205 S 54th St #80 · Springfield, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.4/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Darling home in 55+ community. This two bedroom home feels larger in person with great natural light and many updates. New interior paint, trim and flooring. Newer furnace/forced air heat and electrical panel in 2018. New backsplash, counter tops, bathroom vanities, light fixtures and front deck. Updated vinyl windows. Wall A/C units and washer and dryer included. Fenced yard for a more private feel. Park includes a rec room, pool, and library. Park has RV and boat storage. Cash only.
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Newer deck
- Large covered patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in a manufactured home park; lot rent charged monthly
- HOA & community: 55+ senior community (Chalet Village); Community amenities include pool, saunas, clubhouse with kitchen, dining hall, TV lounge, pool tables, meeting/party rooms, recreation facilities, management, and laundry
Exterior
- Parking: Carport and driveway; Space for 1 vehicle (1 carport space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Gas and wood-burning fuel options
- Home design: Manufactured home in a park (residential); Updated/remodeled condition; Main living all on one level; Views of park/greenbelt and territorial views; Unit dimensions approximately 60' x 14'
- Construction: Built in 1973; Rubber roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Manufactured by Belmont
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Deck; Fenced yard; Garden; In-ground pool; Outbuilding and tool shed; Sauna; Yard; Gas hookup; Aluminum exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Free-standing range; Free-standing refrigerator; Gas hot water (tank)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level; Second bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wall-to-wall carpet
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Wood stove heating; Wall-mounted cooling unit(s)
- Interior features: Vinyl flooring and wall-to-wall carpet; Double-pane vinyl-framed windows; Accessible design with minimal steps and one-level living; Walk-in shower; Wood-burning stove fireplace (1) with stove features
- Laundry & utility: Community/association laundry available
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $717 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.8% vs local median 3.0% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#40 in OR, #934 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+.
- Springfield SD 19 (suburban): math 19% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #48 of 58 in OR (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Mt Vernon Elementary School (math 5% / reading 34%, grade F, #366 of 412 statewide, top 91%, 412 students, 63% FRL); Agnes Stewart Middle School (math 16% / reading 36%, grade F, #101 of 128 statewide, top 80%, 513 students, 63% FRL); Thurston High School (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #85 of 143 statewide, top 61%, 1,277 students, 65% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 263 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $43k; list at $69k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.51%
- DSCR
- 2.98
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $67,293
- List price
- $69,000
- Delta
- 2.54%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 S 54th St #117 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (-5%) | 8mo | $9,000 | $11 | 84 |
| 205 S 54th St #35 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 880 (+5%) | 14mo | $35,500 | $40 | 78 |
| 5335 Main St #187 | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (-7%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $70 | 78 |
| 205 S 54th St #64 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (+10%) | 8mo | $30,000 | $32 | 75 |
| 205 S 54th St #115 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (+10%) | 9mo | $39,000 | $42 | 74 |
| 5335 Main St #229 | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (+7%) | 8mo | $27,650 | $31 | 73 |
| 205 S 54th St #108 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (-13%) | 7mo | $60,000 | $82 | 70 |
| 5335 Main St #34 | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (-13%) | 0mo | $29,900 | $41 | 68 |
| 5335 Daisy St #131 | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (+10%) | 3mo | $40,000 | $43 | 66 |
| 5179 Daisy St | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (+10%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $271 | 57 |
| 5660 Daisy St #44 | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+14%) | 10mo | $258,000 | $269 | 57 |
| 621 S 57th Pl | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 936 (+11%) | 7mo | $250,000 | $267 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.82×
- Total profit
- $35,067
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- 48.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.75×
- Total profit
- $91,803
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97478
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 263
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,511 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$317
- Net cashflow
- $717
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 176 S 53rd St Unit 04 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 971 | $1,250 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 5312 Main St Unit 14 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,199 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 5312 Main St Unit 13 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,299 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 421 S 58th St Unit 00136 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 13d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 5817 Aster St Apt 3 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4830 Elderberry Loop Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,595 | $1.68 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4885 Aster St Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,734 | $1.73 | 13d | 18 | 0.75mi |
| 4800 B St Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,662 | $1.72 | 13d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5040 E St #12 Springfield, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,895 | $2.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5040 E St #1 Springfield, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,895 | $1.90 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5040 E St #21 Springfield, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,795 | $1.79 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1075 56th Pl Springfield, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,795 | $1.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 274 S 47th St Unit B Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,150 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5580 High Banks Rd Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,590 | $1.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4625 Main St Unit 8 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,250 | $1.92 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $69,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-15$69,000 Active 1403-char remark
-
2021-11-15soldstatus $43,000 Sold 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Darling home in 55+ community. This two bedroom home feels larger in person with great natural light and many updates. New interior paint, trim and flooring. Newer furnace/forced air heat and electrical panel in 2018. New backsplash, counter tops, bathroom vanities, light fixtures and front deck. Updated vinyl windows. Wall A/C units and washer and dryer included. Fenced yard for a more private feel. Park includes a rec room, pool, and library. Park has RV and boat storage. Cash only.
-
2021-10-23status Pending 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Darling home in 55+ community. This two bedroom home feels larger in person with great natural light and many updates. New interior paint, trim and flooring. Newer furnace/forced air heat and electrical panel in 2018. New backsplash, counter tops, bathroom vanities, light fixtures and front deck. Updated vinyl windows. Wall A/C units and washer and dryer included. Fenced yard for a more private feel. Park includes a rec room, pool, and library. Park has RV and boat storage. Cash only.
-
2021-10-18price $45,000 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Darling home in 55+ community. This two bedroom home feels larger in person with great natural light and many updates. New interior paint, trim and flooring. Newer furnace/forced air heat and electrical panel in 2018. New backsplash, counter tops, bathroom vanities, light fixtures and front deck. Updated vinyl windows. Wall A/C units and washer and dryer included. Fenced yard for a more private feel. Park includes a rec room, pool, and library. Park has RV and boat storage. Cash only.
-
2021-10-12$50,000 Active 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Darling home in 55+ community. This two bedroom home feels larger in person with great natural light and many updates. New interior paint, trim and flooring. Newer furnace/forced air heat and electrical panel in 2018. New backsplash, counter tops, bathroom vanities, light fixtures and front deck. Updated vinyl windows. Wall A/C units and washer and dryer included. Fenced yard for a more private feel. Park includes a rec room, pool, and library. Park has RV and boat storage. Cash only.
-
2015-07-24soldstatus $6,500 Sold
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
Mobile only, no land. Mgmt. approval required prior to COE. Base space rent is $478.00 + water and sewer. Garbage is included in rent. 2 bedrooms, 1.1 bath (2nd bedroom has 1/2 bath) with laundry, newer deck & stairs, vinyl windows, newer rubber roof, great separation of space and a quiet, popular park. Rec room, pool and RV storage for a small monthly fee.
-
2015-06-30status Pending
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
Mobile only, no land. Mgmt. approval required prior to COE. Base space rent is $478.00 + water and sewer. Garbage is included in rent. 2 bedrooms, 1.1 bath (2nd bedroom has 1/2 bath) with laundry, newer deck & stairs, vinyl windows, newer rubber roof, great separation of space and a quiet, popular park. Rec room, pool and RV storage for a small monthly fee.
-
2015-06-16$7,000 Active
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
Mobile only, no land. Mgmt. approval required prior to COE. Base space rent is $478.00 + water and sewer. Garbage is included in rent. 2 bedrooms, 1.1 bath (2nd bedroom has 1/2 bath) with laundry, newer deck & stairs, vinyl windows, newer rubber roof, great separation of space and a quiet, popular park. Rec room, pool and RV storage for a small monthly fee.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,129
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$1,035
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,450
- − Management
- −$1,450
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $7,976
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,914
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,686/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield SD 19
- NCES district ID
- 4111670
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,236
- Composite
- 24.14/100
- National rank
- #7746
- State rank
- #48 of 58 in OR
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #40
- US rank
- #934
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, OR
- County
- Lane County · 310,476 people
- City population
- 76,907
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,373
- Household income
- $80,086
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 904.0
Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 391,933 people
- By 2030
- 405,860 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 429,386 · +9.6%
- By 2050
- 452,016 · +15.3%
- By 2075
- 508,825 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 531,208 · +35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lane
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -395.83%
- Current HPI
- 302.9203
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.38%
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+885.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $69,000 RMLS
- 2021-11-15 Sold (MLS) $43,000 RMLS
- 2021-10-23 Pending — RMLS
- 2021-10-18 Price Changed $45,000 RMLS
- 2021-10-12 Listed $50,000 RMLS
- 2015-07-24 Sold (MLS) $6,500 RMLS
- 2015-06-30 Pending — RMLS
- 2015-06-16 Listed $7,000 RMLS
Property tax history
-42.3%/yrLatest (2015): $6 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…