Multi-family
419 E 22nd St · Chicago Heights, IL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$364,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
There are no remarks available.
Key facts
- Hard wood floors
- Stainless appliances
- Unfinished basement
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $364k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $343k (5.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $343k (5.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#339 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Bloom Twp Hsd 206 (suburban): math 8% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #591 of 620 in IL (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Chicago Heights Middle School (math 9% / reading 24%, grade F, #482 of 665 statewide, top 73%, 940 students, 0% FRL); Bloom High School (math 7% / reading 8%, grade F, #589 of 693 statewide, top 86%, 1,737 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,427/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 1714% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($353k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $3.38M (90%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $364k implies a 709% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.83%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-31,237
- Equity at exit
- $54,274
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $47,340
- Equity at exit
- $31,472
Cash invested: $101,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60411
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 224
- Price-to-rent
- 17.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,427 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,909
- Tax from tax record
- −$406 /mo · $4,878/yr
- Insurance
- −$152
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$720
- Net cashflow
- $240
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $446 | -5% $343 | +0% $240 | +5% $137 | +10% $34 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-30 | -5% $105 | +0% $240 | +5% $376 | +10% $511 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $424 | -0.5pp $333 | base $240 | +0.5pp $146 | +1.0pp $50 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $3,426 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,713 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,713 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,427 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $91,000
- Closing costs
- $10,920
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $364,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $364,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $364,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $364,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $364,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $364,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $364,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $364,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $364,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $364,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $374,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $374,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $374,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $374,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $374,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $374,900
-
2026-04-28$3,749,000 Active
-
2023-11-15soldstatus $45,000
-
2023-11-06soldstatus $45,000 Closed 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2023-08-16status Pending 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2023-07-19price $53,000 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2023-07-09$65,000 Active 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,878 · $406/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,570 · $548/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,693/yr (+$141/mo · 34.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,124
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,390
- − Property taxes
- −$4,878
- − Insurance
- −$1,820
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,290
- − Management
- −$3,290
- − Depreciation
- −$10,589
- Taxable loss
- −$3,132
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$752
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,636/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bloom Twp Hsd 206
- NCES district ID
- 1706420
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,795
- Composite
- 7.4/100
- National rank
- #9952
- State rank
- #591 of 620 in IL
Livability — Chicago Heights
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #339
- US rank
- #6836
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chicago Heights, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 52,175
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,175
- Household income
- $62,073
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1714.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 19% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 21% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.75%
- Current HPI
- 212.4058
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.48%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+476.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $374,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Listed $3,749,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2023-11-06 Sold (MLS) $45,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-16 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-19 Price Changed $53,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-09 Listed $65,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2023): $4,878 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…