90 Cottage St · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- Appreciation +6.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this well-kept home offering three Large sized bedrooms, one full bath, and a layout that feels both comfortable and functional. The large kitchen provides plenty of room to cook, gather, and store, flowing seamlessly into a dedicated dining room—perfect for everyday meals or hosting friends and family. Roof is only 4 years old! Beautiful hardwood floors add warmth and character throughout much of the home. Out front, a spacious covered porch offers a great spot to relax, sip your morning coffee, or unwind at the end of the day. Out back, enjoy a large yard on a quiet street, with the Genesee Riverway Trail just behind the block—ideal for walking, biking, or outdoo
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Large yard
- Large kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $610 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Joseph C Wilson Foundation Academy (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,049 of 2,108 statewide, top 98%, 404 students, 91% FRL); East Lower School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #715 of 729 statewide, top 98%, 304 students, 86% FRL); Edison Career And Technology High School (math 44% / reading 50%, grade D-, #1,007 of 1,100 statewide, top 93%, 1,233 students, 91% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,760/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 1300% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.7% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.92%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $140,724
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 Cottage St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,303 (0%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $111 | 100 |
| 84 Stratford Park | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,275 (-2%) | 1mo | $83,000 | $65 | 78 |
| 1074 Exchange St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,170 (-10%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $103 | 75 |
| 797 Seward St | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,336 (+2%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $127 | 75 |
| 393 Cottage St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,286 (-1%) | 2mo | $10,000 | $8 | 74 |
| 70 Barton St | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,330 (+2%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $113 | 68 |
| 98 Barton St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,401 (+8%) | 5mo | $151,000 | $108 | 66 |
| 92 Sawyer St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,388 (+6%) | 2mo | $166,000 | $120 | 63 |
| 18 Melrose St | 0.60mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,286 (-1%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $140 | 61 |
| 455 Frost Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,352 (+4%) | 1mo | $77,000 | $57 | 60 |
| 88 Monica St | 0.64mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,342 (+3%) | 2mo | $97,500 | $73 | 59 |
| 790 Genesee St | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,389 (+7%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $104 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.69% appreciation · 6.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.86×
- Total profit
- $65,104
- Equity at exit
- $61,083
- IRR
- 32.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.24×
- Total profit
- $183,233
- Equity at exit
- $98,157
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14608
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,760 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $882/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$370
- Net cashflow
- $610
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $680 | -5% $645 | +0% $610 | +5% $574 | +10% $539 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $471 | -5% $540 | +0% $610 | +5% $679 | +10% $749 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $673 | -0.5pp $641 | base $610 | +0.5pp $577 | +1.0pp $544 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 686 Seward St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1166 | $1,600 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 249 1/2 Columbia Ave #249 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,300 | $0.81 | 16d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 367 Hawley St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1210 | $1,395 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 192 Bartlett St Unit 192 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1099 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 16d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 193 Reynolds St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1342 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 75 Stewart St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1840 | $1,300 | $0.71 | 20d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 59 Gold St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1264 | $2,000 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 127 Congress Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,595 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1331 Mt Hope Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 949 | $2,725 | $2.87 | 4d | 5 | 0.86mi |
| 839 Elmwood Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $2,600 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 478 Tremont St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,500 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 91 Reynolds St Unit 6 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 106 Gregory St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1680 | $1,995 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 165 Atkinson St #6 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,150 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1317 Genesee St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1720 | $2,550 | $1.48 | 4d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 30 Flanders St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1170 | $1,650 | $1.41 | 16d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 485 Sawyer St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 4d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 485 Sawyer St Unit 1 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 793 Woodbine Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $2,200 | $1.29 | 4d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 190 Warwick Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1240 | $1,400 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 90 Scottsville Rd Unit 1 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 4d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 44 Rosemount St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 969 | $1,300 | $1.34 | 16d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 94 Averill Ave Unit 2 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 5d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 102 Virginia Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1453 | $2,150 | $1.48 | 4d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 444-450 Brooks Ave Unit 446 Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $3,100 | $2.70 | 12d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 175 Lattimore Rd Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1480 | $2,265 | $1.53 | 16d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 256 Gregory St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 132 Anthony St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,500 | $1.19 | 5d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 144 Flanders St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 255 Genesee Park Blvd Unit UP Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,300 | $1.26 | 16d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 188 Laney Rd Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1604 | $2,350 | $1.47 | 4d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1698 Mount Hope Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1544 | $1,550 | $1.00 | 20d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 290 Exchange Blvd Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 892 | $2,102 | $2.36 | 4d | 15 | 1.28mi |
| 51 Elmerston Rd Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1374 | $2,400 | $1.75 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 73 Somerset St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 42 S Washington St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $2,300 | $1.77 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 42 S Washington St Unit 401 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $2,300 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 416 Gregory St Unit Down Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1374 | $1,995 | $1.45 | 25d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 48 Thorndale Ter Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1700 | $1,400 | $0.82 | 16d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 54 Westmoreland Dr Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1230 | $2,450 | $1.99 | 4d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-02-18status Pending
-
2026-02-10historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-02-03$124,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $882 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,496 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- +$614/yr (+$51/mo · 69.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,117
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$882
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,689
- − Management
- −$1,689
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $5,602
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,345
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,972/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,792
- Household income
- $40,646
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1300.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% White 25% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.69%
- Current HPI
- 280.2411
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.61%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-18 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-02-10 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2026-02-03 Listed $124,900 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $882 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…