2008 Lucas Ln · Echelon, NJ
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 52.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home offers a great Living Room with Wood Burning Fireplace and Hardwood flooring with sliding doors to a great balcony. spacious Dining Room also with Hardwood flooring. Kitchen has been updated with granite counter tops, stainless steel appliances and plenty of cabinet space. The bathroom has been updated and includes double head shower. . This is a 2nd-floor unit. Association permits a Cat only no dogs. Enjoy the many restaurants and shopping.
Key facts
- Great natural light
- Private balcony
- Ample cabinet space
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Condo fee of $195 monthly; HOA covers common area maintenance, exterior building maintenance, insurance, lawn maintenance, pest control, road maintenance, and snow removal
Exterior
- Parking: Parking lot
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric-powered heating, cooling, and hot water
- Home design: Condominium unit (Unit/Flat); Garden-style building (1–4 floors); Entry on level 2; Frame construction
- Construction: Frame construction; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Parking lot; Pets allowed on a case-by-case basis; Not in a federal flood zone
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s); Electric hot water; 100 Amp electrical service with circuit breakers
- Interior features: Dining area; Galley kitchen; Tub/shower; Upgraded countertops; Walk-in closet(s); Window treatments; Wood floors; Fireplace with wood-burning hearth
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup in unit (main floor laundry)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-83 ($-995/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (8.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (0.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $155k (8.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.3% in Echelon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#141 in NJ, #3,732 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A, employment A-; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, commute F.
- Voorhees Township School District (suburban): math 38% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #134 of 472 in NJ (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $141k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 52% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.09%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-34,353
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.10×
- Total profit
- $-42,897
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08043
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 140
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,685 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$257 /mo · $3,086/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$195
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$354
- Net cashflow
- $-83
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Lucas Ln Voorhees Township, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 658 | $1,792 | $2.72 | 1d | 34 | 0.32mi |
| 225 Echelon Rd Voorhees, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,740 | $2.05 | 1d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 314 Echelon Rd Voorhees Township, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 759 | $1,750 | $2.31 | 1d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 250 S Burnt Mill Rd Voorhees Township, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,738 | $2.67 | 1d | 6 | 0.72mi |
| 140 Dartmouth Ave Somerdale, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 556 | $1,495 | $2.69 | 2d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 115 Wright Ave Stratford, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 616 | $1,578 | $2.56 | 1d | 4 | 0.95mi |
| 319 Columbia Ave Unit 1BR Stratford, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,750 | $2.69 | 1d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 627 N White Horse Pike Unit 1 Somerdale, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,450 | $2.07 | 1d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 617 N White Horse Pike Laurel Springs, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,220 | $2.03 | 20d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $195 · $2,340/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $169,900 Pending 9 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $169,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-20$169,900 Active 124-char remark
-
2022-05-05soldstatus $141,000
-
2022-04-04soldstatus $141,000 Closed 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
This home offers a great Living Room with Wood Burning Fireplace and Hardwood flooring with sliding doors to a great balcony. spacious Dining Room also with Hardwood flooring. Kitchen has been updated with granite counter tops, stainless steel appliances and plenty of cabinet space. The bathroom has been updated and includes double head shower. . This is a 2nd-floor unit. Association permits a Cat only no dogs. Enjoy the many restaurants and shopping.
-
2022-03-09status Pending 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
This home offers a great Living Room with Wood Burning Fireplace and Hardwood flooring with sliding doors to a great balcony. spacious Dining Room also with Hardwood flooring. Kitchen has been updated with granite counter tops, stainless steel appliances and plenty of cabinet space. The bathroom has been updated and includes double head shower. . This is a 2nd-floor unit. Association permits a Cat only no dogs. Enjoy the many restaurants and shopping.
-
2022-03-02$129,900 Active 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
This home offers a great Living Room with Wood Burning Fireplace and Hardwood flooring with sliding doors to a great balcony. spacious Dining Room also with Hardwood flooring. Kitchen has been updated with granite counter tops, stainless steel appliances and plenty of cabinet space. The bathroom has been updated and includes double head shower. . This is a 2nd-floor unit. Association permits a Cat only no dogs. Enjoy the many restaurants and shopping.
-
2020-05-06status Pending
-
2020-05-06historical
-
2020-03-03historical Active Under Contract
-
2020-02-24$74,900 Active
-
2019-12-20historical
-
2019-11-15$89,900 Active
-
2010-04-15soldstatus $105,000
-
2010-03-31soldstatus $105,000
-
2010-03-31soldstatus $105,000
-
2010-03-10historical
-
2009-11-04$109,900
-
2009-11-04$109,900
-
2009-04-30historical
-
2009-02-18$118,900
-
2004-02-04soldstatus $69,500
-
2003-12-30soldstatus $69,500
-
2003-12-01historical
-
2002-04-19$69,500
-
1996-09-18soldstatus $54,633
-
1993-07-23soldstatus $96,000
-
1920-12-18soldstatus $69,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,086 · $257/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,658 · $305/mo
- Expected delta
- +$572/yr (+$48/mo · 18.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 52% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,218
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$3,086
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,617
- − Management
- −$1,617
- − HOA
- −$2,340
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$3,752
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$901
- After-tax cash flow
- $-95/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Voorhees Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416830
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,601
- Composite
- 45.3/100
- National rank
- #2651
- State rank
- #134 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Echelon
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #141
- US rank
- #3732
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Echelon, NJ
- County
- Camden County · 407,624 people
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,191
- Household income
- $105,473
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1415.0
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 507,964 people
- By 2030
- 502,182 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 485,602 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 465,630 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 419,986 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 369,492 · -27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Asian 20% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Other Indo-European 10% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -198.34%
- Current HPI
- 300.3058
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
||
Price history
+144.5% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-27 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $141,000 Public Records
- 2022-04-04 Sold (MLS) $141,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-03-09 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-03-02 Listed $129,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-05-06 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-05-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-03-03 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-02-24 Listed $74,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-12-20 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-11-15 Listed $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2010-03-31 Sold (MLS) $105,000 TREND
- 2010-03-31 Sold (MLS) $105,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-03-10 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-11-04 Listed $109,900 TREND
- 2009-11-04 Listed $109,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-04-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-02-18 Listed $118,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $69,500 Public Records
- 2003-12-30 Sold (MLS) $69,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2003-12-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-04-19 Listed $69,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 1996-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $54,633 Public Records
- 1993-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
- 1920-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $69,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,086 · +13.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…