5002 Early Ln · Port LaBelle, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Appreciation +4.5/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.2/5.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Celebration Series 1513-A single story garage home! Promo Price! The home includes a spacious great room that opens up to the dinette and kitchen. The owner's suite features a private bathroom and walk in closet! Additionally, there is a flex room, 2 more bedrooms, and another full bath! Completion date is April 2018. $95 holds the home with approved lender and attorney!
Key facts
- Near schools
- Shopping centers
- Privacy fencing
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: No association fee; Non-gated community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 covered space); Driveway; Paved parking
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces east; Resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood frame construction; Shingle roof; Built on standard foundation
- Exterior features: Fence; Corner lot; Oversized lot; Paved road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Walk-in pantry
- Bedrooms: Den; Family room; Great room
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: High ceilings; Dual sinks; Eat-in kitchen; Tub with shower; Cable TV; Walk-in pantry; Walk-in closets; Split bedroom layout; Single-hung windows; Shutters; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located inside; Tankless water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $379 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $225k).
- Recommended offer: $218k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 5.1% in Port LaBelle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#750 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Hendry (town): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #65 of 73 in FL (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.2%/yr); 105 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 557 units permitted in Hendry County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hendry County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $145k; list at $225k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.22%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $309,140
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5012 Gramercy Rd | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,499 (-1%) | 0mo | $260,000 | $173 | 89 |
| 5008 Gunn Cir | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,590 (+5%) | 3mo | $485,000 | $305 | 81 |
| 5027 Gunn Cir | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,590 (+5%) | 2mo | $365,000 | $230 | 78 |
| 5028 S Obispo Cir | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (-0%) | 5mo | $280,000 | $187 | 71 |
| 5003 Early Ln | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-14%) | 5mo | $266,000 | $205 | 71 |
| 3003 NW Beechwood Cir | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,585 (+5%) | 1mo | $505,000 | $319 | 61 |
| 3060 NE Beechwood Cir | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,592 (+6%) | 4mo | $245,000 | $154 | 57 |
| 5019 Mateo Cir | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,666 (+10%) | 7mo | $269,990 | $162 | 55 |
| 3054 NE Beechwood Cir | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,564 (+4%) | 8mo | $281,000 | $180 | 55 |
| 5017 N Peachtree Cir | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,285 (-15%) | 5mo | $275,000 | $214 | 53 |
| 3043 S Beechwood Cir | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,389 (-8%) | 6mo | $279,999 | $202 | 50 |
| 5023 N Dogwood Cir | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,292 (-14%) | 9mo | $278,250 | $215 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.08% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-639
- Equity at exit
- $53,402
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $21,021
- Equity at exit
- $55,304
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33635
- Home prices YoY
- -0.4%
- Rents YoY
- -5.2%
- Active inventory
- 105
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,380 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$227 /mo · $2,729/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$500
- Net cashflow
- $379
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5029 W Hummingbird Dr Labelle, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $2,450 | $2.02 | 3d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 5012 Gunn Pl Labelle, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1783 | $2,500 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 3051 NW Beechwood Cir Labelle, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1499 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 5029 S Rosebud Cir Labelle, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $1,780 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 801 SW Raintree Blvd Labelle, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1285 | $1,700 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 7038 Lotus Cir Labelle, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1680 | $2,200 | $1.31 | 16d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-04-20$225,000 Active
-
2018-08-17soldstatus $144,990 Sold 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Celebration Series 1513-A single story garage home! Promo Price! The home includes a spacious great room that opens up to the dinette and kitchen. The owner's suite features a private bathroom and walk in closet! Additionally, there is a flex room, 2 more bedrooms, and another full bath! Completion date is April 2018. $95 holds the home with approved lender and attorney!
-
2018-06-25status Pending 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Celebration Series 1513-A single story garage home! Promo Price! The home includes a spacious great room that opens up to the dinette and kitchen. The owner's suite features a private bathroom and walk in closet! Additionally, there is a flex room, 2 more bedrooms, and another full bath! Completion date is April 2018. $95 holds the home with approved lender and attorney!
-
2018-06-18price $144,990 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Celebration Series 1513-A single story garage home! Promo Price! The home includes a spacious great room that opens up to the dinette and kitchen. The owner's suite features a private bathroom and walk in closet! Additionally, there is a flex room, 2 more bedrooms, and another full bath! Completion date is April 2018. $95 holds the home with approved lender and attorney!
-
2018-06-06status Active 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Celebration Series 1513-A single story garage home! Promo Price! The home includes a spacious great room that opens up to the dinette and kitchen. The owner's suite features a private bathroom and walk in closet! Additionally, there is a flex room, 2 more bedrooms, and another full bath! Completion date is April 2018. $95 holds the home with approved lender and attorney!
-
2018-02-01status Pending 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Celebration Series 1513-A single story garage home! Promo Price! The home includes a spacious great room that opens up to the dinette and kitchen. The owner's suite features a private bathroom and walk in closet! Additionally, there is a flex room, 2 more bedrooms, and another full bath! Completion date is April 2018. $95 holds the home with approved lender and attorney!
-
2018-01-31price $146,990 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Celebration Series 1513-A single story garage home! Promo Price! The home includes a spacious great room that opens up to the dinette and kitchen. The owner's suite features a private bathroom and walk in closet! Additionally, there is a flex room, 2 more bedrooms, and another full bath! Completion date is April 2018. $95 holds the home with approved lender and attorney!
-
2018-01-31price $146,890 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Celebration Series 1513-A single story garage home! Promo Price! The home includes a spacious great room that opens up to the dinette and kitchen. The owner's suite features a private bathroom and walk in closet! Additionally, there is a flex room, 2 more bedrooms, and another full bath! Completion date is April 2018. $95 holds the home with approved lender and attorney!
-
2017-12-06price $146,990 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Celebration Series 1513-A single story garage home! Promo Price! The home includes a spacious great room that opens up to the dinette and kitchen. The owner's suite features a private bathroom and walk in closet! Additionally, there is a flex room, 2 more bedrooms, and another full bath! Completion date is April 2018. $95 holds the home with approved lender and attorney!
-
2017-10-26soldstatus $6,500
-
2017-10-11$141,990 Active 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Celebration Series 1513-A single story garage home! Promo Price! The home includes a spacious great room that opens up to the dinette and kitchen. The owner's suite features a private bathroom and walk in closet! Additionally, there is a flex room, 2 more bedrooms, and another full bath! Completion date is April 2018. $95 holds the home with approved lender and attorney!
-
2016-02-02historical
-
2015-04-22$10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,729 · $227/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,729 · $227/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,557
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$2,729
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,285
- − Management
- −$2,285
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable income
- $984
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$236
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,310/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hendry
- NCES district ID
- 1200780
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,043
- Composite
- 31.16/100
- National rank
- #6054
- State rank
- #65 of 73 in FL
Livability — Port LaBelle
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #750
- US rank
- #16264
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Port LaBelle, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,134
- Household income
- $86,894
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 485.0
Population outlook (Hendry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,866 people
- By 2030
- 38,558 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 37,743 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 36,117 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 30,070 · -22.6%
- By 2100
- 21,966 · -43.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 15% Asian 9% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 11% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 58% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Hendry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.3) · D 30.4% · R 68.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.1pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -38.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.3 2020: R+23.0 2016: R+14.2 2012: R+5.9 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.08%
- Current HPI
- 260.802
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -5.23%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+2150.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $225,000 FORTMLS
- 2018-08-17 Sold (MLS) $144,990 FORTMLS
- 2018-06-25 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2018-06-18 Price Changed $144,990 FORTMLS
- 2018-06-06 Relisted — FORTMLS
- 2018-02-01 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2018-01-31 Price Changed $146,990 FORTMLS
- 2018-01-31 Price Changed $146,890 FORTMLS
- 2017-12-06 Price Changed $146,990 FORTMLS
- 2017-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $6,500 Public Records
- 2017-10-11 Listed $141,990 FORTMLS
- 2016-02-02 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-04-22 Listed $10,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+24.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,729 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…