3275 Hidden Gold · Bolivar Peninsula, TX
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- VE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $5,013 – $11,043
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Appreciation +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$350,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This spacious beach retreat offers peekaboo views of both the beach and bay from its 208 sq ft, partially shaded deck. Tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac in Lafitte’s Landing, this 2-bedroom, 2-bath beach house delivers incredible value at an affordable price. Inside, enjoy vaulted ceilings in the open-concept living and kitchen area, two impressively large bedrooms (15' x 11.5"), and two full baths with modern decor and finishes throughout, such as granite countertops and LVP flooring. Outside, an extended deck, relaxing hot tub, sand shower, one-car garage, and oversized double-wide driveway provide plenty of space for guests, gear, and beach toys. A true turnkey getaway—get under contract today and start planning your weekends at the coast!
Key facts
- Quiet cul-de-sac
- Relaxing hot tub
- Extended deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-435 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $273k (22.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $317k (9.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $273k (22.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.1% in Bolivar Peninsula — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#719 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Galveston ISD (town): math 33% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #514 of 826 in TX (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 770 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,258 units permitted in Galveston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Galveston County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($308k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $669/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone VE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.87%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $384,111
- List price
- $350,000
- Delta
- -8.88%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3271 Hidden Gold | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,040 (0%) | 6mo | $325,900 | $313 | 90 |
| 3287 Hidden Gold | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,178 (+13%) | 6mo | $349,900 | $297 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-84,046
- Equity at exit
- $52,186
- IRR
- -20.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.10×
- Total profit
- $-107,354
- Equity at exit
- $30,262
Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77650
- Home prices YoY
- -1.9%
- Active inventory
- 770
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,173 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$291 /mo · $3,497/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$669 /mo · $8,028/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$666
- Net cashflow
- $-435
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,500
- Closing costs
- $10,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3229 Castle Dr Unit 1353849P Crystal Beach, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $3,035 | $2.14 | 5d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1714 Texas 87 Unit 1252629P Port Bolivar, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1345 | $4,459 | $3.32 | 5d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $350,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2025-12-11$350,000 Active 770-char remark
Show marketing remark (770 chars)
This spacious beach retreat offers peekaboo views of both the beach and bay from its 208 sq ft, partially shaded deck. Tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac in Lafitte’s Landing, this 2-bedroom, 2-bath beach house delivers incredible value at an affordable price. Inside, enjoy vaulted ceilings in the open-concept living and kitchen area, two impressively large bedrooms (15' x 11.5"), and two full baths with modern decor and finishes throughout, such as granite countertops and LVP flooring. Outside, an extended deck, relaxing hot tub, sand shower, one-car garage, and oversized double-wide driveway provide plenty of space for guests, gear, and beach toys. A true turnkey getaway—get under contract today and start planning your weekends at the coast!
-
2022-02-28soldstatus Sold 928-char remark
Show marketing remark (928 chars)
Precious 2 bedroom, 2 full bath beach cottage with peek a boo views of the beach and the bay! Immaculate home built in 2016 and sellers bought new in 2017. Open kit/dining/living with vaulted ceilings! Tons of windows for lots of natural light! Master has its own bath with shower surround! Full guest bath has tub/shower surround plus a laundry closet with stackable washer/dryer that is included! Home comes fully furnished and is ready for you and your guest on closing day! Downstairs offers louvered garage for your beach toys and parking and also has spacious sand shower. The big bonus is the hot tub downstairs that was purchased only a year ago and is included! This neighborhood has beach access by golf cart and is quiet and charming! Find this gem on Hidden Gold in Lafittes Landing! Never used as a rental so immaculate and ready to move into or start renting! Perfect for full time living, rental or vacation home!
-
2022-02-28soldstatus
Show marketing remark (928 chars)
Precious 2 bedroom, 2 full bath beach cottage with peek a boo views of the beach and the bay! Immaculate home built in 2016 and sellers bought new in 2017. Open kit/dining/living with vaulted ceilings! Tons of windows for lots of natural light! Master has its own bath with shower surround! Full guest bath has tub/shower surround plus a laundry closet with stackable washer/dryer that is included! Home comes fully furnished and is ready for you and your guest on closing day! Downstairs offers louvered garage for your beach toys and parking and also has spacious sand shower. The big bonus is the hot tub downstairs that was purchased only a year ago and is included! This neighborhood has beach access by golf cart and is quiet and charming! Find this gem on Hidden Gold in Lafittes Landing! Never used as a rental so immaculate and ready to move into or start renting! Perfect for full time living, rental or vacation home!
-
2022-01-17status Pending 928-char remark
Show marketing remark (928 chars)
Precious 2 bedroom, 2 full bath beach cottage with peek a boo views of the beach and the bay! Immaculate home built in 2016 and sellers bought new in 2017. Open kit/dining/living with vaulted ceilings! Tons of windows for lots of natural light! Master has its own bath with shower surround! Full guest bath has tub/shower surround plus a laundry closet with stackable washer/dryer that is included! Home comes fully furnished and is ready for you and your guest on closing day! Downstairs offers louvered garage for your beach toys and parking and also has spacious sand shower. The big bonus is the hot tub downstairs that was purchased only a year ago and is included! This neighborhood has beach access by golf cart and is quiet and charming! Find this gem on Hidden Gold in Lafittes Landing! Never used as a rental so immaculate and ready to move into or start renting! Perfect for full time living, rental or vacation home!
-
2022-01-08status Option Pending 928-char remark
Show marketing remark (928 chars)
Precious 2 bedroom, 2 full bath beach cottage with peek a boo views of the beach and the bay! Immaculate home built in 2016 and sellers bought new in 2017. Open kit/dining/living with vaulted ceilings! Tons of windows for lots of natural light! Master has its own bath with shower surround! Full guest bath has tub/shower surround plus a laundry closet with stackable washer/dryer that is included! Home comes fully furnished and is ready for you and your guest on closing day! Downstairs offers louvered garage for your beach toys and parking and also has spacious sand shower. The big bonus is the hot tub downstairs that was purchased only a year ago and is included! This neighborhood has beach access by golf cart and is quiet and charming! Find this gem on Hidden Gold in Lafittes Landing! Never used as a rental so immaculate and ready to move into or start renting! Perfect for full time living, rental or vacation home!
-
2022-01-02$355,000 Active 928-char remark
Show marketing remark (928 chars)
Precious 2 bedroom, 2 full bath beach cottage with peek a boo views of the beach and the bay! Immaculate home built in 2016 and sellers bought new in 2017. Open kit/dining/living with vaulted ceilings! Tons of windows for lots of natural light! Master has its own bath with shower surround! Full guest bath has tub/shower surround plus a laundry closet with stackable washer/dryer that is included! Home comes fully furnished and is ready for you and your guest on closing day! Downstairs offers louvered garage for your beach toys and parking and also has spacious sand shower. The big bonus is the hot tub downstairs that was purchased only a year ago and is included! This neighborhood has beach access by golf cart and is quiet and charming! Find this gem on Hidden Gold in Lafittes Landing! Never used as a rental so immaculate and ready to move into or start renting! Perfect for full time living, rental or vacation home!
-
2018-06-08historical
-
2018-03-10$200,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,497 · $291/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,405 · $534/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,908/yr (+$242/mo · 83.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone VE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 8 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,078
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,605
- − Property taxes
- −$3,497
- − Insurance
- −$9,778
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,046
- − Management
- −$3,046
- − Depreciation
- −$10,182
- Taxable loss
- −$11,077
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,659
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,560/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Galveston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4820280
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,162
- Composite
- 30.22/100
- National rank
- #6299
- State rank
- #514 of 826 in TX
Livability — Bolivar Peninsula
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #719
- US rank
- #13437
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bolivar Peninsula, TX
- City population
- 2,957
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,362
Population outlook (Galveston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 390,640 people
- By 2030
- 425,226 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 493,765 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 559,698 · +43.3%
- By 2075
- 719,260 · +84.1%
- By 2100
- 819,628 · +109.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 10% Black 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 3% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 14% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Galveston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 35.7% · R 63.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.5pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+26.9 2008: R+19.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.52%
- Current HPI
- 231.5074
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+75.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-11 Listed $350,000 HARMLS
- 2022-02-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-02-28 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2022-01-17 Pending — HARMLS
- 2022-01-08 Pending — HARMLS
- 2022-01-02 Listed $355,000 HARMLS
- 2018-06-08 Delisted — Galveston MLS
- 2018-03-10 Listed $200,000 Galveston MLS
Property tax history
+43.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,497 · -33.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…