3203 Demont Rd · Cayuga, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looks like you’ve found your GET AWAY right here in Seneca County NY! SELLER HAS DELAYED OFFER REVIEW UNTIL 5/11 at 5pm TO GIVE YOU A CHANCE TO VIEW! Close to the CASINO- WINERIES- SHOPPING and so much more! You’ll love vacationing (or LIVING YEAR ROUND) in this updated 3 BEDROOM, 1 FULL BATH, RANCH STYLE home with a METAL ROOL- NEW VINYL SIDING- NEW MINI SPLIT for HEAT and AC! The FRESH remodel includes GRANITE COUNTERS-TILE BACKSPLASH - UPDATED APPLIANCES- LUXURY VINY (EASY CARE) FLOORING TOO! The front room has OVERSIZED windows for a gorgeous view or the water and you’ll even enjoy your OWN dock! Walk right out the kitchen to the patio to enjoy grilling, a quiet cup of
Key facts
- Metal roof
- New mini split
- New vinyl siding
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot is rectangular, residential and city street frontage; Frontage approximately 50 feet (50x174 lot) on Cayuga and Seneca Canal
- Financial info: Land lease payment required
- HOA & community: Association fee paid annually
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Well water; Septic tank; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Single-story home; Existing/resale property; Faces canal waterfront
- Construction: Metal roof; Aluminum and vinyl siding; Block and concrete construction; Spray foam insulation; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as existing (year built details: Existing)
- Exterior features: Dock access; Beach and canal access; Gravel driveway; Shed and storage; See remarks
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven and range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump (heating and cooling); Zoned cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Bedroom on main level; Crawl space basement; One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry with washer and dryer; Accessible utilities
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#955 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Seneca Falls Central School District (town): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #392 of 590 in NY (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 48 units permitted in Seneca County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Seneca County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.74%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $250,006
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -56.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-6,800
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $8,274
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13148
- Home prices YoY
- -19.6%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,145 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,309/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$241
- Net cashflow
- $173
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $235 | -5% $204 | +0% $173 | +5% $142 | +10% $111 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $83 | -5% $128 | +0% $173 | +5% $218 | +10% $264 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $228 | -0.5pp $201 | base $173 | +0.5pp $145 | +1.0pp $116 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $110,000 Pending 43 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 37 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 36 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 30 DOM
-
2026-05-01$110,000 Active 1058-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,309 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,584 · $132/mo
- Expected delta
- +$275/yr (+$23/mo · 21.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,745
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,309
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,100
- − Management
- −$1,100
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $325
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$78
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,999/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Seneca Falls Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3626430
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 17.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,889
- Composite
- 42.34/100
- National rank
- #3253
- State rank
- #392 of 590 in NY
Livability — Cayuga
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #955
- US rank
- #18703
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,798
Population outlook (Seneca County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,457 people
- By 2030
- 32,540 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 30,680 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 28,875 · -13.7%
- By 2075
- 24,757 · -26.0%
- By 2100
- 19,591 · -41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Iranian 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Seneca
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.8) · D 44.1% · R 55.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.4pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -11.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.8 2020: R+9.1 2016: R+12.1 2012: D+9.2 2008: D+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.62%
- Current HPI
- 273.4852
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-27 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $110,000 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,309 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…