91 Gasparilla Way · Rotonda, FL
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Appreciation +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$580,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Island getaway
Key facts
- 0.32 acre lot
- Built 2003
- Listed 48 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Furnished; Property zoned BBI; Lot is irregular and in a flood zone; Two lots; Approximately 0.32 acre (0.32 acres); Dirt road access
- Financial info: Homestead exempt; No CDD; No association 2; Lease restrictions: none indicated
- HOA & community: Pets allowed: cats and dogs
Exterior
- Parking: Directions provided to property (via Palm Island car ferry)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; North-facing; Stilt/piling foundation; Completed condition
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Built on stilts/on pilings
- Exterior features: Hurricane shutters; Rain gutters; Rain barrel/cistern(s); On waterfront with water access to canal and Intracoastal Waterway; Partial gulf/ocean view; No-fixed-bridge access
Interior
- Kitchen: Convection oven; Microwave; Range; Dishwasher; Disposal; Ice maker; Exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Vaulted ceilings; Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry closet; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $580k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $580k).
- Recommended offer: $563k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.1% in Rotonda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#548 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A-, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Myakka River Elementary School (math 65% / reading 60%, grade B, #601 of 2,144 statewide, top 28%, 608 students, 51% FRL); Lemon Bay High School (math 50% / reading 56%, grade C-, #148 of 667 statewide, top 23%, 1,360 students, 28% FRL).
- Market conditions: 915 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $162k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($563k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.71%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $831,600
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10500 Yacht Basin Dr | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-3%) | 16mo | $810,000 | $675 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $7,196
- Equity at exit
- $115,248
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $126,994
- Equity at exit
- $100,982
Cash invested: $162,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33946
- Home prices YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 915
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,080 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,042
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$725 /mo · $8,700/yr
- Insurance
- −$242
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,487
- Net cashflow
- $1,158
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,559 | -5% $1,359 | +0% $1,158 | +5% $958 | +10% $757 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $599 | -5% $879 | +0% $1,158 | +5% $1,438 | +10% $1,718 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,450 | -0.5pp $1,306 | base $1,158 | +0.5pp $1,008 | +1.0pp $855 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $145,000
- Closing costs
- $17,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210 Bocilla Dr Boca Grande, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1296 | $9,858 | $7.61 | 21d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 6800 Placida Rd #283 Englewood, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,500 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 8411 Placida Rd #205 Placida, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 903 | $2,100 | $2.33 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $580,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $580,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $580,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $580,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $580,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $580,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $580,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $580,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $580,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $580,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $580,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $580,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $580,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $580,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $580,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $580,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $580,000
-
2026-05-01$600,000 Active
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-09-22price $690,000
-
2025-06-16price $725,000
-
2025-04-28price $800,000
-
2025-04-10price $815,000
-
2025-02-11price $825,000
-
2025-01-20$850,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $84,958
- − Mortgage interest
- −$32,489
- − Property taxes
- −$8,700
- − Insurance
- −$8,018
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,797
- − Management
- −$6,797
- − Depreciation
- −$16,873
- Taxable income
- $5,284
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,268
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,631/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
The property is in fair condition with cosmetic repairs needed. Landscaping and interior updates would significantly enhance its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Exposed wooden beams under the house — Structural issue
- Minor Debris on the ground — Aesthetic issue
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and debris removal — Improves curb appeal and functionality
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Reorganizing and cleaning interior spaces — Maximizes living space and improves aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exposed wooden beams under the house · Structural issue | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Debris on the ground · Aesthetic issue | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $15,500–53,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping and debris removal — Improves curb appeal and functionality ↑
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Reorganizing and cleaning interior spaces — Maximizes living space and improves aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Rotonda
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #548
- US rank
- #10359
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 10,490
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,745
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 2% Russian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.90%
- Current HPI
- 288.559
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-31.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $580,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $600,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-22 Price Changed $690,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-16 Price Changed $725,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-28 Price Changed $800,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-10 Price Changed $815,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-11 Price Changed $825,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-20 Listed $850,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…