623 Belmont St · Coatesville, PA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.2/30.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Investment Property or home first time owner occupant! This twin home features four bedrooms, 1 full bath, half bath on main floor. Living room and dining room are open to each other and have laminate flooring throughout the main floor. Beautiful kitchen with granite counter top, gas stove, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator and stainless steel sink. Being sold strictly in "AS-IS" condition. Buyer is responsible for ordering and seeing the U & O through.
Key facts
- Off street parking
- Ceiling fans
- Granite countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: One total garage/parking space; One driveway space; On-street and off-site parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Fee simple ownership; Effective year of major remodel: 2019
- Construction: Vinyl and aluminum siding; Stone foundation
- Exterior features: End of row/townhouse; Above grade and below grade structures
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven/range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the second upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper levels); One half bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Oil-fired heating; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Full basement; Replacement windows; Two or more access exits
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $139 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $177k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 5.1% in Coatesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#791 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Coatesville Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #457 of 539 in PA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,513 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chester County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $130k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.63%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $124,090
- List price
- $179,900
- Delta
- 44.98%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 633 Coates St | 0.31mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,331 (+3%) | 1mo | $298,000 | $224 | 69 |
| 628 Merchant St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,456 (+13%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $106 | 65 |
| 403 Colina Ln | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,346 (+4%) | 13mo | $265,000 | $197 | 60 |
| 613 E Chestnut St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,122 (-13%) | 16mo | $125,000 | $111 | 55 |
| 311 Community Ln | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,407 (+9%) | 5mo | $288,000 | $205 | 54 |
| 411 Cedar St | 0.42mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,232 (-5%) | 20mo | $160,000 | $130 | 50 |
| 1243 Oak St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (+12%) | 10mo | $300,000 | $207 | 37 |
| 108 S 13th Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,149 (-11%) | 14mo | $281,000 | $245 | 37 |
| 95 S 12th Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,450 (+12%) | 10mo | $311,000 | $214 | 37 |
| 34 Penn Ave | 0.65mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,485 (+15%) | 12mo | $335,000 | $226 | 30 |
| 10 Lafayette Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-13%) | 14mo | $135,900 | $121 | 29 |
| 18 Lafayette Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-13%) | 24mo | $205,000 | $183 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-16,615
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $12,668
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19320
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 255
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,927 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$310 /mo · $3,714/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$405
- Net cashflow
- $139
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $240 | -5% $190 | +0% $139 | +5% $88 | +10% $37 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-14 | -5% $63 | +0% $139 | +5% $215 | +10% $291 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $229 | -0.5pp $184 | base $139 | +0.5pp $92 | +1.0pp $45 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 603 E Chestnut St Coatesville, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1629 | $2,000 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 92 Virginia Ave Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1184 | $1,850 | $1.56 | 26d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 749 Oak St Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,800 | $1.95 | 4d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 633 Coates St Coatesville, PA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1331 | $1,250 | $0.94 | 26d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 100 Harlan Dr Coatesville, PA | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1062 | $1,294 | $1.22 | 0d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 868 Coates St Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1016 | $1,750 | $1.72 | 23d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 845 Poplar St Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $2,250 | $1.95 | 20d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1136 Stirling St Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1572 | $2,195 | $1.40 | 26d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 23 N 2nd Ave Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,685 | $1.50 | 26d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1064 Wayne Ave Coatesville, PA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1180 | $1,900 | $1.61 | 0d | 5 | 0.61mi |
| 322 Charles St Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,700 | $1.60 | 26d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 342 Valley Rd Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1131 | $1,450 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2216 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,810 | $1.54 | 16d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 1910 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,890 | $1.74 | 16d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 1109 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,766 | $1.50 | 16d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2209 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1078 | $2,000 | $1.86 | 16d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2024 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,925 | $1.63 | 16d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 1407 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,784 | $1.51 | 16d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2114 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,719 | $1.58 | 16d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2224 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,840 | $1.56 | 7d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 1816 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,965 | $1.67 | 16d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Coatesville, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 974 | $2,039 | $2.09 | 21d | 19 | 1.13mi |
| 416 W Lincoln Hwy Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $2,100 | $1.69 | 20d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2 Quarry St Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,700 | $1.49 | 20d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1896 Crest Dr Coatesville, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 923 | $1,900 | $2.06 | 0d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 40 Beech St Coatesville, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 26d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-04-24$179,900 Active 511-char remark
-
2022-09-07soldstatus $130,000
-
2022-08-30soldstatus $130,000 Closed 481-char remark
Show marketing remark (481 chars)
Great Investment Property or home first time owner occupant! This twin home features four bedrooms, 1 full bath, half bath on main floor. Living room and dining room are open to each other and have laminate flooring throughout the main floor. Beautiful kitchen with granite counter top, gas stove, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator and stainless steel sink. Being sold strictly in "AS-IS" condition. Buyer is responsible for ordering and seeing the U & O through.
-
2022-08-06status Pending 481-char remark
Show marketing remark (481 chars)
Great Investment Property or home first time owner occupant! This twin home features four bedrooms, 1 full bath, half bath on main floor. Living room and dining room are open to each other and have laminate flooring throughout the main floor. Beautiful kitchen with granite counter top, gas stove, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator and stainless steel sink. Being sold strictly in "AS-IS" condition. Buyer is responsible for ordering and seeing the U & O through.
-
2022-08-01$127,500 Active 481-char remark
Show marketing remark (481 chars)
Great Investment Property or home first time owner occupant! This twin home features four bedrooms, 1 full bath, half bath on main floor. Living room and dining room are open to each other and have laminate flooring throughout the main floor. Beautiful kitchen with granite counter top, gas stove, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator and stainless steel sink. Being sold strictly in "AS-IS" condition. Buyer is responsible for ordering and seeing the U & O through.
-
2022-04-17historical
-
2022-04-09status Active
-
2022-04-07historical
-
2022-03-26historical Active Under Contract
-
2022-03-20$118,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,714 · $310/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,714 · $310/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,120
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$3,714
- − Insurance
- −$1,566
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,850
- − Management
- −$1,850
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$1,170
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$281
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,944/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coatesville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206240
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,753
- Composite
- 23.19/100
- National rank
- #7944
- State rank
- #457 of 539 in PA
Livability — Coatesville
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #791
- US rank
- #7996
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Coatesville, PA
- County
- Chester County · 432,350 people
- City population
- 55,941
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,941
- Household income
- $90,601
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1480.0
Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 546,756 people
- By 2030
- 559,441 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 576,377 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 580,602 · +6.2%
- By 2075
- 581,575 · +6.4%
- By 2100
- 540,922 · -1.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Chester
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.5) · D 56.7% · R 42.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: 14.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.5 2020: D+17.0 2016: D+9.2 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -195.38%
- Current HPI
- 274.045
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.82%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+52.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $179,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2022-08-30 Sold (MLS) $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-08-06 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-08-01 Listed $127,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-04-17 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-04-09 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-04-07 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-03-26 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-03-20 Listed $118,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2026): $3,714 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…