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2598 N Church St
B Composite 74.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0

$57,900

2598 N Church St · Decatur, IL 62526
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,021 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1920 6,320 sqft lot Est $64k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Whether you’re ready to become a homeowner or searching for a solid addition to your investment portfolio, this property is a fantastic opportunity. This charming bungalow features a spacious living room, a generously sized eat-in kitchen, three bedrooms, and one full bathroom. Additional highlights include a covered front porch—perfect for relaxing—and a garage/storage shed for extra convenience. With just a bit of TLC, you can move in and make updates at your own pace. Property is being sold as-is. Home is in walking distance to the YMCA, Medical facilities, Coffee Shops, Schools and much more

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Garage storage shed
  • 6,320 sq ft lot

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHGARAGE STORAGE SHEDWALKING DISTANCE TO YMCAWALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1920; One main living level with upper, lower and basement levels
  • Construction: Original construction (not new); Total building area reported as 1021
  • Exterior features: Corner, level lot; Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (vinyl flooring)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms; Bedroom 1 on main level (approx. 12.8 x 11.6) with egress window; Bedroom 2 on main level (approx. 11.11 x 10.6) with egress window; Bedroom 3 on main level (approx. 11.1 x 10.5) with egress window
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in main living areas and bedrooms; Vinyl flooring in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Refrigerator included; Full, unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Basement utility space

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $58k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $533 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $58k).
  • Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 7.0% in Decatur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,076 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Decatur SD 61 (urban): math 3% / reading 6% proficiency, ranked #605 of 620 in IL (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 91% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 63 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $400 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macon County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $58k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $57,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.93%
Cap rate
17.34%
Cash-on-cash
39.46%
DSCR
2.76
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$64,323
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
377 Burtschi Ct 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,001 (-2%) 3mo $25,000 $25 68
17 West Dr 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,008 (-1%) 4mo $40,000 $40 67
2238 Water St 0.33mi 3/1.0 924 (-10%) 5mo $77,500 $84 65
18 Maple Ct 0.61mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,040 (+2%) 1mo $105,000 $101 60
777 W Harper Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,003 (-2%) 2mo $88,000 $88 60
67 Maple Ct 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 952 (-7%) 1mo $64,500 $68 58
522 Garfield Ave 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,048 (+3%) 4mo $20,000 $19 57
540 Pierson Ave 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 895 (-12%) 4mo $56,500 $63 50
1915 Monroe St 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,064 (+4%) 7mo $47,500 $45 50
520 E Kellar Ln 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (-12%) 10mo $78,000 $87 45
1920 Gebhart Ct 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 873 (-14%) 4mo $52,000 $60 36
28 North Dr 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,164 (+14%) 16mo $12,500 $11 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.21% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.0%
Equity multiple
2.63×
Total profit
$26,481
Equity at exit
$10,681
10-year hold
IRR
42.7%
Equity multiple
5.22×
Total profit
$68,419
Equity at exit
$8,596

Cash invested: $16,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62526

Home prices YoY
-1.2%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,117 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$304
Tax from tax record
$22 /mo · $262/yr
Insurance
$24
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$235
Net cashflow
$533

Break-even live

Break-even rent $442
Max offer price $57,900
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $566 -5% $549 +0% $533 +5% $517 +10% $500
Rent -10% $445 -5% $489 +0% $533 +5% $577 +10% $621
Rate -1.0pp $562 -0.5pp $548 base $533 +0.5pp $518 +1.0pp $503

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,475
Closing costs
$1,737
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
510 E Pierson Ave Decatur, IL 3.0 1.0 895 $1,200 $1.34 45d 1 0.43mi
2148 N Graceland Ave Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $1,195 $1.38 45d 1 0.54mi
1908 N Union St Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 704 $899 $1.28 45d 1 0.60mi
927 E Harrison Ave Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 720 $675 $0.94 22d 1 0.81mi
644 W Division St Decatur, IL 3.0 2.0 1365 $1,200 $0.88 45d 1 0.84mi
1245 N Union St Decatur, IL 3.0 2.0 1111 $995 $0.90 45d 1 1.09mi
1311 N Walnut Grove Ave Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 781 $1,100 $1.41 45d 1 1.23mi
1045 N Monroe St Decatur, IL 3.0 2.0 1094 $1,000 $0.91 45d 1 1.29mi
1729 N Woodford St Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 728 $825 $1.13 45d 1 1.34mi
853 N College St Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 936 $925 $0.99 45d 1 1.44mi
1345 N Fairview Ave Decatur, IL 3.0 1.0 785 $985 $1.25 45d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $57,900 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    remarks 602-char remark
  3. 2026-06-18
    listed $57,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$262 · $22/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$788 · $66/mo
Expected delta
+$526/yr (+$44/mo · 201.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,407
− Mortgage interest
−$3,243
− Property taxes
−$262
− Insurance
−$290
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,073
− Management
−$1,073
− Depreciation
−$1,684
Taxable income
$5,783
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,388
After-tax cash flow
$5,009/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Decatur SD 61
NCES district ID
1711850
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
6% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,864
Composite
3.99/100
National rank
#10059
State rank
#605 of 620 in IL

Livability — Decatur

Score
59/100
State rank
#1076
US rank
#20533

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Decatur, IL
County
Macon County · 78,333 people
City population
78,333
Metro
Decatur, IL
Population (ZIP)
30,483
Household income
$49,062
Rent vs Own
39.2% rent · 60.8% own
Severe rent burden
1041.0

Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
99,568 people
By 2030
94,973 · -4.6%
By 2040
85,250 · -14.4%
By 2050
75,920 · -23.8%
By 2075
55,962 · -43.8%
By 2100
36,468 · -63.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 22% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macon

2024 margin
R (+18.9) · D 39.8% · R 58.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -18.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.9 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+18.1 2012: R+5.2 2008: D+1.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.21%
Current HPI
182.871
Rent YoY
Metro
Decatur, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+65.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $57,900 CIBR
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $57,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-10 Sold (MLS) $35,000 CIBR
  • 2022-09-28 Listed $35,000 CIBR
  • 2020-01-10 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-13.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $262 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…