $4,697/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Union 01
• NCES district ID: 4503750
• Math proficiency: 23% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 33% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $34,709
• Composite: 23.05/100
• National rank: #7971
• State rank: #60 of 80 in SC

Livability — Monarch Mill

• Score: 60/100
• State rank: #229
• US rank: #19463

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 17,580

Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 25,518 people
• By 2030: 24,099 · -5.6%
• By 2040: 21,133 · -17.2%
• By 2050: 18,314 · -28.2%
• By 2075: 13,235 · -48.1%
• By 2100: 9,565 · -62.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (62%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 62% Black 31% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Union

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+32.7) · D 33.2% · R 65.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -21.5pp toward R · 2008: -11.2pp · 2024: -32.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+32.7 2020: R+24.5 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+6.5 2008: R+11.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -72.94%
• Current HPI: 158.1075
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.51%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Packaging	1	$7B

Price history

+358.9% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-26 Listed $52,000 FSBO.com
• 2006-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $11,332 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $298 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.