73 Elmwood St · West Fork, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +6.4/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Adorable home in a quaint neighborhood of West Fork. Close to downtown, West Fork Schools, and two parks. Garage has been converted to a fantastic bonus room. Large backyard with a storage building. Houses at this price range don't come around often. Sold-As-Is.
Key facts
- Bright kitchen
- Large storage closet
- All brick gem
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Community features: near fire station, near schools, park
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport
- Security: Security system; Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer; Recycling collection
- Home design: Single-story; Brick construction; Asphalt shingle roof
- Construction: Block and slab foundation; Approximately 25+ years old
- Exterior features: Patio; Concrete driveway; Storage structure; Landscaped, level yard near a park in a subdivision; Public road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Gas range; Range hood; Self-cleaning oven; Plumbed for ice maker; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Bonus room
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Attic; Ceiling fan(s); Storage; Window treatments; Double pane vinyl windows with blinds
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $235k).
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 5.5% in West Fork — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#126 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- West Fork School District (rural): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #182 of 238 in AR (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 3,494 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (1,497 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $188k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.91%
- DSCR
- 1.84
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $229,320
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 Mecca St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,308 (+3%) | 3mo | $320,000 | $245 | 88 |
| 126 Pleasant St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,272 (-0%) | 2mo | $229,000 | $180 | 86 |
| 193 Westwood Ave | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,263 (-1%) | 12mo | $235,000 | $186 | 79 |
| 50 Northwood St | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 | 1,321 (+4%) | 6mo | $236,000 | $179 | 78 |
| 63 Dogwood St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (-5%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $210 | 77 |
| 155 Westwood Ave | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 | 1,356 (+6%) | 11mo | $215,000 | $159 | 75 |
| 148 Riverwood Ave | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,223 (-4%) | 13mo | $223,000 | $182 | 74 |
| 37 Centerwood St | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,134 (-11%) | 12mo | $199,900 | $176 | 65 |
| 125 Pleasant St | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,387 (+9%) | 10mo | $229,000 | $165 | 58 |
| 67 Red Oak Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,431 (+12%) | 2mo | $229,000 | $160 | 50 |
| 163 Wheeler St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (-8%) | 2mo | $51,000 | $43 | 49 |
| 6 N Sycamore Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,358 (+7%) | 11mo | $260,000 | $191 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $27,883
- Equity at exit
- $35,039
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.66×
- Total profit
- $108,996
- Equity at exit
- $20,319
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72774
- Home prices YoY
- -16.0%
- Active inventory
- 74
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,107 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,044/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$652
- Net cashflow
- $1,037
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $235,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $235,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $235,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $235,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $235,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $235,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $235,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $235,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $235,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $235,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-05statusdays on market $235,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-04-29status Pending
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2026-04-15price $235,000
-
2026-04-09$248,000 Active
-
2022-09-02soldstatus $188,000
-
2022-09-01soldstatus $188,000 Closed 262-char remark
Show marketing remark (262 chars)
Adorable home in a quaint neighborhood of West Fork. Close to downtown, West Fork Schools, and two parks. Garage has been converted to a fantastic bonus room. Large backyard with a storage building. Houses at this price range don't come around often. Sold-As-Is.
-
2022-07-01status Pending 262-char remark
Show marketing remark (262 chars)
Adorable home in a quaint neighborhood of West Fork. Close to downtown, West Fork Schools, and two parks. Garage has been converted to a fantastic bonus room. Large backyard with a storage building. Houses at this price range don't come around often. Sold-As-Is.
-
2022-06-24$185,000 Active 262-char remark
Show marketing remark (262 chars)
Adorable home in a quaint neighborhood of West Fork. Close to downtown, West Fork Schools, and two parks. Garage has been converted to a fantastic bonus room. Large backyard with a storage building. Houses at this price range don't come around often. Sold-As-Is.
-
2017-06-05soldstatus $112,000
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2017-06-02soldstatus $112,000 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Check out this 3/2 all brick home with two large living areas! Large fenced in back yard with nice storage shed to convey, concrete pad out back for a patio. Master has attached 1/2 bath, 2 bedrooms have two windows, 3rd has 1. Kitchen window over sink, eat in kitchen, laundry area in the kitchen, behind laundry and next to Bonus is a large closet with window for plenty of storage. All hard floors except carpet in Bonus. Close to West Fork park, white river, shopping, downtown, interstate. ..
-
2017-04-06$119,000 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Check out this 3/2 all brick home with two large living areas! Large fenced in back yard with nice storage shed to convey, concrete pad out back for a patio. Master has attached 1/2 bath, 2 bedrooms have two windows, 3rd has 1. Kitchen window over sink, eat in kitchen, laundry area in the kitchen, behind laundry and next to Bonus is a large closet with window for plenty of storage. All hard floors except carpet in Bonus. Close to West Fork park, white river, shopping, downtown, interstate. ..
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2016-02-18soldstatus $79,375
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2005-10-25soldstatus $88,000
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1995-01-04soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,044 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,504 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- +$460/yr (+$38/mo · 44.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,279
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$1,044
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,982
- − Management
- −$2,982
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable income
- $9,096
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,183
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,260/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Fork School District
- NCES district ID
- 0514010
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,044
- Composite
- 21.26/100
- National rank
- #8396
- State rank
- #182 of 238 in AR
Livability — West Fork
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #126
- US rank
- #11748
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Fork, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,298
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 271,748 people
- By 2030
- 296,414 · +9.1%
- By 2040
- 346,874 · +27.6%
- By 2050
- 398,552 · +46.7%
- By 2075
- 523,309 · +92.6%
- By 2100
- 615,280 · +126.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Two or more races 19% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 6% Italian 5% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.7) · D 45.1% · R 51.7% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.4pp toward D · 2008: -13.1pp · 2024: -6.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.7 2020: R+3.9 2016: R+10.4 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+13.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.93%
- Current HPI
- 267.4622
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+487.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — NWARMLS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $235,000 NWARMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $248,000 NWARMLS
- 2022-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $188,000 Public Records
- 2022-09-01 Sold (MLS) $188,000 NWARMLS
- 2022-07-01 Pending — NWARMLS
- 2022-06-24 Listed $185,000 NWARMLS
- 2017-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $112,000 Public Records
- 2017-06-02 Sold (MLS) $112,000 NWARMLS
- 2017-04-06 Listed $119,000 NWARMLS
- 2016-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $79,375 Public Records
- 2005-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
- 1995-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,044 · -8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…