1015 Mount Vernon Cir · Barboursville, WV
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$83,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move in ready one story all brick home in Barboursville. This home offers 3 bedrooms & 1 bath with lots of natural light. Nice size living room and large kitchen with dining area and island for extra seating. Deck right off kitchen for entertaining and fenced in yard. Convenient location close to Huntington Mall, grocery stores, restaurants, and interstate. Newer roof and windows. Free trash pickup. Great opportunity, call to see today!
Key facts
- Low traffic street
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Built 1970
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $84k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $255 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 3.6% in Barboursville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#8 in WV, #1,207 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+.
- Cabell County Schools (urban): math 31% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #13 of 55 in WV (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 61 units permitted in Cabell County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $577 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 269 days — a 12% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $36k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 269 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.08%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $203,616
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1051 Mount Vernon Cir | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+7%) | 2mo | $169,000 | $130 | 78 |
| 62 River Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-14%) | 0mo | $174,800 | $168 | 58 |
| 1017 Mount Vernon Cir | 0.01mi | 3/1.5 | 1,054 (-13%) | 22mo | $165,000 | $157 | 57 |
| 1972 Hash Ridge Rd | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,332 (+10%) | 19mo | $270,000 | $203 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $2,745
- Equity at exit
- $12,450
- IRR
- 12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $23,467
- Equity at exit
- $7,220
Cash invested: $23,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25504
- Home prices YoY
- -22.8%
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,107 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$438
- Tax from tax record
- −$147 /mo · $1,761/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$232
- Net cashflow
- $255
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,875
- Closing costs
- $2,505
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
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2026-04-13status Pending
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2026-04-13historical
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2026-03-16status Active
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2026-02-16status Active
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2026-02-04status Pending
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2026-01-19status Active
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2026-01-16historical
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2025-12-16price $83,500
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2025-11-25status Active
-
2025-11-20historical
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2025-10-20price $88,500
-
2025-10-06status Active
-
2025-10-03historical
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2025-09-03price $98,500
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2025-08-21status Active
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2025-08-18historical
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2025-07-18status Active
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2025-07-18price $104,900
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2025-07-18historical
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2025-06-30status Active
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2025-06-28historical
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2025-06-16status Active
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2025-06-14historical
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2024-08-26$119,900 Active
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2021-06-16soldstatus $106,000 446-char remark
Show marketing remark (446 chars)
Move in ready one story all brick home in Barboursville. This home offers 3 bedrooms & 1 bath with lots of natural light. Nice size living room and large kitchen with dining area and island for extra seating. Deck right off kitchen for entertaining and fenced in yard. Convenient location close to Huntington Mall, grocery stores, restaurants, and interstate. Newer roof and windows. Free trash pickup. Great opportunity, call to see today!
-
2020-10-26$104,900 446-char remark
Show marketing remark (446 chars)
Move in ready one story all brick home in Barboursville. This home offers 3 bedrooms & 1 bath with lots of natural light. Nice size living room and large kitchen with dining area and island for extra seating. Deck right off kitchen for entertaining and fenced in yard. Convenient location close to Huntington Mall, grocery stores, restaurants, and interstate. Newer roof and windows. Free trash pickup. Great opportunity, call to see today!
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2008-11-18soldstatus $79,900
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2007-03-01soldstatus $73,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,761 · $147/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,761 · $147/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,281
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,677
- − Property taxes
- −$1,761
- − Insurance
- −$418
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,062
- − Management
- −$1,062
- − Depreciation
- −$2,429
- Taxable income
- $1,871
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$449
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,609/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cabell County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400180
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,426
- Composite
- 30.26/100
- National rank
- #6285
- State rank
- #13 of 55 in WV
Livability — Barboursville
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #1207
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Barboursville, WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,197
Population outlook (Cabell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 97,574 people
- By 2030
- 98,060 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 98,817 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 100,185 · +2.7%
- By 2075
- 105,895 · +8.5%
- By 2100
- 105,948 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Dominican Republic, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cabell
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.9) · D 38.0% · R 59.9% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -21.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.9 2020: R+18.0 2016: R+25.5 2012: R+13.9 2008: R+10.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.30%
- Current HPI
- 173.7565
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+13.6% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Pending — HBRMLS
- 2026-04-13 Delisted — HBRMLS
- 2026-03-16 Relisted — HBRMLS
- 2026-02-16 Relisted — HBRMLS
- 2026-02-04 Pending — HBRMLS
- 2026-01-19 Relisted — HBRMLS
- 2026-01-16 Delisted — HBRMLS
- 2025-12-16 Price Changed $83,500 HBRMLS
- 2025-11-25 Relisted — HBRMLS
- 2025-11-20 Delisted — HBRMLS
- 2025-10-20 Price Changed $88,500 HBRMLS
- 2025-10-06 Relisted — HBRMLS
- 2025-10-03 Delisted — HBRMLS
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $98,500 HBRMLS
- 2025-08-21 Relisted — HBRMLS
- 2025-08-18 Delisted — HBRMLS
- 2025-07-18 Relisted — HBRMLS
- 2025-07-18 Price Changed $104,900 HBRMLS
- 2025-07-18 Delisted — HBRMLS
- 2025-06-30 Relisted — HBRMLS
- 2025-06-28 Delisted — HBRMLS
- 2025-06-16 Relisted — HBRMLS
- 2025-06-14 Delisted — HBRMLS
- 2024-08-26 Listed $119,900 HBRMLS
- 2021-06-16 Sold (MLS) $106,000 HBRMLS
- 2020-10-26 Listed $104,900 HBRMLS
- 2008-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
- 2007-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $73,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,761 · +96.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…