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1268 Oxford Dr
C- Composite 54.1
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$188,000

1268 Oxford Dr · North Madison, OH 44057
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 61 Days on market
Built 1994 6,351 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautifully updated ranch that that is steps away from the breezy shores of Lake Erie. This home has 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. The neutral decor just added with the luxury vinyl tile, soft carpet and warm paint leave you a multitude of options for decorating. The home has a brand new furnace and hot water tank (2020) All you need to do is pack your bag and move in!

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Updated baths
  • Beach access

Tags

ONE FLOOR LIVINGUPDATED BATHSBRIGHT EAT-IN KITCHENSPACIOUS YARDMATURE TREESBEACH ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Home warranty included
  • HOA & community: Community amenities: lake, park

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Two garage spaces
  • Security: Security system installed
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Faces east; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Built in public-records year (year built source: public records)
  • Exterior features: Front and back yards; Partial wood fencing; Outbuilding / storage structure; Gravel parking areas

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen layout
  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms; Bedrooms with carpet flooring and window treatments
  • Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms and some rooms; Ceramic tile in kitchen; Laminate countertops noted (counter material)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Two main-level bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Window cooling units; Heating via baseboard, gas, hot water and steam
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Laminate countertops; Window coverings and treatments
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup on main level; Electric dryer hookup on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $188k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $270 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $188k).
  • Recommended offer: $177k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#865 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, health & safety D, schools D-.
  • Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 448 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $120k; list at $188k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $176,720 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.02%
Cash-on-cash
6.16%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.8%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-13,227
Equity at exit
$28,031
10-year hold
IRR
2.8%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$10,773
Equity at exit
$16,255

Cash invested: $52,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44057

Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,995 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$986
Tax from tax record
$242 /mo · $2,901/yr
Insurance
$78
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$419
Net cashflow
$270

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,653
Max offer price $188,000
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,000
Closing costs
$5,640
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6724 Georgetown Ln Madison, OH 2.0–3.0 2.0 1260 $1,995 $1.58 44d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-22
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-14
    historical Contingent
  4. 2026-03-31
    price $188,000
  5. 2026-02-26
    listed $193,000 Active
  6. 2025-07-31
    historical
  7. 2025-07-16
    listed $185,000 Active
  8. 2020-05-07
    soldstatus $119,900 Closed 383-char remark
    Show marketing remark (383 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully updated ranch that that is steps away from the breezy shores of Lake Erie. This home has 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. The neutral decor just added with the luxury vinyl tile, soft carpet and warm paint leave you a multitude of options for decorating. The home has a brand new furnace and hot water tank (2020) All you need to do is pack your bag and move in!

  9. 2020-05-07
    soldstatus $119,900
    Show marketing remark (383 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully updated ranch that that is steps away from the breezy shores of Lake Erie. This home has 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. The neutral decor just added with the luxury vinyl tile, soft carpet and warm paint leave you a multitude of options for decorating. The home has a brand new furnace and hot water tank (2020) All you need to do is pack your bag and move in!

  10. 2020-03-22
    historical Contingent 383-char remark
    Show marketing remark (383 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully updated ranch that that is steps away from the breezy shores of Lake Erie. This home has 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. The neutral decor just added with the luxury vinyl tile, soft carpet and warm paint leave you a multitude of options for decorating. The home has a brand new furnace and hot water tank (2020) All you need to do is pack your bag and move in!

  11. 2020-03-08
    listed $119,900 Active 383-char remark
    Show marketing remark (383 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully updated ranch that that is steps away from the breezy shores of Lake Erie. This home has 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. The neutral decor just added with the luxury vinyl tile, soft carpet and warm paint leave you a multitude of options for decorating. The home has a brand new furnace and hot water tank (2020) All you need to do is pack your bag and move in!

  12. 2020-02-28
    historical $119,900 383-char remark
    Show marketing remark (383 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully updated ranch that that is steps away from the breezy shores of Lake Erie. This home has 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. The neutral decor just added with the luxury vinyl tile, soft carpet and warm paint leave you a multitude of options for decorating. The home has a brand new furnace and hot water tank (2020) All you need to do is pack your bag and move in!

  13. 2020-01-09
    soldstatus $70,000 Closed
  14. 2019-12-17
    historical
  15. 2019-11-20
    price $74,900
  16. 2019-10-15
    price $84,900
  17. 2019-09-18
    listed $94,900 Active
  18. 2005-04-29
    soldstatus $118,800
  19. 2005-04-29
    soldstatus $118,800
  20. 2005-03-22
    listed $116,800
  21. 2000-03-08
    soldstatus $71,880
  22. 1999-12-17
    listed $83,000
  23. 1994-09-23
    soldstatus $67,900
  24. 1993-10-21
    soldstatus $7,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,901 · $242/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,917 · $243/mo
Expected delta
+$16/yr (+$1/mo · 0.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,940
− Mortgage interest
−$10,531
− Property taxes
−$2,901
− Insurance
−$940
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,915
− Management
−$1,915
− Depreciation
−$5,469
Taxable income
$269
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$65
After-tax cash flow
$3,177/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — North Madison

Score
62/100
State rank
#865
US rank
#16372

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Madison, OH
County
Lake · 224,932 people
City population
19,491
Metro
Cleveland, OH
Population (ZIP)
19,491
Household income
$70,212
Rent vs Own
16.2% rent · 83.8% own
Severe rent burden
8.5

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
230,022 people
By 2030
228,151 · -0.8%
By 2040
221,018 · -3.9%
By 2050
212,754 · -7.5%
By 2075
200,309 · -12.9%
By 2100
183,315 · -20.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
R (+14.3) · D 42.4% · R 56.7%
2008→2024 swing
-15.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.8pp · 2024: -14.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.3 2020: R+13.6 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.7 2008: D+0.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -241.42%
Current HPI
187.8978
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2406.7% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-22 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-14 Contingent MLSNOW
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $188,000 MLSNOW
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $193,000 MLSNOW
  • 2025-07-31 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2025-07-16 Listed $185,000 MLSNOW
  • 2020-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $119,900 Public Records
  • 2020-05-07 Sold (MLS) $119,900 MLSNOW
  • 2020-03-22 Contingent MLSNOW
  • 2020-03-08 Listed $119,900 MLSNOW
  • 2020-02-28 Coming Soon $119,900 MLSNOW
  • 2020-01-09 Sold (MLS) $70,000 MLSNOW
  • 2019-12-17 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2019-11-20 Price Changed $74,900 MLSNOW
  • 2019-10-15 Price Changed $84,900 MLSNOW
  • 2019-09-18 Listed $94,900 MLSNOW
  • 2005-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $118,800 Public Records
  • 2005-04-29 Sold (MLS) $118,800 MLSNOW
  • 2005-03-22 Listed $116,800 MLSNOW
  • 2000-03-08 Sold (MLS) $71,880 MLSNOW
  • 1999-12-17 Listed $83,000 MLSNOW
  • 1994-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $67,900 Public Records
  • 1993-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,901 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…