3667 Falcons Nest · White Lake, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your new haven in the charming Meadow Lake community! This spacious three-bedroom, two-bathroom manufactured home boasts a unique layout that offers both privacy and functionality. As you enter, you'll find a cozy living room area, partially separated by a wall, creating a sense of intimacy while still maintaining an open feel. The open kitchen and dining area is a chef's dream, featuring ample counter space that wraps around into a convenient barstool seating area. The kitchen is a highlight, equipped with tons of cabinetry, a newer faucet, and dishwasher, ensuring everything you need is at your fingertips. A full walk-in pantry adds to the functionality, making meal prep a breeze. All kitchen appliances, including the fridge, stove, dishwasher, and microwave, will remain with the home. The dedicated laundry room is an added bonus, complete with a washer (less than a year old) and dryer. The home also features a newer hot water tank! Enjoy modern comforts with recessed lighting in the kitchen and a ceiling fan in the living room. Each bedroom features walk-in closets, offering plenty of storage. The primary bathroom is spacious, boasting a standing shower with a sliding glass door and additional built-in cabinetry for your convenience. Nestled in a picturesque location that provides a country feel, this home is part of a community that offers fantastic amenities. Enjoy access to a clubhouse, pool, fully equipped exercise room, playground, and RV storage area. Don't miss out on this meticulously maintained home! Schedule a viewing today and experience the perfect blend of comfort and community living.
Key facts
- Full walk-in pantry
- Ample counter space
- Built 2012
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $59k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $763 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $55k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Holly Area School District (town): math 31% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #165 of 540 in MI (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 68 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.44%
- DSCR
- 3.47
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $33,000
- List price
- $59,000
- Delta
- 78.79%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.37×
- Total profit
- $39,072
- Equity at exit
- $8,797
- IRR
- 58.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.85×
- Total profit
- $96,707
- Equity at exit
- $5,101
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48383
- Active inventory
- 68
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,482 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$74 /mo · $885/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $763
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $804 | -5% $784 | +0% $763 | +5% $743 | +10% $722 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $646 | -5% $705 | +0% $763 | +5% $822 | +10% $880 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $793 | -0.5pp $778 | base $763 | +0.5pp $748 | +1.0pp $732 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3951 Bentwood Cir W White Lake, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,399 | $0.96 | 0d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3202 Giddings Blvd Highland, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $1,695 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3202 Giddings Blvd Highland, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1417 | $1,695 | $1.20 | 10d | 1 | 1.06mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $59,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-04-17$59,000 Active 1639-char remark
Show marketing remark (1651 chars)
Welcome to your new haven in the charming Meadow Lake community! This spacious three-bedroom, two-bathroom manufactured home boasts a unique layout that offers both privacy and functionality. As you enter, you'll find a cozy living room area, partially separated by a wall, creating a sense of intimacy while still maintaining an open feel. The open kitchen and dining area is a chef’s dream, featuring ample counter space that wraps around into a convenient barstool seating area. The kitchen is a highlight, equipped with tons of cabinetry, a newer faucet, and dishwasher, ensuring everything you need is at your fingertips. A full walk-in pantry adds to the functionality, making meal prep a breeze. All kitchen appliances, including the fridge, stove, dishwasher, and microwave, will remain with the home. The dedicated laundry room is an added bonus, complete with a washer (less than a year old) and dryer. The home also features a newer hot water tank! Enjoy modern comforts with recessed lighting in the kitchen and a ceiling fan in the living room. Each bedroom features walk-in closets, offering plenty of storage. The primary bathroom is spacious, boasting a standing shower with a sliding glass door and additional built-in cabinetry for your convenience. Nestled in a picturesque location that provides a country feel, this home is part of a community that offers fantastic amenities. Enjoy access to a clubhouse, pool, fully equipped exercise room, playground, and RV storage area. Don’t miss out on this meticulously maintained home! Schedule a viewing today and experience the perfect blend of comfort and community living.
-
2026-04-17$59,000 Active 1651-char remark
Show marketing remark (1651 chars)
Welcome to your new haven in the charming Meadow Lake community! This spacious three-bedroom, two-bathroom manufactured home boasts a unique layout that offers both privacy and functionality. As you enter, you'll find a cozy living room area, partially separated by a wall, creating a sense of intimacy while still maintaining an open feel. The open kitchen and dining area is a chef’s dream, featuring ample counter space that wraps around into a convenient barstool seating area. The kitchen is a highlight, equipped with tons of cabinetry, a newer faucet, and dishwasher, ensuring everything you need is at your fingertips. A full walk-in pantry adds to the functionality, making meal prep a breeze. All kitchen appliances, including the fridge, stove, dishwasher, and microwave, will remain with the home. The dedicated laundry room is an added bonus, complete with a washer (less than a year old) and dryer. The home also features a newer hot water tank! Enjoy modern comforts with recessed lighting in the kitchen and a ceiling fan in the living room. Each bedroom features walk-in closets, offering plenty of storage. The primary bathroom is spacious, boasting a standing shower with a sliding glass door and additional built-in cabinetry for your convenience. Nestled in a picturesque location that provides a country feel, this home is part of a community that offers fantastic amenities. Enjoy access to a clubhouse, pool, fully equipped exercise room, playground, and RV storage area. Don’t miss out on this meticulously maintained home! Schedule a viewing today and experience the perfect blend of comfort and community living.
-
2026-04-15historical
-
2026-04-15historical
-
2025-12-02price $59,000
-
2025-12-02price $59,000
-
2025-10-15$60,000 Active
-
2025-10-15$60,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,787
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$885
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,423
- − Management
- −$1,423
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $8,739
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,097
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,061/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained three-bedroom, two-bathroom manufactured home in the Meadow Lake community is ready for a fresh coat of paint and some landscaping improvements to further enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more inviting.
- Rental Replace air filters — Clean air filters improve air quality and reduce HVAC maintenance costs.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more attractive and appealing to potential buyers/tenants.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more inviting. ↑
- Rental Replace air filters — Clean air filters improve air quality and reduce HVAC maintenance costs. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more attractive and appealing to potential buyers/tenants. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Holly Area School District
- NCES district ID
- 2618450
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,137
- Composite
- 37.1/100
- National rank
- #4496
- State rank
- #165 of 540 in MI
Livability — White Lake
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- City population
- 17,856
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,291
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 4% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 5% Italian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -131.27%
- Current HPI
- 228.6088
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
-1.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Listed $59,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $59,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-15 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-15 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-12-02 Price Changed $59,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-02 Price Changed $59,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-15 Listed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-15 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…