922 S Garfield St · Junction City, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Motivated Seller, ideally situated for a growing family and just minutes from Elementary Schools, this 4-bedroom home offers space, comfort, and flexibility. The former garage has been thoughtfully converted into additional living space, complete with a wood-burning stove that creates a cozy atmosphere on chilly evenings. A conveniently located laundry room sits just off the family room, making everyday routines easy. Step outside to a generously sized backyard designed for entertaining, featuring a large concrete pad that offers endless possibilities, along with a handy storage shed. Make your move today! Sold As Is
Key facts
- Large concrete pad
- Laundry room
- Converted garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#266 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Geary County Schools (town): math 32% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #60 of 169 in KS (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 260 active listings in the ZIP; 93 units permitted in Geary County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Geary County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $104k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.18%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $199,295
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -24.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1200 Skyline Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,496 (+13%) | 23mo | $164,900 | $110 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-5,413
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $35,383
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66441
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 260
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,608 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$205 /mo · $2,462/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $216
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $301 | -5% $259 | +0% $216 | +5% $174 | +10% $131 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $89 | -5% $153 | +0% $216 | +5% $280 | +10% $343 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $292 | -0.5pp $254 | base $216 | +0.5pp $177 | +1.0pp $138 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $150,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $150,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $150,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $150,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-04-27price $150,000 624-char remark
Show marketing remark (624 chars)
Motivated Seller, ideally situated for a growing family and just minutes from Elementary Schools, this 4-bedroom home offers space, comfort, and flexibility. The former garage has been thoughtfully converted into additional living space, complete with a wood-burning stove that creates a cozy atmosphere on chilly evenings. A conveniently located laundry room sits just off the family room, making everyday routines easy. Step outside to a generously sized backyard designed for entertaining, featuring a large concrete pad that offers endless possibilities, along with a handy storage shed. Make your move today! Sold As Is
-
2025-12-30$155,000 Active 624-char remark
Show marketing remark (624 chars)
Motivated Seller, ideally situated for a growing family and just minutes from Elementary Schools, this 4-bedroom home offers space, comfort, and flexibility. The former garage has been thoughtfully converted into additional living space, complete with a wood-burning stove that creates a cozy atmosphere on chilly evenings. A conveniently located laundry room sits just off the family room, making everyday routines easy. Step outside to a generously sized backyard designed for entertaining, featuring a large concrete pad that offers endless possibilities, along with a handy storage shed. Make your move today! Sold As Is
-
2025-09-09historical
-
2025-08-06price $130,000
-
2025-08-01price $139,000
-
2025-06-19price $144,000
-
2025-06-16$154,000 Active
-
2021-05-26soldstatus
-
2020-09-24$119,900
-
2008-06-01soldstatus $103,900
-
2006-04-01soldstatus $94,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,462 · $205/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,462 · $205/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,299
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,462
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,544
- − Management
- −$1,544
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $233
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$56
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,539/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Geary County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2007890
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,319
- Composite
- 30.2/100
- National rank
- #6306
- State rank
- #60 of 169 in KS
Livability — Junction City
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #266
- US rank
- #11965
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Junction City, KS
- County
- Geary County · 25,828 people
- City population
- 25,828
- Metro
- Manhattan, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,828
- Household income
- $59,522
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 950.0
Population outlook (Geary County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,364 people
- By 2030
- 38,234 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 39,727 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 40,314 · +7.9%
- By 2075
- 44,283 · +18.5%
- By 2100
- 46,935 · +25.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 19% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 15% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Geary
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.6) · D 40.1% · R 57.7% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.2pp toward R · 2008: -12.4pp · 2024: -17.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.6 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+21.7 2012: R+14.4 2008: R+12.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -152.25%
- Current HPI
- 137.9936
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.05%
- Metro
- Manhattan, KS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+58.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $150,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-12-30 Listed $155,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-09-09 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-06 Price Changed $130,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-01 Price Changed $139,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-19 Price Changed $144,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-16 Listed $154,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-26 Sold (MLS) — FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2020-09-24 Listed $119,900 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2008-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $103,900 Public Records
- 2006-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $94,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,462 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…