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121 King Ln
B- Composite 66.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

121 King Ln · Kahite, TN 37885
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1975 1.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

House and manufactured home in need of repairs on 1 acre of non-restricted land. Repair and have a family compound or tear down and build. Selling as is. Wet weather creek runs through property, great neighborhood. Lease purchase is possible. Close to Tellico Lake and Cherohala Parkway, fishing, hiking, and camping.

Key facts

  • Wet weather creek
  • Non-restricted land
  • Fishing

Tags

NON-RESTRICTED LANDWET WEATHER CREEKCLOSE TO TELLICO LAKEFISHINGHIKINGCAMPING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Cap rate 24.9% vs local median 1.2% in Kahite — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Monroe County (rural): math 20% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #106 of 139 in TN (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 200 active listings in the ZIP; 157 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.72%
Cap rate
24.92%
Cash-on-cash
66.53%
DSCR
3.96
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
65.8%
Equity multiple
3.95×
Total profit
$57,850
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
70.1%
Equity multiple
8.11×
Total profit
$139,436
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37885

Home prices YoY
-7.8%
Active inventory
200
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,902 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$20 /mo · $240/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$399
Net cashflow
$1,087

Break-even live

Break-even rent $527
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 38%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 317-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    pricestatuslisting id $70,000 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-05-13
    status Under Contract
  5. 2026-05-12
    listed $40,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$240 · $20/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$497 · $41/mo
Expected delta
+$257/yr (+$21/mo · 107.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,828
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$240
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,826
− Management
−$1,826
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$12,628
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,031
After-tax cash flow
$10,008/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Monroe County
NCES district ID
4703000
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$36,701
Composite
18.29/100
National rank
#8956
State rank
#106 of 139 in TN

Livability — Kahite

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
6,120

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,571 people
By 2030
48,155 · +1.2%
By 2040
48,772 · +2.5%
By 2050
48,698 · +2.4%
By 2075
48,558 · +2.1%
By 2100
47,543 · -0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Black 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.2% · R 83.0%
2008→2024 swing
-28.5pp toward R · 2008: -38.3pp · 2024: -66.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.8 2020: R+62.6 2016: R+59.7 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+38.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.41%
Current HPI
216.947
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending FSBO.com
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $40,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

-0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $240 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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