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3515 Irwin St
C Composite 58.77
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.4/30.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

3515 Irwin St · Greensboro, NC 27405
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 624 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1945 5,662 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great opportunity for an investor or first time homebuyer looking for an affordable home that needs some TLC. Per seller, Roof was changed in 2025, HVAC from 2023. Home to be Sold As-Is. Please Allow 24 hours prior to showings.

Key facts

  • 5,662 sq ft lot
  • Built 1945

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Located in the Morehead-Gilmer subdivision

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Single-story house; Stick/site built residential structure; Built in 1945
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Existing structure
  • Exterior features: Public water; Publicly maintained road; Lot of approximately 0.13 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric water heater
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump and electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom on the main level; Crawl space foundation

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $224 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.8% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#12 in NC, #1,335 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 381 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $58k; list at $110k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.73%
Cash-on-cash
8.72%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.83% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.3%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-2,647
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
8.2%
Equity multiple
1.65×
Total profit
$19,926
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27405

Home prices YoY
-20.6%
Rents YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
381
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,143 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $681/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$240
Net cashflow
$224

Break-even live

Break-even rent $860
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3409 N O.Henry Blvd Greensboro, NC 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 925 $1,030 $1.11 14d 6 0.59mi
1631 Glenside Dr Greensboro, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 888 $949 $1.07 14d 3 0.66mi
3128 Utah Pl Greensboro, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1076 $1,138 $1.06 23d 6 0.74mi
3822 Mizell Rd Greensboro, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0 721 $1,075 $1.49 14d 29 1.41mi
900 E Cone Blvd Greensboro, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 895 $1,242 $1.39 14d 20 1.46mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 227-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $110,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$681 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$902 · $75/mo
Expected delta
+$221/yr (+$18/mo · 32.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,718
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$681
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,097
− Management
−$1,097
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$931
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$223
After-tax cash flow
$2,461/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Guilford County Schools
NCES district ID
3701920
Math proficiency
39% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$46,315
Composite
35.78/100
National rank
#4842
State rank
#99 of 178 in NC

Livability — Greensboro

Score
81/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#1335

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Greensboro, NC
County
Guilford County · 487,190 people
City population
329,421
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
Population (ZIP)
54,303
Household income
$47,431
Rent vs Own
51.5% rent · 48.5% own
Severe rent burden
2517.0

Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
584,596 people
By 2030
616,851 · +5.5%
By 2040
678,451 · +16.1%
By 2050
734,788 · +25.7%
By 2075
862,985 · +47.6%
By 2100
948,704 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% White 20% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Ukrainian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Guilford

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -63.02%
Current HPI
243.1261
Rent YoY
▲ 3.83%
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+274.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $110,000 Triad MLS
  • 2007-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
  • 1995-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 1980-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $29,400 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $681 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…