324 Gage Dr · Ferguson, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$68,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Whether you're planning to renovate and hold, flip, or add to your rental portfolio, this property presents a compelling value-add opportunity in a consistently active rental market. Please note: the seller will not establish utilities, complete any repairs, honor concessions, or conduct inspections. This is a strict as-is sale, and buyers are expected to perform all due diligence prior to closing. Seller is motivated and favors a quick, hassle-free closing, making this an excellent opportunity for buyers ready to move efficiently. Text/Email are the preferred communication channels.
Key facts
- 7,927 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1955
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Has garage; One carport space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior
- Exterior features: Front yard; Back yard
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($549/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
- Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 9.2% in Ferguson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#586 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Riverview Gardens (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #324 of 324 in MO (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Koch Elem. (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,099 of 1,115 statewide, top 100%, 303 students, 99% FRL); Riverview Gardens Sr. High (math 2% / reading 18%, grade F, #501 of 521 statewide, top 97%, 1,331 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.0%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $43k; list at $68k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.90%
- DSCR
- 2.42
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $96,250
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 324 Gage Dr | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 875 (0%) | 1mo | $68,000 | $78 | 100 |
| 9014 Ellison Dr | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (+4%) | 3mo | $99,900 | $110 | 60 |
| 247 S Hartnett Ave Unit 1/2 | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 902 (+3%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $83 | 59 |
| 9828 Lorna Ln | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (-10%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $82 | 59 |
| 10020 Dellridge Ln | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (-7%) | 1mo | $49,900 | $61 | 57 |
| 9606 Lifford Ct | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (-9%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $163 | 55 |
| 914 Highmont Dr | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (-7%) | 2mo | $92,400 | $113 | 54 |
| 277 Dashwood Dr | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+10%) | 2mo | $74,900 | $78 | 51 |
| 9871 Medford Dr | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 950 (+9%) | 2mo | $124,900 | $131 | 51 |
| 100 Florwood Ct | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,004 (+15%) | 3mo | $79,900 | $80 | 50 |
| 296 Meadowcrest Dr | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+10%) | 2mo | $109,900 | $114 | 47 |
| 1719 Newhall Ct | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 975 (+11%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $123 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-1,165
- Equity at exit
- $10,139
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.79×
- Total profit
- $34,173
- Equity at exit
- $5,879
Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63135
- Rents YoY
- 9.0%
- Active inventory
- 162
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,254 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$357
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,199/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $46
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $84 | -5% $65 | +0% $46 | +5% $26 | +10% $7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-53 | -5% $-4 | +0% $46 | +5% $95 | +10% $145 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $80 | -0.5pp $63 | base $46 | +0.5pp $28 | +1.0pp $10 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,000
- Closing costs
- $2,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1550 Northwinds Estates Dr St. Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 877 | $1,050 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 9717 Dennis Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,323 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 9750 Lorna Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 9725 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,485 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 9845 Dennis Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,550 | $1.61 | 13d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 9850 Dennis Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,175 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 9839 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,095 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 9547 Glen Owen Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 923 | $985 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 104 Fenwick Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,250 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 945 Edgehill Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $1,575 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 9840 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,095 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1733 Kappel Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,250 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 9868 Lorna Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,175 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 296 Meadowcrest Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,550 | $1.61 | 15d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 227 Meadowcrest Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 249 S Hartnett Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,220 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 9709 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 6188 Dupree Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 972 | $1,300 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 8908 Scottdale Ave Jennings, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,000 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 9823 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $900 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 9827 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,450 | $1.68 | 8d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6180 Emerald Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $1,300 | $1.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1654 Mowbry Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,300 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 502 Averill Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,250 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 338 La Motte Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,150 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 307 Coppinger Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,095 | $1.14 | 18d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2008 Kappel Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,175 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2617 Hord Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $775 | $0.97 | 4d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 920 Hutton Pl Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,195 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 415 Ames Pl Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,400 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2623 Avie Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 921 | $1,350 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 110 Paul Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,050 | $1.20 | 8d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 7733 Brand Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 656 | $1,090 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 10078 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,325 | $1.47 | 8d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 10124 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,400 | $1.77 | 3d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 26 Arbor Village Ct Ferguson, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $950 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 650 Robert Ave Ferguson, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,224 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1547 Babcock Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,480 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 7516 Chandler Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,000 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 12 Lee Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,080 | $1.30 | 8d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-04-20status Pending
-
2026-04-08$68,000 Active
-
2026-04-08historical $68,000
-
2026-04-03status Active
-
2026-04-01status Active
-
2026-03-23status Active
-
2026-03-23price $75,000
-
2026-03-11status Pending
-
2026-02-14status Active
-
2026-02-13price $80,000
-
2025-10-02$89,000 Active
-
2021-12-02soldstatus $43,000
-
2008-12-31soldstatus
-
1988-06-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,199 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,199 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,053
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,809
- − Property taxes
- −$1,199
- − Insurance
- −$5,865
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,204
- − Management
- −$1,204
- − Depreciation
- −$1,978
- Taxable loss
- −$206
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$50
- After-tax cash flow
- $598/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Riverview Gardens
- NCES district ID
- 2926670
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,759
- Composite
- 4.22/100
- National rank
- #10058
- State rank
- #324 of 324 in MO
Livability — Ferguson
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #586
- US rank
- #20809
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ferguson, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 18,381
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,381
- Household income
- $52,328
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 957.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 28% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -152.56%
- Current HPI
- 138.6781
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.03%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+58.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Listed $68,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Coming Soon $68,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-23 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $75,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-11 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-14 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $80,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-02 Listed $89,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
- 2008-12-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-06-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2022): $1,199 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…