25 Arlington Rd · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath, also has a Dining Room, Family Room, Bonus room/Office, and Kitchen with Pantry, there is also a Loft space upstairs perfect for entertaining or hanging out. This is a great investment opportunity waiting for some TLC!! Home is easy to be shown give me or your favorite Realtor a call today!
Key facts
- 0.34 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1943
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $690 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.1% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities D-.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Davis Elementary School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #601 of 627 statewide, top 98%, 509 students, 97% FRL, charter); Bellingrath Middle School (math 0% / reading 12%, grade F, #252 of 257 statewide, top 98%, 607 students, 96% FRL, charter); Lanier Senior High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #265 of 305 statewide, top 89%, 798 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 70% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 7% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Montgomery County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.29%
- DSCR
- 2.88
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $135,992
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- -48.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Arlington Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 2,231 (0%) | 0mo | $57,500 | $26 | 100 |
| 3126 Gilmer Ave | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 2,130 (-4%) | 7mo | $39,900 | $19 | 78 |
| 3370 Lexington Rd | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 2,265 (+2%) | 6mo | $238,900 | $105 | 63 |
| 3357 Wilmington Rd | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 2,064 (-8%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $80 | 61 |
| 3374 Gilmer Ave | 0.42mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,348 (+5%) | 5mo | $56,000 | $24 | 60 |
| 3155 Wilmington Rd | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,937 (-13%) | 6mo | $148,000 | $76 | 54 |
| 3524 S Perry St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 2,314 (+4%) | 7mo | $79,900 | $35 | 53 |
| 27 W Edgemont Ave | 0.46mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,065 (-7%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $75 | 53 |
| 201 Felder Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 | 2,517 (+13%) | 1mo | $385,000 | $153 | 52 |
| 1427 S Court St | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 | 2,502 (+12%) | 1mo | $174,900 | $70 | 48 |
| 1286 S Lawrence St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,909 (-14%) | 3mo | $70,000 | $37 | 46 |
| 1234 S Lawrence St | 0.67mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,125 (-5%) | 9mo | $309,900 | $146 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.67×
- Total profit
- $32,619
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 45.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.34×
- Total profit
- $85,030
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36105
- Home prices YoY
- -32.6%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,467 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $881/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $690
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $729 | -5% $710 | +0% $690 | +5% $670 | +10% $650 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $574 | -5% $632 | +0% $690 | +5% $748 | +10% $806 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $725 | -0.5pp $708 | base $690 | +0.5pp $672 | +1.0pp $653 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 139 Mount Vernon Dr Unit A Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $1,000 | $0.59 | 45d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3304 Gilmer Ave Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2009 | $1,400 | $0.70 | 22d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1919 Norman Bridge Ct Unit 1043838P Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1539 | $4,108 | $2.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 334 Felder Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2223 | $2,395 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3235 Norman Bridge Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1873 | $900 | $0.48 | 45d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 428 Thorn Pl Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1549 | $1,450 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 519 Thorn Pl Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1632 | $650 | $0.40 | 22d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1259 S Lawrence St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1728 | $1,300 | $0.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1314 S Court St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,495 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3386 Lexington Rd Unit B Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1950 | $900 | $0.46 | 22d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3256 Montezuma Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1515 | $1,450 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3485 Wellington Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2437 | $1,395 | $0.57 | 22d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1020 S Lawrence St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1711 | $2,000 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 22 W Cromwell St Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1645 | $1,350 | $0.82 | 22d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3544 Southmont Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1774 | $1,300 | $0.73 | 22d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3616 Gaston Ave Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1629 | $1,300 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3543 Berkley Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2067 | $1,575 | $0.76 | 15d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1121 Felder Ave Unit 1043909P Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2647 | $3,152 | $1.19 | 22d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3556 Princeton Rd Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2718 | $1,200 | $0.44 | 22d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3510 Bankhead Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2210 | $2,250 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1355 Magnolia Curv Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2260 | $1,800 | $0.80 | 15d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2043 Hazel Hedge Ln Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2001 | $1,650 | $0.82 | 15d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1425 Blairwood Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,850 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1450 Crenshaw Pl S Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1641 | $1,775 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3708 Princeton Rd Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1749 | $900 | $0.51 | 22d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 3720 Stanley Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1719 | $1,650 | $0.96 | 22d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-04-24price $69,900 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
This spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath, also has a Dining Room, Family Room, Bonus room/Office, and Kitchen with Pantry, there is also a Loft space upstairs perfect for entertaining or hanging out. This is a great investment opportunity waiting for some TLC!! Home is easy to be shown give me or your favorite Realtor a call today!
-
2026-04-06price $74,900 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
This spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath, also has a Dining Room, Family Room, Bonus room/Office, and Kitchen with Pantry, there is also a Loft space upstairs perfect for entertaining or hanging out. This is a great investment opportunity waiting for some TLC!! Home is easy to be shown give me or your favorite Realtor a call today!
-
2026-03-09price $79,900 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
This spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath, also has a Dining Room, Family Room, Bonus room/Office, and Kitchen with Pantry, there is also a Loft space upstairs perfect for entertaining or hanging out. This is a great investment opportunity waiting for some TLC!! Home is easy to be shown give me or your favorite Realtor a call today!
-
2026-02-06price $89,900 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
This spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath, also has a Dining Room, Family Room, Bonus room/Office, and Kitchen with Pantry, there is also a Loft space upstairs perfect for entertaining or hanging out. This is a great investment opportunity waiting for some TLC!! Home is easy to be shown give me or your favorite Realtor a call today!
-
2026-01-15$99,900 Active 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
This spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath, also has a Dining Room, Family Room, Bonus room/Office, and Kitchen with Pantry, there is also a Loft space upstairs perfect for entertaining or hanging out. This is a great investment opportunity waiting for some TLC!! Home is easy to be shown give me or your favorite Realtor a call today!
-
2025-11-07soldstatus $557,319
-
2023-12-28historical $1,350
-
2023-12-08$1,350
-
2022-10-14soldstatus $60,000 452-char remark
Show marketing remark (452 chars)
Are you interested in flipping homes? Are you looking for a home to put your own style into? This is the perfect match for you! This spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath, also has a Dining Room, Family Room, Bonus room/Office, and Kitchen with Pantry, there is also a Loft space upstairs perfect for entertaining or hanging out. This is a great investment opportunity waiting for some TLC!! Home is easy to be shown give me or your favorite Realtor a call today!
-
2022-08-27$70,000 452-char remark
Show marketing remark (452 chars)
Are you interested in flipping homes? Are you looking for a home to put your own style into? This is the perfect match for you! This spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath, also has a Dining Room, Family Room, Bonus room/Office, and Kitchen with Pantry, there is also a Loft space upstairs perfect for entertaining or hanging out. This is a great investment opportunity waiting for some TLC!! Home is easy to be shown give me or your favorite Realtor a call today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $881 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $881 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,603
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$881
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,408
- − Management
- −$1,408
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $7,607
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,826
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,452/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- County
- Montgomery County · 190,016 people
- City population
- 175,913
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,207
- Household income
- $41,486
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 679.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.17%
- Current HPI
- 64.4673
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-0.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $69,900 MAAR
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $74,900 MAAR
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $79,900 MAAR
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $89,900 MAAR
- 2026-01-15 Listed $99,900 MAAR
- 2025-11-07 Sold (Public Records) $557,319 Public Records
- 2023-12-28 Rental Removed $1,350 MAAR
- 2023-12-08 Listed for Rent $1,350 MAAR
- 2022-10-14 Sold (MLS) $60,000 MAAR
- 2022-08-27 Listed $70,000 MAAR
Property tax history
+11.5%/yrLatest (2025): $881 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…