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25 Arlington Rd
B Composite 74.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

25 Arlington Rd · Montgomery, AL 36105
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,231 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 131 Days on market
Built 1943 0.34 ac lot $31/sqft · 49% below area Est $136k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath, also has a Dining Room, Family Room, Bonus room/Office, and Kitchen with Pantry, there is also a Loft space upstairs perfect for entertaining or hanging out. This is a great investment opportunity waiting for some TLC!! Home is easy to be shown give me or your favorite Realtor a call today!

Key facts

  • 0.34 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1943

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $690 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.1% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities D-.
  • Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Davis Elementary School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #601 of 627 statewide, top 98%, 509 students, 97% FRL, charter); Bellingrath Middle School (math 0% / reading 12%, grade F, #252 of 257 statewide, top 98%, 607 students, 96% FRL, charter); Lanier Senior High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #265 of 305 statewide, top 89%, 798 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 70% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 7% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Montgomery County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.10%
Cap rate
18.13%
Cash-on-cash
42.29%
DSCR
2.88
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$135,992
List price
$69,900
Delta
-48.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
25 Arlington Rd 0.00mi 3/2.0 2,231 (0%) 0mo $57,500 $26 100
3126 Gilmer Ave 0.18mi 3/2.0 2,130 (-4%) 7mo $39,900 $19 78
3370 Lexington Rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 2,265 (+2%) 6mo $238,900 $105 63
3357 Wilmington Rd 0.54mi 3/2.0 2,064 (-8%) 2mo $165,000 $80 61
3374 Gilmer Ave 0.42mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,348 (+5%) 5mo $56,000 $24 60
3155 Wilmington Rd 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,937 (-13%) 6mo $148,000 $76 54
3524 S Perry St 0.75mi 3/2.0 2,314 (+4%) 7mo $79,900 $35 53
27 W Edgemont Ave 0.46mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,065 (-7%) 8mo $155,000 $75 53
201 Felder Ave 0.50mi 3/2.5 2,517 (+13%) 1mo $385,000 $153 52
1427 S Court St 0.62mi 3/2.5 2,502 (+12%) 1mo $174,900 $70 48
1286 S Lawrence St 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,909 (-14%) 3mo $70,000 $37 46
1234 S Lawrence St 0.67mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,125 (-5%) 9mo $309,900 $146 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.0%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$32,619
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
45.4%
Equity multiple
5.34×
Total profit
$85,030
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36105

Home prices YoY
-32.6%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,467 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $881/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$308
Net cashflow
$690

Break-even live

Break-even rent $594
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $729 -5% $710 +0% $690 +5% $670 +10% $650
Rent -10% $574 -5% $632 +0% $690 +5% $748 +10% $806
Rate -1.0pp $725 -0.5pp $708 base $690 +0.5pp $672 +1.0pp $653

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
139 Mount Vernon Dr Unit A Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.5 1700 $1,000 $0.59 45d 1 0.18mi
3304 Gilmer Ave Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 2009 $1,400 $0.70 22d 1 0.36mi
1919 Norman Bridge Ct Unit 1043838P Montgomery, AL 4.0 3.0 1539 $4,108 $2.67 45d 1 0.45mi
334 Felder Ave Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 2223 $2,395 $1.08 45d 1 0.54mi
3235 Norman Bridge Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1873 $900 $0.48 45d 1 0.55mi
428 Thorn Pl Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1549 $1,450 $0.94 45d 1 0.56mi
519 Thorn Pl Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1632 $650 $0.40 22d 1 0.62mi
1259 S Lawrence St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1728 $1,300 $0.75 45d 1 0.63mi
1314 S Court St Montgomery, AL 2.0 2.0 1650 $1,495 $0.91 15d 1 0.66mi
3386 Lexington Rd Unit B Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1950 $900 $0.46 22d 1 0.69mi
3256 Montezuma Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1515 $1,450 $0.96 45d 1 0.76mi
3485 Wellington Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 2437 $1,395 $0.57 22d 1 0.82mi
1020 S Lawrence St Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1711 $2,000 $1.17 15d 1 0.82mi
22 W Cromwell St Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1645 $1,350 $0.82 22d 1 0.82mi
3544 Southmont Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 1.5 1774 $1,300 $0.73 22d 1 0.83mi
3616 Gaston Ave Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1629 $1,300 $0.80 45d 1 0.96mi
3543 Berkley Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 2067 $1,575 $0.76 15d 1 1.14mi
1121 Felder Ave Unit 1043909P Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.5 2647 $3,152 $1.19 22d 1 1.18mi
3556 Princeton Rd Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 2718 $1,200 $0.44 22d 1 1.27mi
3510 Bankhead Ave Montgomery, AL 3.0 3.0 2210 $2,250 $1.02 45d 1 1.29mi
1355 Magnolia Curv Montgomery, AL 3.0 3.0 2260 $1,800 $0.80 15d 1 1.29mi
2043 Hazel Hedge Ln Montgomery, AL 4.0 3.0 2001 $1,650 $0.82 15d 1 1.45mi
1425 Blairwood Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1700 $1,850 $1.09 15d 1 1.46mi
1450 Crenshaw Pl S Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1641 $1,775 $1.08 45d 1 1.48mi
3708 Princeton Rd Montgomery, AL 2.0 2.0 1749 $900 $0.51 22d 1 1.49mi
3720 Stanley Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1719 $1,650 $0.96 22d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    price $69,900 324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (324 chars)

    This spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath, also has a Dining Room, Family Room, Bonus room/Office, and Kitchen with Pantry, there is also a Loft space upstairs perfect for entertaining or hanging out. This is a great investment opportunity waiting for some TLC!! Home is easy to be shown give me or your favorite Realtor a call today!

  2. 2026-04-06
    price $74,900 324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (324 chars)

    This spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath, also has a Dining Room, Family Room, Bonus room/Office, and Kitchen with Pantry, there is also a Loft space upstairs perfect for entertaining or hanging out. This is a great investment opportunity waiting for some TLC!! Home is easy to be shown give me or your favorite Realtor a call today!

  3. 2026-03-09
    price $79,900 324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (324 chars)

    This spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath, also has a Dining Room, Family Room, Bonus room/Office, and Kitchen with Pantry, there is also a Loft space upstairs perfect for entertaining or hanging out. This is a great investment opportunity waiting for some TLC!! Home is easy to be shown give me or your favorite Realtor a call today!

  4. 2026-02-06
    price $89,900 324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (324 chars)

    This spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath, also has a Dining Room, Family Room, Bonus room/Office, and Kitchen with Pantry, there is also a Loft space upstairs perfect for entertaining or hanging out. This is a great investment opportunity waiting for some TLC!! Home is easy to be shown give me or your favorite Realtor a call today!

  5. 2026-01-15
    listed $99,900 Active 324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (324 chars)

    This spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath, also has a Dining Room, Family Room, Bonus room/Office, and Kitchen with Pantry, there is also a Loft space upstairs perfect for entertaining or hanging out. This is a great investment opportunity waiting for some TLC!! Home is easy to be shown give me or your favorite Realtor a call today!

  6. 2025-11-07
    soldstatus $557,319
  7. 2023-12-28
    historical $1,350
  8. 2023-12-08
    listed $1,350
  9. 2022-10-14
    soldstatus $60,000 452-char remark
    Show marketing remark (452 chars)

    Are you interested in flipping homes? Are you looking for a home to put your own style into? This is the perfect match for you! This spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath, also has a Dining Room, Family Room, Bonus room/Office, and Kitchen with Pantry, there is also a Loft space upstairs perfect for entertaining or hanging out. This is a great investment opportunity waiting for some TLC!! Home is easy to be shown give me or your favorite Realtor a call today!

  10. 2022-08-27
    listed $70,000 452-char remark
    Show marketing remark (452 chars)

    Are you interested in flipping homes? Are you looking for a home to put your own style into? This is the perfect match for you! This spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath, also has a Dining Room, Family Room, Bonus room/Office, and Kitchen with Pantry, there is also a Loft space upstairs perfect for entertaining or hanging out. This is a great investment opportunity waiting for some TLC!! Home is easy to be shown give me or your favorite Realtor a call today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$881 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$881 · $73/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,603
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$881
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,408
− Management
−$1,408
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$7,607
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,826
After-tax cash flow
$6,452/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County
NCES district ID
0102430
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$43,902
Composite
17.24/100
National rank
#9093
State rank
#106 of 129 in AL

Livability — Montgomery

Score
65/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#13416

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Montgomery, AL
County
Montgomery County · 190,016 people
City population
175,913
Metro
Montgomery, AL
Population (ZIP)
9,207
Household income
$41,486
Rent vs Own
39.9% rent · 60.1% own
Severe rent burden
679.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
224,008 people
By 2030
221,460 · -1.1%
By 2040
214,179 · -4.4%
By 2050
204,912 · -8.5%
By 2075
177,821 · -20.6%
By 2100
145,134 · -35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (83%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 83% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.17%
Current HPI
64.4673
Rent YoY
Metro
Montgomery, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $69,900 MAAR
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $74,900 MAAR
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $79,900 MAAR
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $89,900 MAAR
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $99,900 MAAR
  • 2025-11-07 Sold (Public Records) $557,319 Public Records
  • 2023-12-28 Rental Removed $1,350 MAAR
  • 2023-12-08 Listed for Rent $1,350 MAAR
  • 2022-10-14 Sold (MLS) $60,000 MAAR
  • 2022-08-27 Listed $70,000 MAAR

Property tax history

+11.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $881 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…