Duplex
312 Washington Ave · Connellsville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Charming Duplex – 2 Bed, 1 Bath on Each Side – Great Location! This well-maintained duplex features two spacious units, each offering 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. Beautiful hardwood floors run throughout both sides, creating a warm and inviting feel. Each unit also includes access to a shared attic space—perfect for extra storage or easily convertible into a third bedroom. Enjoy the outdoors in the nicely sized backyard, ideal for relaxing or entertaining. Located just a short walk from local parks, this property combines comfort, convenience, and potential. Whether you're looking to invest or live in one unit while renting the other, this duplex is a fantastic opportunity!
Key facts
- Shared attic space
- Hardwood floors
- 8,890 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $130k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $402 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $201/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 6.5% in Connellsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#602 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D+, commute D+, crime D-.
- Connellsville Area SD (rural): math 23% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #440 of 539 in PA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 201 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $895 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 257 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 257 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.31%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $3,050,796
- List price
- $129,500
- Delta
- -95.76%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1146/1146 1/2 Race St | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | — | 7mo | $118,000 | — | 62 |
| 504-506 Davidson Ave | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | — | 19mo | $55,000 | — | 56 |
| 116 Prospect St | 0.40mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | — | 16mo | $123,500 | — | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $4,659
- Equity at exit
- $19,309
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $37,145
- Equity at exit
- $11,197
Cash invested: $36,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15425
- Home prices YoY
- -15.9%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 13.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,642 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$679
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,942/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$345
- Net cashflow
- $402
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $492 | -5% $447 | +0% $402 | +5% $357 | +10% $313 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $273 | -5% $337 | +0% $402 | +5% $467 | +10% $532 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $467 | -0.5pp $435 | base $402 | +0.5pp $369 | +1.0pp $335 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $1,642 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $821 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $821 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,642 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,375
- Closing costs
- $3,885
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,500 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,500 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,500 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,500 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,500 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,500 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $129,500 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,500 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,500 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,500 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,500 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,500 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,500 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,500 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,500 Active 237 DOM
-
2025-10-06$129,500 Active 706-char remark
Show marketing remark (706 chars)
Charming Duplex – 2 Bed, 1 Bath on Each Side – Great Location! This well-maintained duplex features two spacious units, each offering 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. Beautiful hardwood floors run throughout both sides, creating a warm and inviting feel. Each unit also includes access to a shared attic space—perfect for extra storage or easily convertible into a third bedroom. Enjoy the outdoors in the nicely sized backyard, ideal for relaxing or entertaining. Located just a short walk from local parks, this property combines comfort, convenience, and potential. Whether you're looking to invest or live in one unit while renting the other, this duplex is a fantastic opportunity!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,704
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,254
- − Property taxes
- −$1,942
- − Insurance
- −$648
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,576
- − Management
- −$1,576
- − Depreciation
- −$3,767
- Taxable income
- $2,940
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$706
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,121/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This two-unit duplex requires moderate renovations to update the kitchens and bathrooms, and improve the landscaping. The property has good potential for increased value with these updates.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — dated and worn
- Minor landscaping — overgrown lawn
Value-add opportunities
- Resale update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen will attract more buyers
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathrooms will attract more buyers
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — improving the exterior will increase both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| landscaping · overgrown lawn | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen will attract more buyers ↑
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathrooms will attract more buyers ↑
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — improving the exterior will increase both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Connellsville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206660
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,315
- Composite
- 25.95/100
- National rank
- #7333
- State rank
- #440 of 539 in PA
Livability — Connellsville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #602
- US rank
- #5763
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Connellsville, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,752
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 127,561 people
- By 2030
- 123,206 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 113,232 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 103,468 · -18.9%
- By 2075
- 83,185 · -34.8%
- By 2100
- 62,384 · -51.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Iranian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.9) · D 30.8% · R 68.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -37.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+0.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -36.63%
- Current HPI
- 193.6086
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-10-06 Listed $129,500 West Penn MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…