1268 Oxford Dr · North Madison, OH
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$188,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully updated ranch that that is steps away from the breezy shores of Lake Erie. This home has 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. The neutral decor just added with the luxury vinyl tile, soft carpet and warm paint leave you a multitude of options for decorating. The home has a brand new furnace and hot water tank (2020) All you need to do is pack your bag and move in!
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Updated baths
- Beach access
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Home warranty included
- HOA & community: Community amenities: lake, park
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Two garage spaces
- Security: Security system installed
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces east; Slab foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Built in public-records year (year built source: public records)
- Exterior features: Front and back yards; Partial wood fencing; Outbuilding / storage structure; Gravel parking areas
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen layout
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms; Bedrooms with carpet flooring and window treatments
- Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms and some rooms; Ceramic tile in kitchen; Laminate countertops noted (counter material)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Two main-level bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Window cooling units; Heating via baseboard, gas, hot water and steam
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Laminate countertops; Window coverings and treatments
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup on main level; Electric dryer hookup on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $188k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $270 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $188k).
- Recommended offer: $177k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#865 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, health & safety D, schools D-.
- Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 448 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $120k; list at $188k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.16%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-13,227
- Equity at exit
- $28,031
- IRR
- 2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $10,773
- Equity at exit
- $16,255
Cash invested: $52,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44057
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,995 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$986
- Tax from tax record
- −$242 /mo · $2,901/yr
- Insurance
- −$78
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$419
- Net cashflow
- $270
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,000
- Closing costs
- $5,640
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6724 Georgetown Ln Madison, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,995 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-22status Active
-
2026-04-14historical Contingent
-
2026-03-31price $188,000
-
2026-02-26$193,000 Active
-
2025-07-31historical
-
2025-07-16$185,000 Active
-
2020-05-07soldstatus $119,900 Closed 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated ranch that that is steps away from the breezy shores of Lake Erie. This home has 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. The neutral decor just added with the luxury vinyl tile, soft carpet and warm paint leave you a multitude of options for decorating. The home has a brand new furnace and hot water tank (2020) All you need to do is pack your bag and move in!
-
2020-05-07soldstatus $119,900
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated ranch that that is steps away from the breezy shores of Lake Erie. This home has 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. The neutral decor just added with the luxury vinyl tile, soft carpet and warm paint leave you a multitude of options for decorating. The home has a brand new furnace and hot water tank (2020) All you need to do is pack your bag and move in!
-
2020-03-22historical Contingent 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated ranch that that is steps away from the breezy shores of Lake Erie. This home has 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. The neutral decor just added with the luxury vinyl tile, soft carpet and warm paint leave you a multitude of options for decorating. The home has a brand new furnace and hot water tank (2020) All you need to do is pack your bag and move in!
-
2020-03-08$119,900 Active 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated ranch that that is steps away from the breezy shores of Lake Erie. This home has 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. The neutral decor just added with the luxury vinyl tile, soft carpet and warm paint leave you a multitude of options for decorating. The home has a brand new furnace and hot water tank (2020) All you need to do is pack your bag and move in!
-
2020-02-28historical $119,900 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated ranch that that is steps away from the breezy shores of Lake Erie. This home has 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. The neutral decor just added with the luxury vinyl tile, soft carpet and warm paint leave you a multitude of options for decorating. The home has a brand new furnace and hot water tank (2020) All you need to do is pack your bag and move in!
-
2020-01-09soldstatus $70,000 Closed
-
2019-12-17historical
-
2019-11-20price $74,900
-
2019-10-15price $84,900
-
2019-09-18$94,900 Active
-
2005-04-29soldstatus $118,800
-
2005-04-29soldstatus $118,800
-
2005-03-22$116,800
-
2000-03-08soldstatus $71,880
-
1999-12-17$83,000
-
1994-09-23soldstatus $67,900
-
1993-10-21soldstatus $7,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,901 · $242/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,917 · $243/mo
- Expected delta
- +$16/yr (+$1/mo · 0.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,940
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,531
- − Property taxes
- −$2,901
- − Insurance
- −$940
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,915
- − Management
- −$1,915
- − Depreciation
- −$5,469
- Taxable income
- $269
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$65
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,177/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — North Madison
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #865
- US rank
- #16372
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Madison, OH
- County
- Lake · 224,932 people
- City population
- 19,491
- Metro
- Cleveland, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,491
- Household income
- $70,212
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8.5
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 230,022 people
- By 2030
- 228,151 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 221,018 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 212,754 · -7.5%
- By 2075
- 200,309 · -12.9%
- By 2100
- 183,315 · -20.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.3) · D 42.4% · R 56.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.8pp · 2024: -14.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.3 2020: R+13.6 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.7 2008: D+0.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -241.42%
- Current HPI
- 187.8978
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+2406.7% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-22 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-14 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $188,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-02-26 Listed $193,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-07-31 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2025-07-16 Listed $185,000 MLSNOW
- 2020-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $119,900 Public Records
- 2020-05-07 Sold (MLS) $119,900 MLSNOW
- 2020-03-22 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2020-03-08 Listed $119,900 MLSNOW
- 2020-02-28 Coming Soon $119,900 MLSNOW
- 2020-01-09 Sold (MLS) $70,000 MLSNOW
- 2019-12-17 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2019-11-20 Price Changed $74,900 MLSNOW
- 2019-10-15 Price Changed $84,900 MLSNOW
- 2019-09-18 Listed $94,900 MLSNOW
- 2005-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $118,800 Public Records
- 2005-04-29 Sold (MLS) $118,800 MLSNOW
- 2005-03-22 Listed $116,800 MLSNOW
- 2000-03-08 Sold (MLS) $71,880 MLSNOW
- 1999-12-17 Listed $83,000 MLSNOW
- 1994-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $67,900 Public Records
- 1993-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,901 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…