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137 Randall Cir
C- Composite 51.17
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$181,900

137 Randall Cir · Clanton, AL 35045
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,010 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1991 0.43 ac lot $180/sqft · 30% above area Est $279k · 35% under ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come see this 4 bedroom and 2 bath, all brick home on a large lot. It is in a nice subdivision and would make a great home for a family. It also has 2 living areas. "Purchasers may use any lender they choose to finance the purchase of a property. However, the seller requires that all non-cash offers must be pre-qualified by Caliber Home Loans, Inc. prior to offer acceptance. For the free pre-qualification, contact Patricia Nicholson at (813) 417-4020". All offers will be reviewed on day 8. Under FinCens new RRE Rule, transfers will be subject to reporting when buyers use entities or trusts to take title to residential real estate, when the transaction is all cash, privately financed or HELOC.

Key facts

  • Large lot
  • All brick home
  • 2 living areas

Tags

ALL BRICK HOMELARGE LOT2 LIVING AREAS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $182k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $76 ($909/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (15.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $153k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.4% in Clanton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#259 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Chilton County (rural): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #94 of 129 in AL (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Chilton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chilton County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $153,300 (15.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
7.16%
Cash-on-cash
3.09%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$279,258
List price
$181,900
Delta
-34.86%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.5%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-24,702
Equity at exit
$27,122
10-year hold
IRR
-4.6%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-15,506
Equity at exit
$15,727

Cash invested: $50,932 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35045

Home prices YoY
-25.8%
Active inventory
125
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,533 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$954
Tax from tax record
$50 /mo · $601/yr
Insurance
$76
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$322
Net cashflow
$76

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,437
Max offer price $181,900
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,475
Closing costs
$5,457
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 711-char remark
    Show marketing remark (711 chars)

    Come see this 4 bedroom and 2 bath, all brick home on a large lot. It is in a nice subdivision and would make a great home for a family. It also has 2 living areas. "Purchasers may use any lender they choose to finance the purchase of a property. However, the seller requires that all non-cash offers must be pre-qualified by Caliber Home Loans, Inc. prior to offer acceptance. For the free pre-qualification, contact Patricia Nicholson at (813) 417-4020". All offers will be reviewed on day 8. Under FinCens new RRE Rule, transfers will be subject to reporting when buyers use entities or trusts to take title to residential real estate, when the transaction is all cash, privately financed or HELOC.

  2. 2026-04-20
    listed $181,900 Active 711-char remark
    Show marketing remark (711 chars)

    Come see this 4 bedroom and 2 bath, all brick home on a large lot. It is in a nice subdivision and would make a great home for a family. It also has 2 living areas. "Purchasers may use any lender they choose to finance the purchase of a property. However, the seller requires that all non-cash offers must be pre-qualified by Caliber Home Loans, Inc. prior to offer acceptance. For the free pre-qualification, contact Patricia Nicholson at (813) 417-4020". All offers will be reviewed on day 8. Under FinCens new RRE Rule, transfers will be subject to reporting when buyers use entities or trusts to take title to residential real estate, when the transaction is all cash, privately financed or HELOC.

  3. 2025-01-03
    soldstatus $263,000
  4. 2024-12-13
    soldstatus $263,000 Sold 269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    Spacious Living for Your Growing Family. This 4-side brick home showcases five bedrooms and two bathrooms. The finished basement could easily convert into an in-law suite, office or a game room. This home is in a great location very convenient to the interstate. No HOA

  5. 2024-11-08
    historical Contingent 269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    Spacious Living for Your Growing Family. This 4-side brick home showcases five bedrooms and two bathrooms. The finished basement could easily convert into an in-law suite, office or a game room. This home is in a great location very convenient to the interstate. No HOA

  6. 2024-09-09
    price $250,000 269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    Spacious Living for Your Growing Family. This 4-side brick home showcases five bedrooms and two bathrooms. The finished basement could easily convert into an in-law suite, office or a game room. This home is in a great location very convenient to the interstate. No HOA

  7. 2024-07-24
    price $255,000 269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    Spacious Living for Your Growing Family. This 4-side brick home showcases five bedrooms and two bathrooms. The finished basement could easily convert into an in-law suite, office or a game room. This home is in a great location very convenient to the interstate. No HOA

  8. 2024-07-11
    price $260,000 269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    Spacious Living for Your Growing Family. This 4-side brick home showcases five bedrooms and two bathrooms. The finished basement could easily convert into an in-law suite, office or a game room. This home is in a great location very convenient to the interstate. No HOA

  9. 2024-07-08
    listed $270,000 Active 269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    Spacious Living for Your Growing Family. This 4-side brick home showcases five bedrooms and two bathrooms. The finished basement could easily convert into an in-law suite, office or a game room. This home is in a great location very convenient to the interstate. No HOA

  10. 2022-04-12
    soldstatus $180,000
  11. 2022-04-01
    soldstatus $180,000 Sold
  12. 2022-03-01
    historical Contingent
  13. 2021-11-07
    listed $199,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$601 · $50/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$746 · $62/mo
Expected delta
+$145/yr (+$12/mo · 24.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,396
− Mortgage interest
−$10,189
− Property taxes
−$601
− Insurance
−$1,576
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,472
− Management
−$1,472
− Depreciation
−$5,292
Taxable loss
−$2,205
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$529
After-tax cash flow
$1,438/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chilton County
NCES district ID
0100660
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$41,269
Composite
20.73/100
National rank
#8520
State rank
#94 of 129 in AL

Livability — Clanton

Score
61/100
State rank
#259
US rank
#18072

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clanton, AL
County
Chilton County · 15,324 people
City population
15,324
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
15,324
Household income
$65,907
Rent vs Own
28.3% rent · 71.7% own
Severe rent burden
326.0

Population outlook (Chilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,064 people
By 2030
43,694 · -0.8%
By 2040
42,168 · -4.3%
By 2050
39,667 · -10.0%
By 2075
31,397 · -28.7%
By 2100
21,319 · -51.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chilton

2024 margin
Solid R (+72.1) · D 13.7% · R 85.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.3pp toward R · 2008: -57.8pp · 2024: -72.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+72.1 2020: R+67.4 2016: R+66.6 2012: R+60.3 2008: R+57.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.21%
Current HPI
187.6339
Rent YoY
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $181,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $263,000 Public Records
  • 2024-12-13 Sold (MLS) $263,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-11-08 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-09-09 Price Changed $250,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-07-24 Price Changed $255,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-07-11 Price Changed $260,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-07-08 Listed $270,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
  • 2022-04-01 Sold (MLS) $180,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-03-01 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-11-07 Listed $199,900 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $601 · -13.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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