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2008 Lucas Ln
D- Composite 39.94
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

2008 Lucas Ln · Echelon, NJ 08043
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 654 sqft · Condo public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1989 $195/mo HOA · 12% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home offers a great Living Room with Wood Burning Fireplace and Hardwood flooring with sliding doors to a great balcony. spacious Dining Room also with Hardwood flooring. Kitchen has been updated with granite counter tops, stainless steel appliances and plenty of cabinet space. The bathroom has been updated and includes double head shower. . This is a 2nd-floor unit. Association permits a Cat only no dogs. Enjoy the many restaurants and shopping.

Key facts

  • Great natural light
  • Private balcony
  • Ample cabinet space

Tags

PRIVATE BALCONYCOZY FIREPLACEGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESAMPLE CABINET SPACEGREAT NATURAL LIGHT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Condo fee of $195 monthly; HOA covers common area maintenance, exterior building maintenance, insurance, lawn maintenance, pest control, road maintenance, and snow removal

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking lot
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric-powered heating, cooling, and hot water
  • Home design: Condominium unit (Unit/Flat); Garden-style building (1–4 floors); Entry on level 2; Frame construction
  • Construction: Frame construction; Above-grade and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Parking lot; Pets allowed on a case-by-case basis; Not in a federal flood zone

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s); Electric hot water; 100 Amp electrical service with circuit breakers
  • Interior features: Dining area; Galley kitchen; Tub/shower; Upgraded countertops; Walk-in closet(s); Window treatments; Wood floors; Fireplace with wood-burning hearth
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup in unit (main floor laundry)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-83 ($-995/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (8.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (0.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $155k (8.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.3% in Echelon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#141 in NJ, #3,732 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A, employment A-; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, commute F.
  • Voorhees Township School District (suburban): math 38% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #134 of 472 in NJ (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 8 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $141k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 52% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $155,246 (8.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
5.71%
Cash-on-cash
-2.09%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.0%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-34,353
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
-17.2%
Equity multiple
0.10×
Total profit
$-42,897
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08043

Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
140
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,685 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$257 /mo · $3,086/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$195
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$354
Net cashflow
$-83

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,790
Max offer price $155,246
Occupancy floor 100%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10 Lucas Ln Voorhees Township, NJ 2.0 1.0 658 $1,792 $2.72 1d 34 0.32mi
225 Echelon Rd Voorhees, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 850 $1,740 $2.05 1d 1 0.48mi
314 Echelon Rd Voorhees Township, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 759 $1,750 $2.31 1d 1 0.56mi
250 S Burnt Mill Rd Voorhees Township, NJ 1.0 1.0 650 $1,738 $2.67 1d 6 0.72mi
140 Dartmouth Ave Somerdale, NJ 1.0 1.0 556 $1,495 $2.69 2d 1 0.86mi
115 Wright Ave Stratford, NJ 1.0 1.0 616 $1,578 $2.56 1d 4 0.95mi
319 Columbia Ave Unit 1BR Stratford, NJ 1.0 1.0 650 $1,750 $2.69 1d 1 1.13mi
627 N White Horse Pike Unit 1 Somerdale, NJ 1.0 1.0 700 $1,450 $2.07 1d 1 1.26mi
617 N White Horse Pike Laurel Springs, NJ 1.0 1.0 600 $1,220 $2.03 20d 1 1.45mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$195 · $2,340/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $169,900 Pending 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $169,900 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,900 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,900 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-05-20
    listed $169,900 Active 124-char remark
  8. 2022-05-05
    soldstatus $141,000
  9. 2022-04-04
    soldstatus $141,000 Closed 455-char remark
    Show marketing remark (455 chars)

    This home offers a great Living Room with Wood Burning Fireplace and Hardwood flooring with sliding doors to a great balcony. spacious Dining Room also with Hardwood flooring. Kitchen has been updated with granite counter tops, stainless steel appliances and plenty of cabinet space. The bathroom has been updated and includes double head shower. . This is a 2nd-floor unit. Association permits a Cat only no dogs. Enjoy the many restaurants and shopping.

  10. 2022-03-09
    status Pending 455-char remark
    Show marketing remark (455 chars)

    This home offers a great Living Room with Wood Burning Fireplace and Hardwood flooring with sliding doors to a great balcony. spacious Dining Room also with Hardwood flooring. Kitchen has been updated with granite counter tops, stainless steel appliances and plenty of cabinet space. The bathroom has been updated and includes double head shower. . This is a 2nd-floor unit. Association permits a Cat only no dogs. Enjoy the many restaurants and shopping.

  11. 2022-03-02
    listed $129,900 Active 455-char remark
    Show marketing remark (455 chars)

    This home offers a great Living Room with Wood Burning Fireplace and Hardwood flooring with sliding doors to a great balcony. spacious Dining Room also with Hardwood flooring. Kitchen has been updated with granite counter tops, stainless steel appliances and plenty of cabinet space. The bathroom has been updated and includes double head shower. . This is a 2nd-floor unit. Association permits a Cat only no dogs. Enjoy the many restaurants and shopping.

  12. 2020-05-06
    status Pending
  13. 2020-05-06
    historical
  14. 2020-03-03
    historical Active Under Contract
  15. 2020-02-24
    listed $74,900 Active
  16. 2019-12-20
    historical
  17. 2019-11-15
    listed $89,900 Active
  18. 2010-04-15
    soldstatus $105,000
  19. 2010-03-31
    soldstatus $105,000
  20. 2010-03-31
    soldstatus $105,000
  21. 2010-03-10
    historical
  22. 2009-11-04
    listed $109,900
  23. 2009-11-04
    listed $109,900
  24. 2009-04-30
    historical
  25. 2009-02-18
    listed $118,900
  26. 2004-02-04
    soldstatus $69,500
  27. 2003-12-30
    soldstatus $69,500
  28. 2003-12-01
    historical
  29. 2002-04-19
    listed $69,500
  30. 1996-09-18
    soldstatus $54,633
  31. 1993-07-23
    soldstatus $96,000
  32. 1920-12-18
    soldstatus $69,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,086 · $257/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,658 · $305/mo
Expected delta
+$572/yr (+$48/mo · 18.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 52% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,218
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$3,086
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,617
− Management
−$1,617
− HOA
−$2,340
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$3,752
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$901
After-tax cash flow
$-95/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Voorhees Township School District
NCES district ID
3416830
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$81,601
Composite
45.3/100
National rank
#2651
State rank
#134 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Echelon

Score
76/100
State rank
#141
US rank
#3732

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living F Crime B Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Echelon, NJ
County
Camden County · 407,624 people
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
31,191
Household income
$105,473
Rent vs Own
38.0% rent · 62.0% own
Severe rent burden
1415.0

Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
507,964 people
By 2030
502,182 · -1.1%
By 2040
485,602 · -4.4%
By 2050
465,630 · -8.3%
By 2075
419,986 · -17.3%
By 2100
369,492 · -27.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Asian 20% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
75% English-only · Other Indo-European 10% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Camden

2024 margin
Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -198.34%
Current HPI
300.3058
Rent YoY
▲ 1.98%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+144.5% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $141,000 Public Records
  • 2022-04-04 Sold (MLS) $141,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-03-09 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-03-02 Listed $129,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-05-06 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-05-06 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-03-03 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-02-24 Listed $74,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-12-20 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-11-15 Listed $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 2010-03-31 Sold (MLS) $105,000 TREND
  • 2010-03-31 Sold (MLS) $105,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-03-10 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-11-04 Listed $109,900 TREND
  • 2009-11-04 Listed $109,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-04-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-02-18 Listed $118,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2004-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $69,500 Public Records
  • 2003-12-30 Sold (MLS) $69,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2003-12-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2002-04-19 Listed $69,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1996-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $54,633 Public Records
  • 1993-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
  • 1920-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $69,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,086 · +13.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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