82281 Olivera Way · Indio, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 114°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.8/30.0
- ARV discount +12.8/15.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$380,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* * Standard Sale * * 4 Bedroom Home IN MOVE-IN-READY CONDITION * * This Beautiful Home Has Recently Been Remodel. New Roof, Carpet in Living Room and all 4 bedrooms, New Tile in Kitchen, Dining Area and Hallway. Both bathrooms have also been remodel, New Front Door, New Windows. .. Too Many Upgrades to name them all. Bring Your Picky Buyers to see this beauty! They won't be disappointed. ..
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- 4 garage spots
- Built 1970
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; Zoned R-1; Assessor used as source for lot and square footage information; Property sold as-is; No short-term rentals permitted; Will not consider lease; Listing terms may include Cash, 1031 Exchange, FHA; possession negotiable (close plus 3 days possible)
- HOA & community: No monthly association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Garage door opener; Covered parking; Driveway parking; Direct entrance from garage; Total of 10 parking spaces (4 garage, 2 covered, 2 carport, 2 uncovered/assigned)
- Security: Security system (owned); Closed-circuit camera(s); Exterior security lights
- Utilities: Sewer: connected and paid; PUD: No
- Home design: Single-family residence; Attached property; Single-story (ground level, no unit above)
- Construction: Year built per assessor
- Exterior features: City, city lights and orchard views; Exterior security lights; Closed-circuit cameras; Security system (owned)
Interior
- Flooring: Ceramic tile flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One 3/4 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Unfurnished; Entry; Bonus room; Family room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $380k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($385/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $305k (19.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $305k (19.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.3% in Indio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#927 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Desert Sands Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #199 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Indio High (math 15% / reading 42%, grade F, #774 of 1,170 statewide, top 66%, 2,143 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 56% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Desert Sands Unified average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 514 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,053/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 2036% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($374k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask is 99900% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $112k; list at $380k implies a 238% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.36%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $431,250
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82211 Garden | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,262 (+1%) | 2mo | $439,000 | $348 | 86 |
| 82431 Priscilla Ct | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,276 (+2%) | 2mo | $549,900 | $431 | 70 |
| 82143 Primrose | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,150 (-8%) | 5mo | $370,000 | $322 | 69 |
| 82474 Priscilla Ct | 0.38mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,276 (+2%) | 3mo | $440,000 | $345 | 66 |
| 82432 Deborah Dr | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 | 1,418 (+13%) | 2mo | $450,000 | $317 | 61 |
| 47661 Granite Ct | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,300 (+4%) | 8mo | $440,000 | $338 | 55 |
| 45862 Deglet Noor St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,242 (-1%) | 14mo | $420,000 | $338 | 55 |
| 82387 Painted Canyon Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,357 (+9%) | 3mo | $479,000 | $353 | 54 |
| 45680 Deglet Noor St | 0.60mi | 4/3.0 | 1,241 (-1%) | 14mo | $385,000 | $310 | 53 |
| 82756 Hartford Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,166 (-7%) | 6mo | $410,000 | $352 | 53 |
| 82431 Arlene Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,402 (+12%) | 7mo | $460,000 | $328 | 51 |
| 82195 Calico Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,300 (+4%) | 16mo | $467,000 | $359 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.34% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-58,591
- Equity at exit
- $56,659
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-44,487
- Equity at exit
- $32,855
Cash invested: $106,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92201
- Home prices YoY
- -28.4%
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 514
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,053 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,993
- Tax from tax record
- −$229 /mo · $2,748/yr
- Insurance
- −$158
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$641
- Net cashflow
- $32
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $95,000
- Closing costs
- $11,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82451 John Nobles Ave Unit 19 Indio, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,795 | $1.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 82377 Rebecca Dr Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $2,400 | $2.52 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 82235 Calico Ave Indio, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1721 | $3,290 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 47395 Monroe St #264 Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1257 | $3,200 | $2.55 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 81871 Victoria St Indio, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1826 | $3,400 | $1.86 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 82934 Via Venecia Indio, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1593 | $3,700 | $2.32 | 2d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 81683 De Plata Ave Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $3,100 | $2.55 | 18d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 44900 Rubidoux St Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1158 | $2,295 | $1.98 | 5d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 47537 Calle Diamante Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1772 | $3,200 | $1.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 81867 Lancer Way Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1798 | $2,450 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 47884 Coronado Dr Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1808 | $2,995 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 83405 Date Ave Apt 8 Indio, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,699 | $1.70 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 48842 Biery St Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1833 | $3,200 | $1.75 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 81272 Palmwood Dr Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $3,200 | $2.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 48638 Hepburn Dr Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1732 | $5,800 | $3.35 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 48957 Heifitz Dr Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1833 | $4,600 | $2.51 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 83458 Tropical Whisper Ct Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1689 | $3,300 | $1.95 | 12d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 49133 Garland Rd Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $2,950 | $1.66 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 49120 Cochran Dr Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1655 | $2,850 | $1.72 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 49153 Garland Rd Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1655 | $2,850 | $1.72 | 16d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 49181 Eisenhower Dr Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $4,250 | $3.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 83459 Caribe Ave Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $3,000 | $2.23 | 2d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 83459 Caribe Ave Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $3,200 | $2.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 44313 Larrea St Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1219 | $2,400 | $1.97 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 47800 Madison St Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $2,850 | $1.96 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 82013 Cochran Dr Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1796 | $3,300 | $1.84 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 81153 Francis Ave Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $2,800 | $2.17 | 5d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 82223 Travolta Ave Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1808 | $5,000 | $2.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $380,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $380,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $380,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $380,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $380,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $380,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $380,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$380,000 Active 8 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,748 · $229/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,888 · $241/mo
- Expected delta
- +$140/yr (+$12/mo · 5.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,640
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,286
- − Property taxes
- −$2,748
- − Insurance
- −$1,900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,931
- − Management
- −$2,931
- − Depreciation
- −$11,055
- Taxable loss
- −$6,211
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,491
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,875/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Desert Sands Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0611110
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,957
- Composite
- 37.77/100
- National rank
- #4346
- State rank
- #199 of 517 in CA
Livability — Indio
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #927
- US rank
- #24244
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indio, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 100,560
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,825
- Household income
- $66,758
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2036.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 74% Two or more races 39% White 19% Black 3% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 69%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 41% English-only · Spanish 55% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.46%
- Current HPI
- 348.6605
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.34%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+375.0% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Price Changed $380,000 GPSMLS
- 2026-05-30 Listed $380 GPSMLS
- 2013-01-30 Sold (MLS) $112,500 GPSMLS
- 2013-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $112,500 Public Records
- 2013-01-07 Pending — GPSMLS
- 2013-01-05 Listed $110,000 GPSMLS
- 2012-11-05 Sold (MLS) $52,000 GPSMLS
- 2012-09-25 Pending — GPSMLS
- 2012-09-11 Listed $54,150 GPSMLS
- 2008-09-19 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2008-09-17 Contingent — GPSMLS
- 2008-08-14 Relisted — GPSMLS
- 2008-08-13 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2008-07-18 Price Changed $114,900 GPSMLS
- 2008-06-02 Listed $119,900 GPSMLS
- 2008-05-02 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2008-03-06 Price Changed $199,000 GPSMLS
- 2008-02-09 Price Changed $219,000 GPSMLS
- 2008-02-07 Listed $239,000 GPSMLS
- 2008-02-02 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2007-11-01 Listed $239,000 GPSMLS
- 1998-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,748 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…