5530 Partridge Ave · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$24,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investors take a look! Brick bunglow. AS-IS, WHERE-IS. Some rehab has been started. Seller to make no repairs or provide inspections. No utilities currently on, bring a flashlight. Great investment and rental potential.
Key facts
- 7,000 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 73 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $619 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($984 rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $23k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 36.1% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $306 of equity ($172 loan paydown + $134 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 36.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 106.61%
- DSCR
- 5.74
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $39,620
- List price
- $24,900
- Delta
- -37.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5640 Hiller | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,050 (-2%) | 8mo | $79,900 | $76 | 72 |
| 5756 Floy | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+1%) | 8mo | $69,000 | $64 | 61 |
| 5052 Plover Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,041 (-2%) | 5mo | $22,500 | $22 | 61 |
| 5741 Floy Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+3%) | 6mo | $65,000 | $59 | 60 |
| 5709 Goodfellow Blvd | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,020 (-4%) | 4mo | $19,900 | $20 | 57 |
| 5712 Floy Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 966 (-10%) | 1mo | $62,000 | $64 | 55 |
| 6111 Lalite Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 988 (-8%) | 7mo | $75,000 | $76 | 51 |
| 5916 Alpha Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 936 (-12%) | 3mo | $74,900 | $80 | 48 |
| 5407 Genevieve Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 920 (-14%) | 5mo | $40,000 | $43 | 45 |
| 5410 Emerson Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,150 (+8%) | 5mo | $45,000 | $39 | 45 |
| 5713 Goodfellow Blvd | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-10%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $78 | 44 |
| 5431 Arlington Ave | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,196 (+12%) | 9mo | $32,300 | $27 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.65×
- Total profit
- $39,367
- Equity at exit
- $7,909
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.78×
- Total profit
- $89,110
- Equity at exit
- $10,067
Cash invested: $6,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63120
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 2.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $984 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $205/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$207
- Net cashflow
- $619
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,225
- Closing costs
- $747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5931 Emma Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,200 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 5546 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,273 | $1.50 | 20d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 5721 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,120 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5756 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $995 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5741 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 5654 Acme Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $325 | $0.34 | 21d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 6150 Sherry Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $896 | $0.87 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5955 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,050 | $1.02 | 3d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5662 Wilborn Dr Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $850 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 6153 Laura Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 834 | $1,000 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 5415 Hamilton Ave Unit Labs Jennings, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,100 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5439 Hodiamont Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $950 | $1.23 | 17d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4719 Plover Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $995 | $1.34 | 4d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4715 Thrush Ave Unit 24 St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 8502 Dianthus Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $1,175 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1942 Damato Ct Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 905 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 8828 Riverview Blvd Apt 2S St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $850 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 7030 Emma Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 801 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 7036 Garesche Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $950 | $1.10 | 17d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 7131 Garesche Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,090 | $1.19 | 4d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 7142 Lamont Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 17d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5516 Fairridge Ct Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $995 | $0.90 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4908 W Florissant Ave Apt A St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $695 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4908 W Florissant Ave Unit B St. Louis, MO | — | 1.0 | 750 | $675 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5615 Beldon Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $950 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4919 Thekla Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 931 | $700 | $0.75 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 8344 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 4d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 7218 Albright Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $980 | $0.89 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 8347 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,075 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 7160 Beulah Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,059 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 8817 Shady Grove Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1085 | $1,075 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 7304 Albright Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $24,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $24,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $29,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $29,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $29,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $29,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $29,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $29,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $29,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $29,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $29,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $29,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $29,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-04-06$29,900 Active 219-char remark
Show marketing remark (219 chars)
Investors take a look! Brick bunglow. AS-IS, WHERE-IS. Some rehab has been started. Seller to make no repairs or provide inspections. No utilities currently on, bring a flashlight. Great investment and rental potential.
-
2025-10-20$49,900 Active
-
2025-05-03$99,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $205 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $242 · $20/mo
- Expected delta
- +$37/yr (+$3/mo · 18.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,809
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,395
- − Property taxes
- −$205
- − Insurance
- −$124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$945
- − Management
- −$945
- − Depreciation
- −$724
- Taxable income
- $7,471
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,793
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,640/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,790
- Household income
- $35,176
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 555.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% Two or more races 7% White 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.54%
- Current HPI
- 141.8177
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-70.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Listed $29,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-20 Listed $49,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-03 Listed $99,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2024): $205 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…