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1623 Vallejo St Multi-family
D+ Composite 48.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$2,799,000

1623 Vallejo St · San Francisco, CA 94123
5 bd · 4.0 ba · 3,707 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 301 Days on market
Built 1900 3,040 sqft lot Est $2280k · 23% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

1623 Vallejo Street, a prime property located in the heart of San Francisco's prestigious Pacific Heights neighborhood. This property features four distinct units, offering great investment potential. One unit features 2 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and an updated kitchen with modern appliances. Fireplace & hardwood floors. Enjoy direct access to a private backyard with a BBQ area, perfect for entertaining. 3-1BR/1Ba Units: Ideal for tenants, these units provide a cozy living environment in a vibrant and desirable area. Additional space in the basement is perfect for storage and can be used as a private office/Gym, offering flexibility for various needs. Large patio in the front. This propert

Key facts

  • Private backyard
  • Modern appliances
  • Distinct units

Tags

PACIFIC HEIGHTS NEIGHBORHOODDISTINCT UNITSUPDATED KITCHENMODERN APPLIANCESPRIVATE BACKYARDBBQ AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Four-unit building with all 4 units currently leased; Unit mix includes three 1-bedroom units and one 2-bedroom unit
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached side-by-side garage for 2 cars; Total 2 parking spaces (covered)
  • Utilities: City utilities; Electricity available with separate meters; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential income property (Quadruplex); Three or more levels; Built in 1900
  • Construction: Wood construction; Asphalt roof; Concrete foundation
  • Exterior features: Balcony/Deck; Landscaped lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing gas range; Free-standing refrigerator; Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: Five bedrooms
  • Flooring: Wood floors
  • Bathrooms: Five bathrooms (4 full, 1 partial)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Fireplace(s)
  • Interior features: Fireplace(s); Gas heating (natural gas)
  • Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath multifamily listed at $2.80M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $777 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $2.34M (16.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $2.34M (16.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+19.2%/yr); 59 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $23,373/mo this rent would consume 128% of the median local household income ($219k/yr) (locally 883% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $248k of equity ($19k loan paydown + $229k appreciation (8.2% local appreciation)).
  • San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (8.2% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $784k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$398k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 301 days — a 12% lower offer ($2.46M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 87% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $1.18M; list at $2.80M implies a 137% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $2,337,300 (16.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 301 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.63%
Cash-on-cash
1.19%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$2,279,805
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1531 Filbert St 0.20mi 4/4.0 (-1) 3,680 (-1%) 1mo $2,025,000 $550 84
1325-1327 Vallejo St 0.31mi 5/3.0 3,660 (-1%) 15mo $2,699,000 $737 67
2209 Gough St 0.20mi 5/— 3,489 (-6%) 18mo $2,950,000 $846 66
1358-1360 Union St 0.25mi 5/— 3,333 (-10%) 9mo $3,550,000 $1,065 64
2512-2516 Sacramento St 0.69mi 4/— (-1) 3,700 (-0%) 1mo $3,275,000 $885 61
2749 Gough St 0.23mi 6/4.0 (+1) 3,514 (-5%) 18mo $1,870,000 $532 60
1272-1276 Sacramento St 0.65mi 6/3.0 (+1) 3,765 (+2%) 3mo $2,200,000 $584 56
3130 Octavia St 0.43mi 6/4.0 (+1) 4,210 (+14%) 1mo $2,375,000 $564 52
1230 Broadway St 0.40mi 6/— (+1) 3,980 (+7%) 16mo $1,625,000 $408 51
1341-1343 Green St 0.22mi 4/3.0 (-1) 4,222 (+14%) 13mo $2,595,000 $615 47
837-839 Filbert St 0.69mi 6/2.0 (+1) 3,666 (-1%) 10mo $2,090,000 $570 45
1015 Francisco St 0.51mi 5/4.0 4,258 (+15%) 19mo $3,850,000 $904 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.18% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.1%
Equity multiple
2.73×
Total profit
$1,357,073
Equity at exit
$2,160,204
10-year hold
IRR
22.5%
Equity multiple
6.37×
Total profit
$4,212,167
Equity at exit
$4,320,556

Cash invested: $783,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City San Francisco
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
SF Rent Ordinance + Eviction Protections; relocation $10k+; one of strictest in US.

ZIP-level market 94123

Home prices YoY
4.0%
Rents YoY
19.2%
Active inventory
59
Price-to-rent
37.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$23,373 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$14,678
Tax from tax record
$1,843 /mo · $22,119/yr
Insurance
$1,166
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$4,908
Net cashflow
$777

Break-even live

Break-even rent $22,390
Max offer price $2,799,000
Occupancy floor 92%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 2 2.5 $6,151
Total (4 units) $23,373

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$699,750
Closing costs
$83,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
San Francisco, CA 5.0 4.5 3100 $29,990 $9.67 7d 1 0.59mi
2577 Post St San Francisco, CA 4.0 3.0 2754 $15,000 $5.45 3d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $2,799,000 Active 301 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $2,799,000 Active 300 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $2,799,000 Active 299 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $2,799,000 Active 298 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $2,799,000 Active 296 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $2,799,000 Active 295 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $2,799,000 Active 292 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $2,799,000 Active 291 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $2,799,000 Active 290 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $2,799,000 Active 287 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $2,799,000 Active 286 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $2,799,000 Active 285 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $2,799,000 Active 284 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $2,799,000 Active 283 DOM
  15. 2025-12-06
    price $2,799,000
  16. 2025-11-23
    listed $1,495,000 Active
  17. 2025-10-08
    price $2,950,000
  18. 2025-08-21
    listed $3,680,000 Active
  19. 2003-08-11
    soldstatus $1,180,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$22,119 · $1,843/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$22,119 · $1,843/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥79°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$280,476
− Mortgage interest
−$156,788
− Property taxes
−$22,119
− Insurance
−$13,995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$22,438
− Management
−$22,438
− Depreciation
−$81,425
Taxable loss
−$38,727
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$9,294
After-tax cash flow
$18,618/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Francisco Unified
NCES district ID
0634410
Math proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$81,249
Composite
50.14/100
National rank
#4088
State rank
#322 of 1400 in CA

Livability — San Francisco

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3143

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Francisco, CA
County
San Francisco County · 827,552 people
City population
827,552
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
24,054
Household income
$218,603
Rent vs Own
69.6% rent · 30.4% own
Severe rent burden
883.0

Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,030,936 people
By 2030
1,110,409 · +7.7%
By 2040
1,270,010 · +23.2%
By 2050
1,435,001 · +39.2%
By 2075
1,779,074 · +72.6%
By 2100
1,966,767 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Asian 11% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Salvadoran 1%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 4% Italian 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.18%
Current HPI
212.9289
Rent YoY
▲ 19.17%
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+137.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-06 Price Changed $2,799,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2025-11-23 Listed $1,495,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2025-10-08 Price Changed $2,950,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2025-08-21 Listed $3,680,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2003-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $1,180,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $22,119 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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