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90 Cottage St
A- Composite 80.85
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.6/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$124,900

90 Cottage St · Rochester, NY 14608
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,303 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1920 5,174 sqft lot Est $141k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this well-kept home offering three Large sized bedrooms, one full bath, and a layout that feels both comfortable and functional. The large kitchen provides plenty of room to cook, gather, and store, flowing seamlessly into a dedicated dining room—perfect for everyday meals or hosting friends and family. Roof is only 4 years old! Beautiful hardwood floors add warmth and character throughout much of the home. Out front, a spacious covered porch offers a great spot to relax, sip your morning coffee, or unwind at the end of the day. Out back, enjoy a large yard on a quiet street, with the Genesee Riverway Trail just behind the block—ideal for walking, biking, or outdoo

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • Large yard
  • Large kitchen

Tags

LARGE KITCHENDEDICATED DINING ROOMHARDWOOD FLOORSCOVERED PORCHLARGE YARDPEACEFUL RESIDENTIAL SETTING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $610 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Joseph C Wilson Foundation Academy (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,049 of 2,108 statewide, top 98%, 404 students, 91% FRL); East Lower School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #715 of 729 statewide, top 98%, 304 students, 86% FRL); Edison Career And Technology High School (math 44% / reading 50%, grade D-, #1,007 of 1,100 statewide, top 93%, 1,233 students, 91% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,760/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 1300% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (3.7% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $123,026 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
12.15%
Cash-on-cash
20.92%
DSCR
1.93
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$140,724
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
90 Cottage St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,303 (0%) 1mo $145,000 $111 100
84 Stratford Park 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,275 (-2%) 1mo $83,000 $65 78
1074 Exchange St 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,170 (-10%) 2mo $120,000 $103 75
797 Seward St 0.40mi 3/1.5 1,336 (+2%) 1mo $170,000 $127 75
393 Cottage St 0.36mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,286 (-1%) 2mo $10,000 $8 74
70 Barton St 0.33mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,330 (+2%) 5mo $150,000 $113 68
98 Barton St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,401 (+8%) 5mo $151,000 $108 66
92 Sawyer St 0.47mi 3/1.5 1,388 (+6%) 2mo $166,000 $120 63
18 Melrose St 0.60mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,286 (-1%) 2mo $180,000 $140 61
455 Frost Ave 0.67mi 3/1.5 1,352 (+4%) 1mo $77,000 $57 60
88 Monica St 0.64mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,342 (+3%) 2mo $97,500 $73 59
790 Genesee St 0.50mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,389 (+7%) 2mo $145,000 $104 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.69% appreciation · 6.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.0%
Equity multiple
2.86×
Total profit
$65,104
Equity at exit
$61,083
10-year hold
IRR
32.5%
Equity multiple
6.24×
Total profit
$183,233
Equity at exit
$98,157

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14608

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
51
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,760 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $882/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$370
Net cashflow
$610

Break-even live

Break-even rent $988
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $680 -5% $645 +0% $610 +5% $574 +10% $539
Rent -10% $471 -5% $540 +0% $610 +5% $679 +10% $749
Rate -1.0pp $673 -0.5pp $641 base $610 +0.5pp $577 +1.0pp $544

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
686 Seward St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1166 $1,600 $1.37 45d 1 0.25mi
249 1/2 Columbia Ave #249 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1600 $1,300 $0.81 16d 1 0.46mi
367 Hawley St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1210 $1,395 $1.15 45d 1 0.48mi
192 Bartlett St Unit 192 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1099 $1,295 $1.18 16d 1 0.61mi
193 Reynolds St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1342 $1,800 $1.34 23d 1 0.69mi
75 Stewart St Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1840 $1,300 $0.71 20d 1 0.81mi
59 Gold St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1264 $2,000 $1.58 45d 1 0.84mi
127 Congress Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,595 $1.33 45d 1 0.84mi
1331 Mt Hope Ave Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 949 $2,725 $2.87 4d 5 0.86mi
839 Elmwood Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1500 $2,600 $1.73 25d 1 0.89mi
478 Tremont St Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1424 $1,500 $1.05 45d 1 0.91mi
91 Reynolds St Unit 6 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 45d 1 0.95mi
106 Gregory St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1680 $1,995 $1.19 25d 1 0.96mi
165 Atkinson St #6 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 925 $1,150 $1.24 25d 1 1.01mi
1317 Genesee St Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1720 $2,550 $1.48 4d 1 1.02mi
30 Flanders St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1170 $1,650 $1.41 16d 1 1.03mi
485 Sawyer St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,900 $1.36 4d 1 1.03mi
485 Sawyer St Unit 1 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,900 $1.36 45d 1 1.03mi
793 Woodbine Ave Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1700 $2,200 $1.29 4d 1 1.03mi
190 Warwick Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1240 $1,400 $1.13 45d 1 1.03mi
90 Scottsville Rd Unit 1 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,750 $1.75 4d 1 1.05mi
44 Rosemount St Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 969 $1,300 $1.34 16d 1 1.06mi
94 Averill Ave Unit 2 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 5d 1 1.08mi
102 Virginia Ave Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1453 $2,150 $1.48 4d 1 1.11mi
444-450 Brooks Ave Unit 446 Rochester, NY 4.0 2.0 1150 $3,100 $2.70 12d 1 1.11mi
175 Lattimore Rd Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1480 $2,265 $1.53 16d 1 1.15mi
256 Gregory St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,700 $1.48 45d 1 1.16mi
132 Anthony St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1260 $1,500 $1.19 5d 1 1.18mi
144 Flanders St Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 23d 1 1.19mi
255 Genesee Park Blvd Unit UP Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1032 $1,300 $1.26 16d 1 1.19mi
188 Laney Rd Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1604 $2,350 $1.47 4d 1 1.24mi
1698 Mount Hope Ave Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1544 $1,550 $1.00 20d 1 1.27mi
290 Exchange Blvd Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 892 $2,102 $2.36 4d 15 1.28mi
51 Elmerston Rd Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1374 $2,400 $1.75 4d 1 1.33mi
73 Somerset St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1000 $1,750 $1.75 45d 1 1.35mi
42 S Washington St Rochester, NY 2.0 2.0 1298 $2,300 $1.77 45d 1 1.35mi
42 S Washington St Unit 401 Rochester, NY 2.0 2.0 1298 $2,300 $1.77 25d 1 1.35mi
416 Gregory St Unit Down Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1374 $1,995 $1.45 25d 1 1.39mi
48 Thorndale Ter Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1700 $1,400 $0.82 16d 1 1.40mi
54 Westmoreland Dr Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1230 $2,450 $1.99 4d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-02-18
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-10
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-02-03
    listed $124,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$882 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,496 · $125/mo
Expected delta
+$614/yr (+$51/mo · 69.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,117
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$882
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,689
− Management
−$1,689
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$5,602
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,345
After-tax cash flow
$5,972/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester City School District
NCES district ID
3624750
Math proficiency
21% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$30,923
Composite
18.98/100
National rank
#8850
State rank
#589 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester

Score
76/100
State rank
#222
US rank
#3482

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester, NY
County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
432,803
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
12,792
Household income
$40,646
Rent vs Own
78.0% rent · 22.0% own
Severe rent burden
1300.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% White 25% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 10%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, India
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.69%
Current HPI
280.2411
Rent YoY
▲ 6.61%
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-18 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-02-10 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2026-02-03 Listed $124,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $882 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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