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17706 Centralia
C- Composite 53.96
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

17706 Centralia · Detroit, MI 48240
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 952 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1951 5,663 sqft lot Est $170k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PLEASE SUBMIT ALL OFFERS BY MAY 11TH AT 5:00 PM. REVIEWING ALL OFFERS WITH THE OWNERS AT 7:00 PM. Welcome to this charming and move-in-ready brick ranch located in a quiet neighborhood of Redford Township. This well-maintained home features 3 spacious bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, offering a comfortable and functional layout ideal for families or first-time buyers. Step inside to a bright and inviting living room with large picture windows that fill the space with natural light. The kitchen is updated with modern appliances, ample cabinet space, and flows seamlessly into a dining area - perfect for everyday living and entertaining. All three bedrooms are generously sized, providing flexibility for guests, a home office, or growing families. The full bathroom has been recently updated with contemporary finishes, while the convenient half bath adds extra practicality. The home also features a full basement, partially finished, offering additional living space, a laundry area, and plenty of storage. Outside, enjoy a large, fenced backyard - ideal for pets, gatherings, or relaxing evenings. A detached garage and recent updates (including flooring, paint, and mechanicals) add to the home's value and appeal. With its classic ranch layout, modern updates, and desirable location, this property offers a perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and affordability. Home is being sold as is.

Key facts

  • 5,663 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1951

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.13 acres (42.5 x 130)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Full, partially finished basement; Three total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $143 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (9.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (9.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Redford Union Schools District No. 1 (suburban): math 8% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #489 of 540 in MI (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $126,918 (9.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.52%
Cash-on-cash
4.38%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$170,408
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18435 Glenmore 0.24mi 3/1.0 924 (-3%) 5mo $170,000 $184 78
18490 Sumner 0.37mi 3/1.0 980 (+3%) 0mo $145,000 $148 76
18682 Sumner 0.46mi 3/1.0 969 (+2%) 2mo $137,000 $141 72
17606 Norborne 0.12mi 3/2.0 818 (-14%) 0mo $157,500 $193 69
18743 Macarthur 0.50mi 3/1.0 931 (-2%) 3mo $190,000 $204 68
17630 Brady 0.50mi 3/1.0 916 (-4%) 1mo $164,000 $179 68
17377 Glenmore St 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,050 (+10%) 4mo $222,000 $211 68
18810 Olympia 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,002 (+5%) 3mo $185,000 $185 64
17324 Salem St 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 954 (+0%) 2mo $74,900 $79 59
18515 Sumner 0.37mi 2/1.0 (-1) 860 (-10%) 5mo $87,000 $101 55
18671 Five Points St 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 876 (-8%) 2mo $72,000 $82 47
18680 Five Points St 0.68mi 2/1.5 (-1) 837 (-12%) 1mo $95,000 $114 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.5%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-13,618
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-314
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48240

Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,269 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$67 /mo · $804/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$267
Net cashflow
$143

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,088
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
25822 W 6 Mile Rd Redford Township, MI 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 24d 1 0.39mi
26539 Clarita Redford, MI 3.0 1.5 931 $1,875 $2.01 24d 1 0.60mi
17324 Salem St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 989 $1,200 $1.21 24d 1 0.69mi
18732 Salem Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 925 $1,050 $1.14 12d 1 0.80mi
18302 Wormer St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1046 $1,475 $1.41 43d 1 0.96mi
16800 Wormer St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 912 $1,250 $1.37 17d 1 1.10mi
19354 Seminole Redford, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,450 $1.38 24d 1 1.12mi
16581 Wormer St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 720 $1,100 $1.53 43d 1 1.13mi
24224 W 7 Mile Rd Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 600 $875 $1.46 43d 3 1.14mi
16800 Telegraph Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 775 $875 $1.13 43d 1 1.24mi
16207 Woodbine St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,294 $1.29 4d 1 1.27mi
19250 Telegraph Rd Unit O7 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 820 $975 $1.19 24d 1 1.30mi
19248 Telegraph Rd Unit P7 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 820 $975 $1.19 24d 1 1.31mi
19264 Telegraph Rd Unit G7 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 820 $975 $1.19 43d 1 1.32mi
19276 Telegraph Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 820 $975 $1.19 43d 1 1.32mi
18405 Gillman St Livonia, MI 3.0 2.0 1014 $1,950 $1.92 5d 1 1.33mi
15490 Dixie Redford, MI 3.0 1.0 912 $1,600 $1.75 5d 1 1.40mi
16131 Dale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 17d 1 1.41mi
20083 Salem St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 969 $1,050 $1.08 4d 1 1.43mi
20083 Salem St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 969 $1,050 $1.08 10d 1 1.43mi
20410 Five Points St Redford, MI 3.0 1.0 950 $1,600 $1.68 4d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 1397-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1397 chars)

    PLEASE SUBMIT ALL OFFERS BY MAY 11TH AT 5:00 PM. REVIEWING ALL OFFERS WITH THE OWNERS AT 7:00 PM. Welcome to this charming and move-in-ready brick ranch located in a quiet neighborhood of Redford Township. This well-maintained home features 3 spacious bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, offering a comfortable and functional layout ideal for families or first-time buyers. Step inside to a bright and inviting living room with large picture windows that fill the space with natural light. The kitchen is updated with modern appliances, ample cabinet space, and flows seamlessly into a dining area - perfect for everyday living and entertaining. All three bedrooms are generously sized, providing flexibility for guests, a home office, or growing families. The full bathroom has been recently updated with contemporary finishes, while the convenient half bath adds extra practicality. The home also features a full basement, partially finished, offering additional living space, a laundry area, and plenty of storage. Outside, enjoy a large, fenced backyard - ideal for pets, gatherings, or relaxing evenings. A detached garage and recent updates (including flooring, paint, and mechanicals) add to the home's value and appeal. With its classic ranch layout, modern updates, and desirable location, this property offers a perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and affordability. Home is being sold as is.

  2. 2026-05-12
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (1397 chars)

    PLEASE SUBMIT ALL OFFERS BY MAY 11TH AT 5:00 PM. REVIEWING ALL OFFERS WITH THE OWNERS AT 7:00 PM. Welcome to this charming and move-in-ready brick ranch located in a quiet neighborhood of Redford Township. This well-maintained home features 3 spacious bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, offering a comfortable and functional layout ideal for families or first-time buyers. Step inside to a bright and inviting living room with large picture windows that fill the space with natural light. The kitchen is updated with modern appliances, ample cabinet space, and flows seamlessly into a dining area - perfect for everyday living and entertaining. All three bedrooms are generously sized, providing flexibility for guests, a home office, or growing families. The full bathroom has been recently updated with contemporary finishes, while the convenient half bath adds extra practicality. The home also features a full basement, partially finished, offering additional living space, a laundry area, and plenty of storage. Outside, enjoy a large, fenced backyard - ideal for pets, gatherings, or relaxing evenings. A detached garage and recent updates (including flooring, paint, and mechanicals) add to the home's value and appeal. With its classic ranch layout, modern updates, and desirable location, this property offers a perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and affordability. Home is being sold as is.

  3. 2026-05-08
    listed $140,000 Active 1397-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1397 chars)

    PLEASE SUBMIT ALL OFFERS BY MAY 11TH AT 5:00 PM. REVIEWING ALL OFFERS WITH THE OWNERS AT 7:00 PM. Welcome to this charming and move-in-ready brick ranch located in a quiet neighborhood of Redford Township. This well-maintained home features 3 spacious bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, offering a comfortable and functional layout ideal for families or first-time buyers. Step inside to a bright and inviting living room with large picture windows that fill the space with natural light. The kitchen is updated with modern appliances, ample cabinet space, and flows seamlessly into a dining area - perfect for everyday living and entertaining. All three bedrooms are generously sized, providing flexibility for guests, a home office, or growing families. The full bathroom has been recently updated with contemporary finishes, while the convenient half bath adds extra practicality. The home also features a full basement, partially finished, offering additional living space, a laundry area, and plenty of storage. Outside, enjoy a large, fenced backyard - ideal for pets, gatherings, or relaxing evenings. A detached garage and recent updates (including flooring, paint, and mechanicals) add to the home's value and appeal. With its classic ranch layout, modern updates, and desirable location, this property offers a perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and affordability. Home is being sold as is.

  4. 2026-05-08
    listed $140,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (1397 chars)

    PLEASE SUBMIT ALL OFFERS BY MAY 11TH AT 5:00 PM. REVIEWING ALL OFFERS WITH THE OWNERS AT 7:00 PM. Welcome to this charming and move-in-ready brick ranch located in a quiet neighborhood of Redford Township. This well-maintained home features 3 spacious bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, offering a comfortable and functional layout ideal for families or first-time buyers. Step inside to a bright and inviting living room with large picture windows that fill the space with natural light. The kitchen is updated with modern appliances, ample cabinet space, and flows seamlessly into a dining area - perfect for everyday living and entertaining. All three bedrooms are generously sized, providing flexibility for guests, a home office, or growing families. The full bathroom has been recently updated with contemporary finishes, while the convenient half bath adds extra practicality. The home also features a full basement, partially finished, offering additional living space, a laundry area, and plenty of storage. Outside, enjoy a large, fenced backyard - ideal for pets, gatherings, or relaxing evenings. A detached garage and recent updates (including flooring, paint, and mechanicals) add to the home's value and appeal. With its classic ranch layout, modern updates, and desirable location, this property offers a perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and affordability. Home is being sold as is.

  5. 2026-05-02
    historical $140,000 1397-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1397 chars)

    PLEASE SUBMIT ALL OFFERS BY MAY 11TH AT 5:00 PM. REVIEWING ALL OFFERS WITH THE OWNERS AT 7:00 PM. Welcome to this charming and move-in-ready brick ranch located in a quiet neighborhood of Redford Township. This well-maintained home features 3 spacious bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, offering a comfortable and functional layout ideal for families or first-time buyers. Step inside to a bright and inviting living room with large picture windows that fill the space with natural light. The kitchen is updated with modern appliances, ample cabinet space, and flows seamlessly into a dining area - perfect for everyday living and entertaining. All three bedrooms are generously sized, providing flexibility for guests, a home office, or growing families. The full bathroom has been recently updated with contemporary finishes, while the convenient half bath adds extra practicality. The home also features a full basement, partially finished, offering additional living space, a laundry area, and plenty of storage. Outside, enjoy a large, fenced backyard - ideal for pets, gatherings, or relaxing evenings. A detached garage and recent updates (including flooring, paint, and mechanicals) add to the home's value and appeal. With its classic ranch layout, modern updates, and desirable location, this property offers a perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and affordability. Home is being sold as is.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$804 · $67/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,480 · $123/mo
Expected delta
+$676/yr (+$56/mo · 84.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,230
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$804
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,218
− Management
−$1,218
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable loss
−$626
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$150
After-tax cash flow
$1,868/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Redford Union Schools District No. 1
NCES district ID
2629460
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$49,778
Composite
14.1/100
National rank
#9460
State rank
#489 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
572,865
Population (ZIP)
17,097

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 45% Black 40% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -177.98%
Current HPI
236.2958
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $140,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-02 Coming Soon $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $804 · -60.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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