813 Jefferson Ave · Evansville, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 2 bed, 1 bath home is loaded with charm and character and could be a wonderful starter home with additional updates. The home features a covered front porch and full unfinished basement. Entering the home, you're greeted by the spacious living room with an abundance of natural light, leading into the large formal dining area. The kitchen features a generous amount of cabinetry and an extension to the laundry area and pantry storage. There are two spacious bedrooms with access to the full hall bath. The full unfinished basement offers plenty of space and headroom, perfect for extra storage or a flex room. The shaded backyard includes a storage shed. Home is currently tenant occupied, n
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Laundry area
- Pantry storage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Shared driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence (site-built); One story
- Construction: Aluminum siding and brick exterior; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Partial chain link fencing; Shed on the property; Landscaped, level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator included
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Living room fireplace; Basement is full and unfinished; Five total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Evans School (math 9% / reading 7%, grade F, #945 of 994 statewide, top 95%, 499 students, 85% FRL); North Junior High School (math 44% / reading 57%, grade C, #43 of 330 statewide, top 14%, 929 students, 42% FRL); North High School (math 57% / reading 74%, grade B, #29 of 369 statewide, top 8%, 1,674 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.9%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.23%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $115,700
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 712 E Blackford Ave | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 1,327 (+2%) | 1mo | $22,000 | $17 | 84 |
| 717 E Blackford Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,303 (+0%) | 5mo | $29,250 | $22 | 80 |
| 1101 Ravenswood Dr | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 1,269 (-2%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $122 | 73 |
| 613 Madison Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,176 (-10%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $140 | 64 |
| 1025 Jefferson Ave | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 1,453 (+12%) | 5mo | $113,000 | $78 | 63 |
| 868 Bellemeade Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 1,232 (-5%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $122 | 62 |
| 1108 E Blackford Ave | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 1,176 (-10%) | 3mo | $48,500 | $41 | 62 |
| 1414 Marshall Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,364 (+5%) | 1mo | $122,000 | $89 | 53 |
| 1041 E Chandler Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,412 (+9%) | 6mo | $167,888 | $119 | 52 |
| 1563 Marshall Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,338 (+3%) | 3mo | $83,000 | $62 | 52 |
| 1059 Waggoner Ave | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 1,150 (-12%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $109 | 49 |
| 1045 Bayard Park Dr | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,440 (+11%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $76 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $5,266
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.79×
- Total profit
- $55,095
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47713
- Home prices YoY
- -34.1%
- Rents YoY
- 9.9%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,209 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $852/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $262
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605 Madison Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $1,375 | $1.29 | 20d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 734 Bayard Park Dr Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,425 | $1.43 | 20d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1133 Bayard Park Dr Unit B Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $800 | $0.81 | 20d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 827 Judson St Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,295 | $1.28 | 13d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 17 Washington Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,455 | $1.65 | 20d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 615 SE 3rd St Unit D Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $895 | $0.80 | 20d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 304 S Grand Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 967 | $955 | $0.99 | 20d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 322 SE 1st St Evansville, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 20d | 6 | 1.14mi |
| 315 SE 1st St Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1331 | $1,695 | $1.27 | 20d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 202 SE 1st St Evansville, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 926 | $2,449 | $2.64 | 20d | 4 | 1.23mi |
| 100 SE 1st St Evansville, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 715 | $1,725 | $2.41 | 13d | 17 | 1.29mi |
| 1303 E Indiana St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,195 | $1.23 | 13d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1321 E Indiana St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $1,050 | $1.09 | 13d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 41 W Division St Apt 200 Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1083 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 20d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 706 Court St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $850 | $0.77 | 20d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 313 NW Martin Luther King Junior Blvd Unit 311 Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $950 | $0.79 | 20d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1952 Colts Ln Evansville, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,035 | $0.90 | 20d | 8 | 1.45mi |
| 200 N Main St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 857 | $1,599 | $1.86 | 13d | 7 | 1.48mi |
| 2340 Sunburst Blvd Unit 2200-202 Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 973 | $1,050 | $1.08 | 20d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $109,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $109,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $109,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $109,900
-
2026-04-23$114,900 Active
-
2025-10-22price $99,900
-
2025-10-07price $104,900
-
2025-09-25price $108,000
-
2025-09-12$109,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $852 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $893 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- +$41/yr (+$3/mo · 4.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,513
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$852
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,161
- − Management
- −$1,161
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $1,436
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$345
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,803/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803450
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,270
- Composite
- 33.41/100
- National rank
- #5471
- State rank
- #153 of 301 in IN
Livability — Evansville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #15047
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Evansville, IN
- County
- Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
- City population
- 146,793
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,988
- Household income
- $40,873
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 735.0
Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,038 people
- By 2030
- 188,907 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 190,272 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 188,871 · +1.0%
- By 2075
- 180,751 · -3.4%
- By 2100
- 163,015 · -12.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 39% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Pacific Islander 1% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.22%
- Current HPI
- 229.9312
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.87%
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+0.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $109,900 IRMLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $114,900 IRMLS
- 2025-10-22 Price Changed $99,900 IRMLS
- 2025-10-07 Price Changed $104,900 IRMLS
- 2025-09-25 Price Changed $108,000 IRMLS
- 2025-09-12 Listed $109,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2024): $852 · -11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…