2021 Mahan Ave #l3 Ave Unit L3 · Richland, WA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MLS# 267929 This clean little Manufactured home is a prime location, Alyson Manor Mobile home Park! Close to the bypass in Richland, quiet and comfortable. Condition of this home is ok, but extremly clean and well cared for. Home is Being sold AS IS! The Alyson Manor Mobile Estates offers a So many amenities to enhance your living experience, including a shimmering swimming pool, playground for the kids, basketball court for those who love sports, a BBQ and picnic area for outdoor gatherings, and a Whole lotta everything! Such a peaceful and convenient place to live with an active lifestyle! Shopping, dining, entertainment, and Leslie Groves Park on the Columbia River located just minutes away. This is a simple slice of heaven! Hurry and schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Basketball court
- New appliances
- Pool
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Electricity on property; Cable connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence (site built on rented lot); Single-wide mobile home (1973 Bendix Pacifica); One story
- Construction: Wood siding / lap siding; Composition roof; Built 1973
- Exterior features: Deck; Community pool; Shed(s); Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range / Oven; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Laminate counters; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $579 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 2.8% in Richland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#112 in WA, #2,258 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F.
- Richland School District (urban): math 52% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #61 of 291 in WA (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Jason Lee Elementary School (504 students, 58% FRL); Chief Joseph Middle School (697 students, 67% FRL); Richland High School (2,137 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 29% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 132 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,532 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $481 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Benton County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $70k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.93% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.68%
- DSCR
- 2.59
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $44,500
- List price
- $69,500
- Delta
- 56.18%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 Mahan Ave Unit I8 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (+10%) | 4mo | $44,500 | $48 | 72 |
| 2021 Mahan Ave Unit A5 | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 776 (-8%) | 6mo | $29,000 | $37 | 68 |
| 2021 Mahan Ave. #m7 Ave Unit M7 | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 924 (+10%) | 8mo | $74,000 | $80 | 66 |
| 2021 Mahan Avenue G9 Ave Unit G9 | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (-13%) | 13mo | $30,000 | $41 | 61 |
| 2021 Mahan #i8 Ave Unit I8 | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (+10%) | 24mo | $47,500 | $51 | 56 |
| 2021 Mahan Ave Unit H-7 | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 938 (+12%) | 22mo | $72,500 | $77 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.16×
- Total profit
- $22,478
- Equity at exit
- $10,363
- IRR
- 34.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.82×
- Total profit
- $54,845
- Equity at exit
- $6,009
Cash invested: $19,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99354
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,340 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$364
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$87 /mo · $1,042/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $579
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $627 | -5% $603 | +0% $579 | +5% $555 | +10% $531 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $473 | -5% $526 | +0% $579 | +5% $632 | +10% $685 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $614 | -0.5pp $596 | base $579 | +0.5pp $561 | +1.0pp $542 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,375
- Closing costs
- $2,085
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1900 Stevens Dr Richland, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,425 | $1.75 | 22d | 23 | 0.34mi |
| 1872 Alder Ave Unit A Richland, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 668 | $1,795 | $2.69 | 15d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1930 George Washington Way Unit 108 Richland, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 824 | $1,150 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1930 George Washington Way Richland, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 824 | $1,150 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1911 Hoxie Ave Unit C Richland, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,500 | $1.68 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 200 Waldron St Richland, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,335 | $1.98 | 22d | 2 | 0.73mi |
| 1650 Mowry Sq Richland, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 643 | $1,260 | $1.96 | 22d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 160 Van Giesen St Richland, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 636 | $1,115 | $1.75 | 22d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1621 George Washington Way Richland, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 907 | $1,172 | $1.29 | 22d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 140 Van Giesen St Richland, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,195 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2324 Hood Ave Richland, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,400 | $1.70 | 15d | 5 | 0.94mi |
| 2360 Hood Ave Richland, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 758 | $1,280 | $1.69 | 15d | 3 | 1.01mi |
| 2111 Turner St Apt 22 Richland, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 776 | $1,075 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2111 Turner St Richland, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 776 | $1,095 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $69,500 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,500 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $69,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $74,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $74,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $74,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $74,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $74,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $74,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $74,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $74,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $74,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $74,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-04-24$79,000 Active 374-char remark
-
2023-05-23soldstatus $37,500 Closed 778-char remark
Show marketing remark (778 chars)
MLS# 267929 This clean little Manufactured home is a prime location, Alyson Manor Mobile home Park! Close to the bypass in Richland, quiet and comfortable. Condition of this home is ok, but extremly clean and well cared for. Home is Being sold AS IS! The Alyson Manor Mobile Estates offers a So many amenities to enhance your living experience, including a shimmering swimming pool, playground for the kids, basketball court for those who love sports, a BBQ and picnic area for outdoor gatherings, and a Whole lotta everything! Such a peaceful and convenient place to live with an active lifestyle! Shopping, dining, entertainment, and Leslie Groves Park on the Columbia River located just minutes away. This is a simple slice of heaven! Hurry and schedule your showing today!
-
2023-05-10status Pending 778-char remark
Show marketing remark (778 chars)
MLS# 267929 This clean little Manufactured home is a prime location, Alyson Manor Mobile home Park! Close to the bypass in Richland, quiet and comfortable. Condition of this home is ok, but extremly clean and well cared for. Home is Being sold AS IS! The Alyson Manor Mobile Estates offers a So many amenities to enhance your living experience, including a shimmering swimming pool, playground for the kids, basketball court for those who love sports, a BBQ and picnic area for outdoor gatherings, and a Whole lotta everything! Such a peaceful and convenient place to live with an active lifestyle! Shopping, dining, entertainment, and Leslie Groves Park on the Columbia River located just minutes away. This is a simple slice of heaven! Hurry and schedule your showing today!
-
2023-04-14$40,000 Active 778-char remark
Show marketing remark (778 chars)
MLS# 267929 This clean little Manufactured home is a prime location, Alyson Manor Mobile home Park! Close to the bypass in Richland, quiet and comfortable. Condition of this home is ok, but extremly clean and well cared for. Home is Being sold AS IS! The Alyson Manor Mobile Estates offers a So many amenities to enhance your living experience, including a shimmering swimming pool, playground for the kids, basketball court for those who love sports, a BBQ and picnic area for outdoor gatherings, and a Whole lotta everything! Such a peaceful and convenient place to live with an active lifestyle! Shopping, dining, entertainment, and Leslie Groves Park on the Columbia River located just minutes away. This is a simple slice of heaven! Hurry and schedule your showing today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,085
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,893
- − Property taxes
- −$1,042
- − Insurance
- −$348
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,287
- − Management
- −$1,287
- − Depreciation
- −$2,022
- Taxable income
- $6,207
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,490
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,454/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richland School District
- NCES district ID
- 5307320
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,475
- Composite
- 53.04/100
- National rank
- #3244
- State rank
- #61 of 291 in WA
Livability — Richland
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #112
- US rank
- #2258
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Richland, WA
- County
- Benton County · 186,895 people
- City population
- 62,989
- Metro
- Kennewick-Richland, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,559
- Household income
- $91,933
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 545.0
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 219,421 people
- By 2030
- 233,813 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 262,134 · +19.5%
- By 2050
- 290,100 · +32.2%
- By 2075
- 363,525 · +65.7%
- By 2100
- 418,667 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.9) · D 37.7% · R 59.6% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -21.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.9 2020: R+21.0 2016: R+26.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+26.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -353.00%
- Current HPI
- 235.9082
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.62%
- Metro
- Kennewick-Richland, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+73.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $69,500 PACMLS
- 2026-05-28 Price Changed $74,000 PACMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $79,000 PACMLS
- 2023-05-23 Sold (MLS) $37,500 PACMLS
- 2023-05-10 Pending — PACMLS
- 2023-04-14 Listed $40,000 PACMLS
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2026): $82 · -3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…