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275 Palm Beach Rd
D+ Composite 45.28
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$2,500

275 Palm Beach Rd · Dickinson, ND 58601
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 4,599 sqft · Other public records · 131 Days on market
Built 1980

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

WOW! Take a look at this 48+ acres located in city limits with 5,100 sf home, out buildings, garages, etc. Call to take a peek at this property, there are so many possibilities.

Key facts

  • Built 1980
  • Listed 130 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Finished concrete basement
  • Exterior features: Rural residential zoning

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Window coverings; Finished basement with concrete construction
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $2k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $2k).
  • Recommended offer: $2k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 658.3% vs local median 2.8% in Dickinson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in ND, #3,334 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Dickinson 1 (town): math 35% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #29 of 53 in ND (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 236 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 20 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $17 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $75 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stark County population projected at +120% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $700 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($2k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $2,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
69.65%
Cap rate
658.28%
Cash-on-cash
2328.53%
DSCR
104.61
GRM
0.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
121.45×
Total profit
$84,312
Equity at exit
$373
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
254.72×
Total profit
$177,607
Equity at exit
$216

Cash invested: $700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58601

Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
236
Price-to-rent
0.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,741 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$13
Tax est. 1.5%
$3 /mo · $38/yr
Insurance
$1
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$366
Net cashflow
$1,358

Break-even live

Break-even rent $22
Max offer price $2,500
Occupancy floor 17%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,360 -5% $1,359 +0% $1,358 +5% $1,357 +10% $1,357
Rent -10% $1,221 -5% $1,290 +0% $1,358 +5% $1,427 +10% $1,496
Rate -1.0pp $1,360 -0.5pp $1,359 base $1,358 +0.5pp $1,358 +1.0pp $1,357

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$625
Closing costs
$75
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $2,500 Active 131 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $2,500 Active 129 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $2,500 Active 128 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $2,500 Active 127 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $2,500 Active 126 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $2,500 Active 125 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $2,500 Active 123 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $2,500 Active 122 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $2,500 Active 119 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $2,500 Active 118 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $2,500 Active 117 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $2,500 Active 114 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $2,500 Active 113 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $2,500 Active 112 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $2,500 Active 111 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $2,500 Active 110 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $2,500 Active 109 DOM
  18. 2026-02-10
    listed $2,500 Active
  19. 2023-09-06
    historical 177-char remark
    Show marketing remark (177 chars)

    WOW! Take a look at this 48+ acres located in city limits with 5,100 sf home, out buildings, garages, etc. Call to take a peek at this property, there are so many possibilities.

  20. 2019-12-18
    listed $1,150,000 177-char remark
    Show marketing remark (177 chars)

    WOW! Take a look at this 48+ acres located in city limits with 5,100 sf home, out buildings, garages, etc. Call to take a peek at this property, there are so many possibilities.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,895
− Mortgage interest
−$140
− Property taxes
−$38
− Insurance
−$12
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,672
− Management
−$1,672
− Depreciation
−$73
Taxable income
$17,289
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,149
After-tax cash flow
$12,150/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dickinson 1
NCES district ID
3800038
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$63,270
Composite
34.9/100
National rank
#5080
State rank
#29 of 53 in ND

Livability — Dickinson

Score
76/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#3334

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Stark County · 29,916 people
City population
29,916
Metro
Dickinson, ND
Population (ZIP)
29,916
Household income
$85,821
Rent vs Own
35.4% rent · 64.6% own
Severe rent burden
813.0

Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
50,426 people
By 2030
60,812 · +20.6%
By 2040
84,155 · +66.9%
By 2050
110,718 · +119.6%
By 2075
186,710 · +270.3%
By 2100
264,902 · +425.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stark

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.6) · D 16.5% · R 82.1% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-36.5pp toward R · 2008: -29.1pp · 2024: -65.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.6 2020: R+63.9 2016: R+65.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+29.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -133.57%
Current HPI
188.1029
Rent YoY
▲ 1.95%
Metro
Dickinson, ND
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-99.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $2,500 Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2023-09-06 Delisted Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2019-12-18 Listed $1,150,000 Badlands BOR MLS

Property tax history

+60.7%/yr

Latest (2021): $4,756 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…