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3210 Arrowwood Dr
D+ Composite 48.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$215,000

3210 Arrowwood Dr · Fort Wayne, IN 46815
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,843 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 153 Days on market
Built 1970 10,799 sqft lot Est $260k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Back on the market and wont last long! This sprawling ranch home is in the sought-after Blackhawk Subdivision! With 1,890 sq ft of comfortable living space, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features an expansive primary suite with a private seating area or study — perfect for remote work or a quiet retreat. Enjoy newer flooring throughout the main living areas, a cozy wood-burning stove, and a bright 4-season room that extends your living space year-round. The fenced backyard offers both privacy and room to play or entertain, while the rare 3-car garage includes a heated third bay — ideal for a workshop, hobby space, or extra storage. Additional highlights include a new roof and char

Key facts

  • 4 season room
  • Private seating area
  • Fenced backyard

Tags

PRIVATE SEATING AREAWOOD BURNING STOVE4 SEASON ROOMFENCED BACKYARDHEATED THIRD BAYNEW ROOF

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 3 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built home; One-story
  • Construction: Brick and wood siding construction; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; Built as site-built home
  • Exterior features: Privacy fencing; Corner, level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 90 x 120

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher, refrigerator, gas range
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Hot water heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Main-level laundry; Includes dishwasher, refrigerator, gas range
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $28 ($331/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (13.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $185k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.8% in Fort Wayne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#6 in IN, #676 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+.
  • Fort Wayne Community Schools (urban): math 22% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #263 of 301 in IN (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: J Wilbur Haley Elementary School (math 19% / reading 20%, grade F, #814 of 994 statewide, top 83%, 568 students, 65% FRL); Blackhawk Middle School (math 28% / reading 38%, grade F, #180 of 330 statewide, top 56%, 797 students, 46% FRL); R Nelson Snider High School (math 27% / reading 53%, grade F, #217 of 369 statewide, top 59%, 1,899 students, 50% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,861 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (576 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Allen County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $185,385 (13.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.45%
Cash-on-cash
0.55%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$259,863
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7107 Piegan Pl 0.09mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,829 (-1%) 3mo $260,000 $142 85
3111 Marias Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,682 (-9%) 4mo $240,000 $143 76
3308 Kenaston Dr 0.31mi 3/2.5 1,904 (+3%) 3mo $271,000 $142 75
7101 Piegan Pl 0.07mi 3/2.5 1,647 (-11%) 5mo $224,900 $137 73
7312 Antebellum Blvd 0.24mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,012 (+9%) 5mo $245,000 $122 63
3702 Blueridge Ln 0.33mi 3/2.5 2,036 (+10%) 3mo $265,000 $130 62
2415 Knollwood Ct 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,648 (-11%) 4mo $268,000 $163 61
7530 Glenoak Pkwy 0.49mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,976 (+7%) 2mo $260,000 $132 56
3325 Merrimack Pl 0.57mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,000 (+8%) 1mo $281,000 $141 52
4024 Oakleaf Dr 0.71mi 3/1.0 2,044 (+11%) 1mo $193,000 $94 44
6124 Vance Ave 0.58mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,105 (+14%) 1mo $230,000 $109 42
7728 Wishingwell Ct 0.60mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,584 (-14%) 2mo $275,000 $174 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.4%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-33,084
Equity at exit
$32,057
10-year hold
IRR
-6.9%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-26,554
Equity at exit
$18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46815

Active inventory
101
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,854 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$220 /mo · $2,639/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$389
Net cashflow
$28

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,819
Max offer price $215,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $149 -5% $88 +0% $28 +5% $-33 +10% $-94
Rent -10% $-119 -5% $-46 +0% $28 +5% $101 +10% $174
Rate -1.0pp $136 -0.5pp $82 base $28 +0.5pp $-28 +1.0pp $-85

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3226 Arrowwood Dr Fort Wayne, IN 4.0 2.0 2096 $1,949 $0.93 44d 1 0.01mi
3010 Simcoe Dr Fort Wayne, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 940 $1,609 $1.71 14d 10 0.34mi
1919 Bear Paw Dr Fort Wayne, IN 4.0 3.0 1792 $1,950 $1.09 14d 1 0.71mi
4725 Maple Terrace Pkwy Fort Wayne, IN 4.0 2.0 2068 $2,200 $1.06 14d 1 1.13mi
3212 W Bartlett Dr Fort Wayne, IN 2.0 2.0 1289 $2,250 $1.75 44d 1 1.24mi
3213 W Bartlett Dr Fort Wayne, IN 2.0 2.0 1445 $2,250 $1.56 44d 1 1.28mi
3215 W Bartlett Dr Fort Wayne, IN 2.0 2.0 1464 $2,380 $1.63 44d 1 1.28mi
4920 Desoto Dr Fort Wayne, IN 4.0 2.0 1738 $1,924 $1.11 14d 1 1.38mi
1357 Lofton Way Fort Wayne, IN 3.0 2.0 1448 $1,995 $1.38 14d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-28
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-28
    price $215,000
  4. 2026-04-02
    historical Active Under Contract
  5. 2026-03-30
    status Active
  6. 2026-03-30
    price $244,900
  7. 2026-02-09
    status Pending
  8. 2025-11-11
    price $249,900
  9. 2025-10-17
    price $259,900
  10. 2025-10-10
    listed $264,900 Active
  11. 2015-06-25
    listed $122,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,639 · $220/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,639 · $220/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,246
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$2,639
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,780
− Management
−$1,780
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable loss
−$3,325
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$798
After-tax cash flow
$1,129/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Wayne Community Schools
NCES district ID
1803630
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,951
Composite
21.68/100
National rank
#8275
State rank
#263 of 301 in IN

Livability — Fort Wayne

Score
84/100
State rank
#6
US rank
#676

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Wayne, IN
County
Allen County · 326,813 people
City population
326,813
Metro
Fort Wayne, IN
Population (ZIP)
27,238
Household income
$73,239
Rent vs Own
24.9% rent · 75.1% own
Severe rent burden
604.0

Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
394,020 people
By 2030
405,128 · +2.8%
By 2040
423,476 · +7.5%
By 2050
435,137 · +10.4%
By 2075
450,293 · +14.3%
By 2100
424,101 · +7.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Philippines, Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 4% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allen

2024 margin
R (+12.5) · D 42.9% · R 55.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-8.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.3pp · 2024: -12.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.5 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+4.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -219.81%
Current HPI
245.2095
Rent YoY
Metro
Fort Wayne, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+75.5% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Pending IRMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted IRMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $215,000 IRMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Contingent IRMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Relisted IRMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $244,900 IRMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Pending IRMLS
  • 2025-11-11 Price Changed $249,900 IRMLS
  • 2025-10-17 Price Changed $259,900 IRMLS
  • 2025-10-10 Listed $264,900 IRMLS
  • 2015-06-25 Listed $122,500 IRMLS

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,639 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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