209 Adry Ln · Youngsville, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- ARV discount +5.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$260,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Under Construction home in Guillot Village Phase II! The Iris Heritage I is a beautiful floorplan that offers 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Wood wrapped lintels in living room. Kitchen includes a freestanding range with stainless appliances, 3cm granite countertops and custom built cabinets. Wood laminate, tile and carpet flooring. Exterior of the home includes hydromulch and landscaping at front of home. *Ask us how you can save money by using our Preferred Lender and Title! * (Plan and Specs subject to change at builder's discretion. Rendering is a picture representation of home only - colors will change.)
Key facts
- Tiled backsplash
- Split floor plan
- Island with seating
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($468/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (18.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $212k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.8% in Youngsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in LA, #2,614 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: J. Wallace James Elementary School (math 46% / reading 49%, grade D, #147 of 646 statewide, top 23%, 939 students, 64% FRL); Youngsville Middle School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D+, #37 of 218 statewide, top 18%, 646 students, 49% FRL); Southside High School (math 52% / reading 53%, grade C-, #30 of 265 statewide, top 12%, 1,910 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 684 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 240 days — a 12% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 240 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.64%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $249,172
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209 Adry Ln | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,618 (0%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $161 | 100 |
| 204 Anza Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,523 (-6%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $154 | 85 |
| 318 Adry Ln | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,684 (+4%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $154 | 79 |
| 509 Braxton Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,522 (-6%) | 2mo | $241,000 | $158 | 78 |
| 520 Braxton Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,465 (-10%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $167 | 75 |
| 101 Cebby Ln | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,532 (-5%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $163 | 67 |
| 300 Afterglow Ln | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,689 (+4%) | 3mo | $259,620 | $154 | 65 |
| 300 Mastermind Blvd | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,689 (+4%) | 1mo | $259,440 | $154 | 62 |
| 108 Mastermind Blvd | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,689 (+4%) | 2mo | $259,440 | $154 | 62 |
| 208 Mastermind Blvd | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,825 (+13%) | 1mo | $269,370 | $148 | 48 |
| 202 Mastermind Blvd | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,825 (+13%) | 2mo | $268,615 | $147 | 46 |
| 204 Mastermind Blvd | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,858 (+15%) | 2mo | $272,650 | $147 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-42,554
- Equity at exit
- $38,767
- IRR
- -11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-45,478
- Equity at exit
- $22,480
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70592
- Home prices YoY
- -23.4%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 684
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,121 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$165 /mo · $1,979/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$445
- Net cashflow
- $39
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $186 | -5% $113 | +0% $39 | +5% $-35 | +10% $-108 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-129 | -5% $-45 | +0% $39 | +5% $123 | +10% $207 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $170 | -0.5pp $105 | base $39 | +0.5pp $-28 | +1.0pp $-97 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 606 Highland View Dr Youngsville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $2,000 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 110 Canton Ct Youngsville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1423 | $1,995 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 210 Caillou Grove Rd Youngsville, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1961 | $2,100 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-01-27price $260,000
-
2025-12-01price $267,000
-
2025-09-30price $267,500
-
2025-08-30$270,000 Active
-
2023-07-14soldstatus $244,500 Sold 614-char remark
Show marketing remark (614 chars)
Under Construction home in Guillot Village Phase II! The Iris Heritage I is a beautiful floorplan that offers 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Wood wrapped lintels in living room. Kitchen includes a freestanding range with stainless appliances, 3cm granite countertops and custom built cabinets. Wood laminate, tile and carpet flooring. Exterior of the home includes hydromulch and landscaping at front of home. *Ask us how you can save money by using our Preferred Lender and Title! * (Plan and Specs subject to change at builder's discretion. Rendering is a picture representation of home only - colors will change.)
-
2023-03-29status Pending 614-char remark
Show marketing remark (614 chars)
Under Construction home in Guillot Village Phase II! The Iris Heritage I is a beautiful floorplan that offers 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Wood wrapped lintels in living room. Kitchen includes a freestanding range with stainless appliances, 3cm granite countertops and custom built cabinets. Wood laminate, tile and carpet flooring. Exterior of the home includes hydromulch and landscaping at front of home. *Ask us how you can save money by using our Preferred Lender and Title! * (Plan and Specs subject to change at builder's discretion. Rendering is a picture representation of home only - colors will change.)
-
2023-02-02$244,500 Active 614-char remark
Show marketing remark (614 chars)
Under Construction home in Guillot Village Phase II! The Iris Heritage I is a beautiful floorplan that offers 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Wood wrapped lintels in living room. Kitchen includes a freestanding range with stainless appliances, 3cm granite countertops and custom built cabinets. Wood laminate, tile and carpet flooring. Exterior of the home includes hydromulch and landscaping at front of home. *Ask us how you can save money by using our Preferred Lender and Title! * (Plan and Specs subject to change at builder's discretion. Rendering is a picture representation of home only - colors will change.)
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,979 · $165/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,979 · $165/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,455
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$1,979
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,036
- − Management
- −$2,036
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable loss
- −$4,025
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$966
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,434/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200870
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 36.15/100
- National rank
- #4741
- State rank
- #19 of 98 in LA
Livability — Youngsville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #2614
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lafayette Parish · 207,544 people
- City population
- 32,167
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,167
- Household income
- $93,204
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 424.0
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,930 people
- By 2030
- 301,092 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 339,456 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 375,156 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 451,672 · +60.8%
- By 2100
- 497,203 · +77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 10% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 24% Romanian 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.24%
- Current HPI
- 135.2825
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.65%
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+6.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $260,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-12-01 Price Changed $267,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed $267,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-08-30 Listed $270,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2023-07-14 Sold (MLS) $244,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2023-03-29 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2023-02-02 Listed $244,500 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+74.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,979 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…