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3203 Demont Rd
C- Composite 54.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

3203 Demont Rd · Cayuga, NY 13148
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,193 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1940 $92/sqft · 56% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looks like you’ve found your GET AWAY right here in Seneca County NY! SELLER HAS DELAYED OFFER REVIEW UNTIL 5/11 at 5pm TO GIVE YOU A CHANCE TO VIEW! Close to the CASINO- WINERIES- SHOPPING and so much more! You’ll love vacationing (or LIVING YEAR ROUND) in this updated 3 BEDROOM, 1 FULL BATH, RANCH STYLE home with a METAL ROOL- NEW VINYL SIDING- NEW MINI SPLIT for HEAT and AC! The FRESH remodel includes GRANITE COUNTERS-TILE BACKSPLASH - UPDATED APPLIANCES- LUXURY VINY (EASY CARE) FLOORING TOO! The front room has OVERSIZED windows for a gorgeous view or the water and you’ll even enjoy your OWN dock! Walk right out the kitchen to the patio to enjoy grilling, a quiet cup of

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • New mini split
  • New vinyl siding

Tags

UPDATED RANCH STYLE HOMEMETAL ROOFNEW VINYL SIDINGNEW MINI SPLITGRANITE COUNTERSTILE BACKSPLASH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot is rectangular, residential and city street frontage; Frontage approximately 50 feet (50x174 lot) on Cayuga and Seneca Canal
  • Financial info: Land lease payment required
  • HOA & community: Association fee paid annually

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Well water; Septic tank; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Single-story home; Existing/resale property; Faces canal waterfront
  • Construction: Metal roof; Aluminum and vinyl siding; Block and concrete construction; Spray foam insulation; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as existing (year built details: Existing)
  • Exterior features: Dock access; Beach and canal access; Gravel driveway; Shed and storage; See remarks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven and range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump (heating and cooling); Zoned cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Bedroom on main level; Crawl space basement; One fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry with washer and dryer; Accessible utilities

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#955 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Seneca Falls Central School District (town): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #392 of 590 in NY (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 48 units permitted in Seneca County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Seneca County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $106,700 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.18%
Cash-on-cash
6.74%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$250,006
List price
$110,000
Delta
-56.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.9%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-6,800
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
3.7%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$8,274
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13148

Home prices YoY
-19.6%
Active inventory
52
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,145 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$109 /mo · $1,309/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$241
Net cashflow
$173

Break-even live

Break-even rent $926
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $235 -5% $204 +0% $173 +5% $142 +10% $111
Rent -10% $83 -5% $128 +0% $173 +5% $218 +10% $264
Rate -1.0pp $228 -0.5pp $201 base $173 +0.5pp $145 +1.0pp $116

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $110,000 Pending 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-12
    days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 31 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active Under Contract 30 DOM
  11. 2026-05-01
    listed $110,000 Active 1058-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,309 · $109/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,584 · $132/mo
Expected delta
+$275/yr (+$23/mo · 21.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,745
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,309
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,100
− Management
−$1,100
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$325
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$78
After-tax cash flow
$1,999/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Seneca Falls Central School District
NCES district ID
3626430
Math proficiency
46% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▲ 17.00%
Median HH income
$49,889
Composite
42.34/100
National rank
#3253
State rank
#392 of 590 in NY

Livability — Cayuga

Score
60/100
State rank
#955
US rank
#18703

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,798

Population outlook (Seneca County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,457 people
By 2030
32,540 · -2.7%
By 2040
30,680 · -8.3%
By 2050
28,875 · -13.7%
By 2075
24,757 · -26.0%
By 2100
19,591 · -41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Iranian 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
95% English-only · Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Seneca

2024 margin
R (+11.8) · D 44.1% · R 55.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.4pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -11.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.8 2020: R+9.1 2016: R+12.1 2012: D+9.2 2008: D+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.62%
Current HPI
273.4852
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-27 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $110,000 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,309 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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