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1704 Baler Ave
D- Composite 38.17
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.2/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.4/30.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.7/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$422,990

1704 Baler Ave · Aurora, IL 60503
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,794 sqft · Townhouse · 4 Days on market
Built 2026 1,704 sqft lot $236/sqft · at area comps Est $440k · at est. $228/mo HOA · 8% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover yourself at 1704 Baler Ave, a beautiful new townhome in our Wheatland Crossing community in Aurora, Illinois. This home will be ready for fall move in! This home includes a look-out basement, a two car garage and a fully maintained home site. This Ashton plan offers 1,794 square feet of living space with 3 bedrooms, a loft, and 2.5 baths. As you enter the home, you will be greeted by the open concept design, including dining and living areas and an expansive kitchen overlooking it all. The kitchen features designer cabinetry, a spacious island with quartz countertops, a pantry, and stainless-steel appliances. Luxury vinyl floors are included in all of the first level and has 9' ceilings through-out. Upstairs you will find a nicely sized loft and a large primary bedroom with 2 closets and an en suite bath. There is also a laundry room, a second full bath, and two additional bedrooms. Impressive innovative ERV furnace system and tankless water heater round out the amazing features this home has to offer. All Chicago homes include our America's Smart Home Technology featuring a smart video doorbell, smart Honeywall thermostat, smart door lock, Deako smart light switches and more. Photos of similar home. Photos are of similar home.

Key facts

  • Spacious island
  • Quartz countertops
  • Look-out basement

Tags

LOOK-OUT BASEMENTFULLY MAINTAINED HOME SITEDESIGNER CABINETRYSPACIOUS ISLANDQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS-STEEL APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: Wheatland Crossing; Located in Aurora (township: Oswego); Lot dimensions approximately 24 x 71; Directions: From Ogden Avenue, take S. Farnsworth to Hafenrichter Rd. to Canyon Creek Drive. Community on left.
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association fee of $228 monthly; HOA fee includes insurance and other items; Pets allowed (cats and dogs permitted)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (garage owned); Asphalt driveway; 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Attached single property; Townhouse — 2 story model (ASHTON); Entry level: 1; Fee simple ownership with homeowners association; New construction / proposed construction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Part of a 4-unit building
  • Exterior features: Deck

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with island; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (master bedroom located on second level); Additional loft on second level
  • Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms, loft, and master bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom; Double sink in bathroom(s)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Separate dining room; Unfinished basement with partial and full exposure; Seven total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Upper-level laundry; Gas dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $423k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-918 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $290k (31.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $283k (33.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $283k (33.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#232 in IL, #4,272 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
  • CUSD 308 (suburban): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #179 of 620 in IL (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: The Wheatlands Elementary School (math 39% / reading 46%, grade F, #329 of 2,056 statewide, top 16%, 550 students, 0% FRL); Bednarcik Junior High School (math 39% / reading 38%, grade F, #154 of 665 statewide, top 24%, 571 students, 0% FRL); Oswego East High School (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #104 of 693 statewide, top 15%, 2,836 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 20% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 706 units permitted in Kendall County in 2024 (263 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $45k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $42k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Kendall County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$73k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $282,662 (33.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.67%
Cap rate
3.69%
Cash-on-cash
-9.30%
DSCR
0.59
GRM
12.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$439,520
List price
$422,990
Delta
-3.76%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1745 Baler Ave 0.01mi 3/2.5 1,794 (0%) 3mo $366,640 $204 97
1715 Baler Ave 0.08mi 3/2.5 1,794 (0%) 2mo $411,990 $230 95
1733 Baler Ave 0.08mi 3/2.5 1,794 (0%) 2mo $409,990 $229 95
1733 Stable Ln 0.14mi 3/2.5 1,794 (0%) 1mo $389,990 $217 93
1737 Stable Ln 0.14mi 3/2.5 1,794 (0%) 1mo $417,990 $233 92
1705 Pontarelli Ct 0.38mi 3/2.5 1,723 (-4%) 1mo $333,000 $193 75
1975 Misty Ridge Ct Unit 1-1 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,797 (+0%) 1mo $346,000 $193 75
2084 Canyon Creek Ct 0.38mi 3/2.5 1,889 (+5%) 0mo $430,000 $228 73
1959 Misty Ridge Ct #1959 0.41mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,572 (-12%) 3mo $310,000 $197 51
552 Lincoln Station Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,597 (-11%) 0mo $328,000 $205 50
558 Lincoln Station Dr #558 0.64mi 3/2.5 1,545 (-14%) 1mo $310,000 $201 47
1633 Fredericksburg Ln #1633 0.50mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,572 (-12%) 3mo $284,000 $181 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.8%
Equity multiple
2.45×
Total profit
$172,076
Equity at exit
$381,063
10-year hold
IRR
16.7%
Equity multiple
5.67×
Total profit
$553,086
Equity at exit
$821,777

Cash invested: $118,437 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60503

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
124
Price-to-rent
12.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,827 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,218
Tax est. 1.5%
$529 /mo · $6,345/yr
Insurance
$176
HOA
$228
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$594
Net cashflow
$-918

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,989
Max offer price $290,131
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$105,748
Closing costs
$12,690
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1998 Conway Ln Aurora, IL 4.0 2.5 2304 $3,200 $1.39 43d 1 0.22mi
1847 Clubhouse Dr Aurora, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1238 $2,781 $2.25 1d 24 0.23mi
2048 Canyon Creek Ct Aurora, IL 4.0 2.5 1794 $3,400 $1.90 22d 1 0.32mi
1801 Turtle Creek Dr Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1794 $3,300 $1.84 18d 1 0.35mi
2333 Summerlin Dr #2333 Aurora, IL 2.0 2.0 1572 $2,500 $1.59 43d 1 0.68mi
2337 Summerlin Dr Aurora, IL 3.0 1.5 1700 $2,500 $1.47 43d 1 0.68mi
616 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL 2.0 2.5 1318 $2,250 $1.71 24d 1 0.73mi
669 Lincoln Station Dr #669 Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1315 $2,250 $1.71 20d 1 0.75mi
640 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL 2.0 2.5 1318 $2,100 $1.59 43d 1 0.77mi
644 Lincoln Station Dr #644 Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1318 $2,250 $1.71 43d 1 0.77mi
652 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,999 $1.33 17d 1 0.78mi
652 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,999 $1.33 3d 1 0.78mi
690 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1318 $2,100 $1.59 2d 1 0.82mi
2205 Daybreak Dr #2205 Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1700 $2,500 $1.47 5d 1 0.96mi
2226 Daybreak Dr #2226 Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1627 $2,500 $1.54 43d 1 0.98mi
1419 Farrington Ln Aurora, IL 3.0 1.5 1476 $2,959 $2.00 2d 1 1.20mi
2516 Hillsboro Blvd Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1482 $2,300 $1.55 17d 1 1.24mi
2036 Antietam Ct Aurora, IL 4.0 2.5 2345 $3,450 $1.47 2d 1 1.26mi
2460 Georgetown Cir Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1532 $2,400 $1.57 1d 1 1.26mi
2531 Congress Ave #2531 Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1532 $2,500 $1.63 43d 1 1.33mi
2575 Hillsboro Blvd Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1530 $2,500 $1.63 43d 1 1.35mi
2550 Providence Ave Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1550 $2,300 $1.48 43d 1 1.36mi
2598 Hillsboro Blvd Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1482 $2,395 $1.62 20d 1 1.37mi
2420 Harbor Ct Aurora, IL 3.0 2.0 1705 $3,150 $1.85 24d 1 1.40mi
2270 Georgetown Cir Unit 2270 Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1533 $2,800 $1.83 43d 1 1.40mi
347 Devoe Dr Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1520 $2,595 $1.71 12d 1 1.45mi
337 Devoe Dr #337 Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,600 $1.73 24d 1 1.45mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$228 · $2,736/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $422,990 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $422,990 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $422,990 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on marketlisting id $422,990 Active 1 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $422,990 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $422,990 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $422,990 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $422,990 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $422,990 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $422,990 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $422,990 Active 32 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $422,990 Active 31 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $422,990 Active 30 DOM
  14. 2026-05-01
    listed $422,990 Active 1256-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1256 chars)

    Discover yourself at 1704 Baler Ave, a beautiful new townhome in our Wheatland Crossing community in Aurora, Illinois. This home will be ready for fall move in! This home includes a look-out basement, a two car garage and a fully maintained home site. This Ashton plan offers 1,794 square feet of living space with 3 bedrooms, a loft, and 2.5 baths. As you enter the home, you will be greeted by the open concept design, including dining and living areas and an expansive kitchen overlooking it all. The kitchen features designer cabinetry, a spacious island with quartz countertops, a pantry, and stainless-steel appliances. Luxury vinyl floors are included in all of the first level and has 9' ceilings through-out. Upstairs you will find a nicely sized loft and a large primary bedroom with 2 closets and an en suite bath. There is also a laundry room, a second full bath, and two additional bedrooms. Impressive innovative ERV furnace system and tankless water heater round out the amazing features this home has to offer. All Chicago homes include our America's Smart Home Technology featuring a smart video doorbell, smart Honeywall thermostat, smart door lock, Deako smart light switches and more. Photos of similar home. Photos are of similar home.

  15. 2026-04-30
    listed $422,990 Active 1107-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,919
− Mortgage interest
−$23,694
− Property taxes
−$6,345
− Insurance
−$2,115
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,714
− Management
−$2,714
− HOA
−$2,736
− Depreciation
−$12,305
Taxable loss
−$18,703
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,489
After-tax cash flow
$-6,529/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
CUSD 308
NCES district ID
1730270
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$89,945
Composite
31.25/100
National rank
#6028
State rank
#179 of 620 in IL

Livability — Aurora

Score
75/100
State rank
#232
US rank
#4272

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime B- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Will County · 412,448 people
City population
186,692
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
16,789
Household income
$136,726
Rent vs Own
9.8% rent · 90.2% own
Severe rent burden
19.0

Population outlook (Kendall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
138,283 people
By 2030
144,935 · +4.8%
By 2040
156,944 · +13.5%
By 2050
165,424 · +19.6%
By 2075
174,715 · +26.3%
By 2100
168,523 · +21.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Asian 19% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Scandinavian 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
68% English-only · Other Indo-European 11% Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Kendall

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-5.7pp toward R · 2008: 7.2pp · 2024: 1.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.7 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+4.1 2008: D+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.31%
Current HPI
232.382
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Listed $422,990 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-14 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $422,990 Zillow
  • 2026-04-30 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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