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209 Adry Ln
D Composite 40.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$260,000

209 Adry Ln · Youngsville, LA 70592
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,618 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 240 Days on market
Built 2023 4,791 sqft lot Est $249k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Under Construction home in Guillot Village Phase II! The Iris Heritage I is a beautiful floorplan that offers 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Wood wrapped lintels in living room. Kitchen includes a freestanding range with stainless appliances, 3cm granite countertops and custom built cabinets. Wood laminate, tile and carpet flooring. Exterior of the home includes hydromulch and landscaping at front of home. *Ask us how you can save money by using our Preferred Lender and Title! * (Plan and Specs subject to change at builder's discretion. Rendering is a picture representation of home only - colors will change.)

Key facts

  • Tiled backsplash
  • Split floor plan
  • Island with seating

Tags

SPLIT FLOOR PLANWOOD LAMINATE FLOORSGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESISLAND WITH SEATINGTILED BACKSPLASH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($468/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (18.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $212k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.8% in Youngsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in LA, #2,614 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: J. Wallace James Elementary School (math 46% / reading 49%, grade D, #147 of 646 statewide, top 23%, 939 students, 64% FRL); Youngsville Middle School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D+, #37 of 218 statewide, top 18%, 646 students, 49% FRL); Southside High School (math 52% / reading 53%, grade C-, #30 of 265 statewide, top 12%, 1,910 students, 39% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 684 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 240 days — a 12% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $212,121 (18.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 240 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.47%
Cash-on-cash
0.64%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$249,172
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
209 Adry Ln 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,618 (0%) 1mo $260,000 $161 100
204 Anza Dr 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,523 (-6%) 1mo $235,000 $154 85
318 Adry Ln 0.18mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,684 (+4%) 1mo $260,000 $154 79
509 Braxton Dr 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,522 (-6%) 2mo $241,000 $158 78
520 Braxton Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,465 (-10%) 1mo $245,000 $167 75
101 Cebby Ln 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,532 (-5%) 3mo $250,000 $163 67
300 Afterglow Ln 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,689 (+4%) 3mo $259,620 $154 65
300 Mastermind Blvd 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,689 (+4%) 1mo $259,440 $154 62
108 Mastermind Blvd 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,689 (+4%) 2mo $259,440 $154 62
208 Mastermind Blvd 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,825 (+13%) 1mo $269,370 $148 48
202 Mastermind Blvd 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,825 (+13%) 2mo $268,615 $147 46
204 Mastermind Blvd 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,858 (+15%) 2mo $272,650 $147 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.7%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-42,554
Equity at exit
$38,767
10-year hold
IRR
-11.0%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-45,478
Equity at exit
$22,480

Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70592

Home prices YoY
-23.4%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
684
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,121 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$165 /mo · $1,979/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$445
Net cashflow
$39

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,072
Max offer price $260,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $186 -5% $113 +0% $39 +5% $-35 +10% $-108
Rent -10% $-129 -5% $-45 +0% $39 +5% $123 +10% $207
Rate -1.0pp $170 -0.5pp $105 base $39 +0.5pp $-28 +1.0pp $-97

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,000
Closing costs
$7,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
606 Highland View Dr Youngsville, LA 3.0 2.0 1477 $2,000 $1.35 45d 1 1.34mi
110 Canton Ct Youngsville, LA 3.0 2.0 1423 $1,995 $1.40 45d 1 1.43mi
210 Caillou Grove Rd Youngsville, LA 4.0 2.0 1961 $2,100 $1.07 15d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-27
    price $260,000
  3. 2025-12-01
    price $267,000
  4. 2025-09-30
    price $267,500
  5. 2025-08-30
    listed $270,000 Active
  6. 2023-07-14
    soldstatus $244,500 Sold 614-char remark
    Show marketing remark (614 chars)

    Under Construction home in Guillot Village Phase II! The Iris Heritage I is a beautiful floorplan that offers 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Wood wrapped lintels in living room. Kitchen includes a freestanding range with stainless appliances, 3cm granite countertops and custom built cabinets. Wood laminate, tile and carpet flooring. Exterior of the home includes hydromulch and landscaping at front of home. *Ask us how you can save money by using our Preferred Lender and Title! * (Plan and Specs subject to change at builder's discretion. Rendering is a picture representation of home only - colors will change.)

  7. 2023-03-29
    status Pending 614-char remark
    Show marketing remark (614 chars)

    Under Construction home in Guillot Village Phase II! The Iris Heritage I is a beautiful floorplan that offers 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Wood wrapped lintels in living room. Kitchen includes a freestanding range with stainless appliances, 3cm granite countertops and custom built cabinets. Wood laminate, tile and carpet flooring. Exterior of the home includes hydromulch and landscaping at front of home. *Ask us how you can save money by using our Preferred Lender and Title! * (Plan and Specs subject to change at builder's discretion. Rendering is a picture representation of home only - colors will change.)

  8. 2023-02-02
    listed $244,500 Active 614-char remark
    Show marketing remark (614 chars)

    Under Construction home in Guillot Village Phase II! The Iris Heritage I is a beautiful floorplan that offers 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Wood wrapped lintels in living room. Kitchen includes a freestanding range with stainless appliances, 3cm granite countertops and custom built cabinets. Wood laminate, tile and carpet flooring. Exterior of the home includes hydromulch and landscaping at front of home. *Ask us how you can save money by using our Preferred Lender and Title! * (Plan and Specs subject to change at builder's discretion. Rendering is a picture representation of home only - colors will change.)

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,979 · $165/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,979 · $165/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,455
− Mortgage interest
−$14,564
− Property taxes
−$1,979
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,036
− Management
−$2,036
− Depreciation
−$7,564
Taxable loss
−$4,025
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$966
After-tax cash flow
$1,434/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lafayette Parish
NCES district ID
2200870
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -24.00%
Median HH income
$50,238
Composite
36.15/100
National rank
#4741
State rank
#19 of 98 in LA

Livability — Youngsville

Score
78/100
State rank
#8
US rank
#2614

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lafayette Parish · 207,544 people
City population
32,167
Metro
Lafayette, LA
Population (ZIP)
32,167
Household income
$93,204
Rent vs Own
12.9% rent · 87.1% own
Severe rent burden
424.0

Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
280,930 people
By 2030
301,092 · +7.2%
By 2040
339,456 · +20.8%
By 2050
375,156 · +33.5%
By 2075
451,672 · +60.8%
By 2100
497,203 · +77.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Black 10% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 24% Romanian 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -41.24%
Current HPI
135.2825
Rent YoY
▲ 1.65%
Metro
Lafayette, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+6.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Pending AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $260,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-12-01 Price Changed $267,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-09-30 Price Changed $267,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-08-30 Listed $270,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2023-07-14 Sold (MLS) $244,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2023-03-29 Pending AcadianaMLS
  • 2023-02-02 Listed $244,500 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

+74.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,979 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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