CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
3667 Falcons Nest
B- Composite 69.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,000

3667 Falcons Nest · White Lake, MI 48383
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Manufactured · 62 Days on market
Built 2012 Good condition $41/sqft · 79% above area ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your new haven in the charming Meadow Lake community! This spacious three-bedroom, two-bathroom manufactured home boasts a unique layout that offers both privacy and functionality. As you enter, you'll find a cozy living room area, partially separated by a wall, creating a sense of intimacy while still maintaining an open feel. The open kitchen and dining area is a chef's dream, featuring ample counter space that wraps around into a convenient barstool seating area. The kitchen is a highlight, equipped with tons of cabinetry, a newer faucet, and dishwasher, ensuring everything you need is at your fingertips. A full walk-in pantry adds to the functionality, making meal prep a breeze. All kitchen appliances, including the fridge, stove, dishwasher, and microwave, will remain with the home. The dedicated laundry room is an added bonus, complete with a washer (less than a year old) and dryer. The home also features a newer hot water tank! Enjoy modern comforts with recessed lighting in the kitchen and a ceiling fan in the living room. Each bedroom features walk-in closets, offering plenty of storage. The primary bathroom is spacious, boasting a standing shower with a sliding glass door and additional built-in cabinetry for your convenience. Nestled in a picturesque location that provides a country feel, this home is part of a community that offers fantastic amenities. Enjoy access to a clubhouse, pool, fully equipped exercise room, playground, and RV storage area. Don't miss out on this meticulously maintained home! Schedule a viewing today and experience the perfect blend of comfort and community living.

Key facts

  • Full walk-in pantry
  • Ample counter space
  • Built 2012

Tags

MEADOW LAKE COMMUNITYCOZY LIVING ROOM AREAOPEN KITCHEN AND DINING AREAAMPLE COUNTER SPACEBARSTOOL SEATING AREAFULL WALK-IN PANTRY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $59k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $763 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Holly Area School District (town): math 31% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #165 of 540 in MI (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 68 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $55,460 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.51%
Cap rate
21.82%
Cash-on-cash
55.44%
DSCR
3.47
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$33,000
List price
$59,000
Delta
78.79%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.7%
Equity multiple
3.37×
Total profit
$39,072
Equity at exit
$8,797
10-year hold
IRR
58.9%
Equity multiple
6.85×
Total profit
$96,707
Equity at exit
$5,101

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48383

Active inventory
68
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,482 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax est. 1.5%
$74 /mo · $885/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$311
Net cashflow
$763

Break-even live

Break-even rent $516
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $804 -5% $784 +0% $763 +5% $743 +10% $722
Rent -10% $646 -5% $705 +0% $763 +5% $822 +10% $880
Rate -1.0pp $793 -0.5pp $778 base $763 +0.5pp $748 +1.0pp $732

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3951 Bentwood Cir W White Lake, MI 3.0 2.0 1456 $1,399 $0.96 0d 1 0.22mi
3202 Giddings Blvd Highland, MI 3.0 2.0 1302 $1,695 $1.30 15d 1 1.06mi
3202 Giddings Blvd Highland, MI 3.0 2.0 1417 $1,695 $1.20 10d 1 1.06mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,000 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,000 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,000 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,000 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,000 Active 57 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,000 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,000 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,000 Active 52 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,000 Active 51 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $59,000 Active 48 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,000 Active 47 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,000 Active 46 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,000 Active 45 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,000 Active 44 DOM
  15. 2026-04-17
    listed $59,000 Active 1639-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1651 chars)

    Welcome to your new haven in the charming Meadow Lake community! This spacious three-bedroom, two-bathroom manufactured home boasts a unique layout that offers both privacy and functionality. As you enter, you'll find a cozy living room area, partially separated by a wall, creating a sense of intimacy while still maintaining an open feel. The open kitchen and dining area is a chef’s dream, featuring ample counter space that wraps around into a convenient barstool seating area. The kitchen is a highlight, equipped with tons of cabinetry, a newer faucet, and dishwasher, ensuring everything you need is at your fingertips. A full walk-in pantry adds to the functionality, making meal prep a breeze. All kitchen appliances, including the fridge, stove, dishwasher, and microwave, will remain with the home. The dedicated laundry room is an added bonus, complete with a washer (less than a year old) and dryer. The home also features a newer hot water tank! Enjoy modern comforts with recessed lighting in the kitchen and a ceiling fan in the living room. Each bedroom features walk-in closets, offering plenty of storage. The primary bathroom is spacious, boasting a standing shower with a sliding glass door and additional built-in cabinetry for your convenience. Nestled in a picturesque location that provides a country feel, this home is part of a community that offers fantastic amenities. Enjoy access to a clubhouse, pool, fully equipped exercise room, playground, and RV storage area. Don’t miss out on this meticulously maintained home! Schedule a viewing today and experience the perfect blend of comfort and community living.

  16. 2026-04-17
    listed $59,000 Active 1651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1651 chars)

    Welcome to your new haven in the charming Meadow Lake community! This spacious three-bedroom, two-bathroom manufactured home boasts a unique layout that offers both privacy and functionality. As you enter, you'll find a cozy living room area, partially separated by a wall, creating a sense of intimacy while still maintaining an open feel. The open kitchen and dining area is a chef’s dream, featuring ample counter space that wraps around into a convenient barstool seating area. The kitchen is a highlight, equipped with tons of cabinetry, a newer faucet, and dishwasher, ensuring everything you need is at your fingertips. A full walk-in pantry adds to the functionality, making meal prep a breeze. All kitchen appliances, including the fridge, stove, dishwasher, and microwave, will remain with the home. The dedicated laundry room is an added bonus, complete with a washer (less than a year old) and dryer. The home also features a newer hot water tank! Enjoy modern comforts with recessed lighting in the kitchen and a ceiling fan in the living room. Each bedroom features walk-in closets, offering plenty of storage. The primary bathroom is spacious, boasting a standing shower with a sliding glass door and additional built-in cabinetry for your convenience. Nestled in a picturesque location that provides a country feel, this home is part of a community that offers fantastic amenities. Enjoy access to a clubhouse, pool, fully equipped exercise room, playground, and RV storage area. Don’t miss out on this meticulously maintained home! Schedule a viewing today and experience the perfect blend of comfort and community living.

  17. 2026-04-15
    historical
  18. 2026-04-15
    historical
  19. 2025-12-02
    price $59,000
  20. 2025-12-02
    price $59,000
  21. 2025-10-15
    listed $60,000 Active
  22. 2025-10-15
    listed $60,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,787
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$885
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,423
− Management
−$1,423
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$8,739
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,097
After-tax cash flow
$7,061/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained three-bedroom, two-bathroom manufactured home in the Meadow Lake community is ready for a fresh coat of paint and some landscaping improvements to further enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more inviting.
  • Rental Replace air filters — Clean air filters improve air quality and reduce HVAC maintenance costs.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more attractive and appealing to potential buyers/tenants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more inviting.
  • Rental Replace air filters — Clean air filters improve air quality and reduce HVAC maintenance costs.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more attractive and appealing to potential buyers/tenants.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Holly Area School District
NCES district ID
2618450
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$65,137
Composite
37.1/100
National rank
#4496
State rank
#165 of 540 in MI

Livability — White Lake

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

City population
17,856
Population (ZIP)
13,291

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 4% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 5% Italian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -131.27%
Current HPI
228.6088
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $59,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $59,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-02 Price Changed $59,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-02 Price Changed $59,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-15 Listed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-15 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…