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1947 Sir Richard Ct
B+ Composite 78.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0

$74,900

1947 Sir Richard Ct · Decatur, IL 62526
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,239 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1970 9,148 sqft lot Est $116k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

INVESTORS! Located in the Argenta/Oreana School District, this 3 bedroom ranch is tucked away on a cul-de-sac in the Camelot Addition. Large eat-in kitchen, spacious laundry room leads to the backyard. 2-car attached garage. The front and back yards are fenced - allowing pets and children to safely play. All appliances stay. Being Sold AS IS. Will not pass VA or FHA requirements

Key facts

  • Large eat-in kitchen
  • Camelot addition
  • Cul-de-sac

Tags

ARGENTA/OREANA SCHOOL DISTRICTCUL-DE-SACCAMELOT ADDITIONLARGE EAT-IN KITCHENSPACIOUS LAUNDRY ROOMFENCED FRONT AND BACK YARDS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Slab foundation; Vinyl siding; Located in Camelot Add subdivision; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Slab foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Built as a one-story home
  • Exterior features: Asphalt shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Range hood; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Fenced (yard)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $515 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 7.0% in Decatur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,076 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Argenta-Oreana CUSD 1 (rural): math 13% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #436 of 620 in IL (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 63 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macon County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $74,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.82%
Cap rate
14.55%
Cash-on-cash
29.47%
DSCR
2.31
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$116,466
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1768 Barrington Ave 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,260 (+2%) 9mo $119,000 $94 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.21% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.6%
Equity multiple
2.11×
Total profit
$23,208
Equity at exit
$13,817
10-year hold
IRR
32.3%
Equity multiple
4.09×
Total profit
$64,844
Equity at exit
$11,120

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62526

Home prices YoY
-1.2%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,364 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$138 /mo · $1,662/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$286
Net cashflow
$515

Break-even live

Break-even rent $712
Max offer price $74,900
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $557 -5% $536 +0% $515 +5% $494 +10% $473
Rent -10% $407 -5% $461 +0% $515 +5% $569 +10% $623
Rate -1.0pp $553 -0.5pp $534 base $515 +0.5pp $496 +1.0pp $476

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,725
Closing costs
$2,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4145 N Camelot Dr Decatur, IL 4.0 1.5 1449 $1,400 $0.97 22d 1 0.18mi
1350 E Wellington Way Unit 1330-3A Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 858 $825 $0.96 45d 1 0.67mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    remarks 382-char remark
  2. 2026-06-19
    listed $74,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,662 · $138/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,681 · $140/mo
Expected delta
+$19/yr (+$2/mo · 1.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,368
− Mortgage interest
−$4,196
− Property taxes
−$1,662
− Insurance
−$374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,309
− Management
−$1,309
− Depreciation
−$2,179
Taxable income
$5,338
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,281
After-tax cash flow
$4,900/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Argenta-Oreana CUSD 1
NCES district ID
1703990
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$57,853
Composite
16.97/100
National rank
#9133
State rank
#436 of 620 in IL

Livability — Decatur

Score
59/100
State rank
#1076
US rank
#20533

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Decatur, IL
County
Macon County · 78,333 people
City population
78,333
Metro
Decatur, IL
Population (ZIP)
30,483
Household income
$49,062
Rent vs Own
39.2% rent · 60.8% own
Severe rent burden
1041.0

Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
99,568 people
By 2030
94,973 · -4.6%
By 2040
85,250 · -14.4%
By 2050
75,920 · -23.8%
By 2075
55,962 · -43.8%
By 2100
36,468 · -63.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 22% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macon

2024 margin
R (+18.9) · D 39.8% · R 58.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -18.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.9 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+18.1 2012: R+5.2 2008: D+1.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.21%
Current HPI
182.871
Rent YoY
Metro
Decatur, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $74,900 CIBR

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,662 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…