7322 Logging Trail Dr · Atascocita, TX 77346

$249,990

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,858 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 198 Days on market

Built 1983 6,538 sqft lot $135/sqft · at area comps Est $246k · at est. $36/mo HOA · 2% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +9.6/30.0
• ARV discount +6.7/15.0
• Appreciation +4.5/10.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• 1% rule +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• DSCR +2.7/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

**Just added BRAND NEW Double Pane Windows, Landscaping**Welcome to this lovely 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home situated in a prime location in Atascocita. Completely remodeled with a BRAND NEW Roof, kitchen, bathrooms flooring, fixtures, and paint. Featuring a spacious backyard, this property offers ample space for outdoor activities, gardening, or relaxation. Conveniently located just minutes from shopping, dining, and only 15 minutes from George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH), this home combines comfort and convenience. For families, this home is within walking distance to top-rated schools: Timbers Elementary, Atascocita Middle, and Atascocita High School. Enjoy easy access to neighborhood amenities, including a community pool, park, and pavilion, perfect for outdoor fun and relaxation.

Key facts

• Spacious backyard
• Completely remodeled
• 6,538 sq ft lot

Tags

• COMPLETELY REMODELED
• SPACIOUS BACKYARD
• WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-167 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $220k (11.8% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (13.9% below list).
• Recommended offer: $215k (13.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.0% in Atascocita — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#346 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Humble ISD (urban): math 38% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #262 of 826 in TX (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 681 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $69k; list at $250k implies a 263% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $215,184 (13.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.86% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.49%
• Cash-on-cash: -2.87%
• DSCR: 0.87
• GRM: 9.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $245,853
• List price: $249,990
• Delta: 1.68%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
7322 Logging Trail Dr	0.00mi	4/2.0	1,858 (0%)	1mo	$249,990	$135	99
18718 Jodywood Dr	0.20mi	4/2.0	1,728 (-7%)	0mo	$225,000	$130	79
18811 Sandia Pines Dr	0.14mi	3/2.0 (-1)	2,004 (+8%)	3mo	$265,000	$132	73
18623 Polo Meadow Dr	0.38mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,822 (-2%)	3mo	$265,000	$145	71
7006 Garnet Hill Ln	0.42mi	4/2.0	1,978 (+6%)	3mo	$272,000	$138	67
18807 Sandia Pines Dr	0.13mi	3/2.0 (-1)	2,109 (+14%)	2mo	$237,000	$112	65
18823 Long Trace Dr	0.23mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,644 (-12%)	2mo	$249,100	$152	63
18907 Jodywood Dr	0.26mi	3/2.5 (-1)	2,055 (+11%)	1mo	$265,000	$129	63
18927 Sandia Pines Dr	0.28mi	4/3.0	2,081 (+12%)	2mo	$209,000	$100	61
19014 Pine Trace Ct	0.34mi	3/2.5 (-1)	2,065 (+11%)	4mo	$237,000	$115	56
7115 Rose Village Dr	0.75mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,900 (+2%)	2mo	$255,000	$134	55
7403 Misty Morning Dr	0.39mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,628 (-12%)	3mo	$199,900	$123	54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.95% appreciation · 0.09% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -11.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.50×
• Total profit: $-34,970
• Equity at exit: $60,895

10-year hold

• IRR: -7.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.34×
• Total profit: $-46,503
• Equity at exit: $64,414

Cash invested: $69,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77346

• Home prices YoY: -0.4%
• Rents YoY: 0.1%
• Active inventory: 681
• Price-to-rent: 9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,152 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,311
• Tax from tax record: −$416 /mo · $4,994/yr
• Insurance: −$104
• HOA: −$36
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$452
• Net cashflow: $-167

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,364

Max offer price $220,422

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-26	-5% $-97	+0% $-167	+5% $-238	+10% $-309
Rent	-10% $-337	-5% $-252	+0% $-167	+5% $-82	+10% $3
Rate	-1.0pp $-41	-0.5pp $-104	base $-167	+0.5pp $-232	+1.0pp $-298

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $62,498
• Closing costs: $7,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 21 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
7515 Echo Pines Dr Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1655	$1,850	$1.12	44d	1	0.12mi
7002 Echo Pines Dr Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1738	$1,869	$1.08	16d	1	0.34mi
7403 Misty Morning Dr Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1628	$1,900	$1.17	18d	1	0.37mi
7131 Maple Walk Dr Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1808	$1,895	$1.05	6d	1	0.40mi
7315 Wisteria Chase Pl Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1232	$1,232	$1.00	21d	1	0.47mi
18810 Woodbreeze Dr Humble, TX	4.0	2.5	2200	$2,279	$1.04	25d	1	0.58mi
18718 Walden Forest Dr Humble, TX	4.0	2.0	2224	$2,600	$1.17	3d	1	0.60mi
14100 Will Clayton Pkwy Humble, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1040	$1,910	$1.84	14d	1	0.85mi
14100 Will Clayton Pkwy Unit 14133 Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1393	$1,910	$1.37	44d	1	0.87mi
14100 Will Clayton Pkwy Unit 3165 Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1393	$1,859	$1.33	0d	1	0.87mi
14100 Will Clayton Pkwy Unit 3174 Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1393	$1,910	$1.37	11d	1	0.87mi
18835 Atasca Oaks Dr Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1432	$1,829	$1.28	6d	1	0.94mi
6227 Spruce Bough Ct Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1432	$1,800	$1.26	44d	1	1.11mi
19119 Sprintwood Ct Humble, TX	4.0	2.5	2487	$2,425	$0.98	23d	1	1.13mi
17401 W Lake Houston Pkwy Humble, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1085	$2,139	$1.97	0d	42	1.13mi
17260 W Lake Houston Pkwy Atascocita, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.5	1065	$2,470	$2.32	0d	12	1.19mi
18103 Yellowstone Trl Humble, TX	4.0	2.5	2602	$2,371	$0.91	44d	1	1.21mi
17923 Diamond Peak Ct Humble, TX	4.0	2.0	2171	$2,306	$1.06	0d	1	1.23mi
13513 Northline Lake Dr Houston, TX	3.0	3.0	2034	$2,800	$1.38	44d	1	1.24mi
16848 W Lake Houston Pkwy Humble, TX	3.0	1.0–2.5	1128	$2,563	$2.27	0d	27	1.39mi
6519 Kings Glen Dr Humble, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.5	1255	$2,813	$2.24	0d	14	1.47mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $36 · $432/yr
• Likely covers: landscapingpool

Listing history 10 events

1. 2026-01-28
   price $249,990 804-char remark

   Show marketing remark (804 chars)

   **Just added BRAND NEW Double Pane Windows, Landscaping**Welcome to this lovely 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home situated in a prime location in Atascocita. Completely remodeled with a BRAND NEW Roof, kitchen, bathrooms flooring, fixtures, and paint. Featuring a spacious backyard, this property offers ample space for outdoor activities, gardening, or relaxation. Conveniently located just minutes from shopping, dining, and only 15 minutes from George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH), this home combines comfort and convenience. For families, this home is within walking distance to top-rated schools: Timbers Elementary, Atascocita Middle, and Atascocita High School. Enjoy easy access to neighborhood amenities, including a community pool, park, and pavilion, perfect for outdoor fun and relaxation.

2. 2025-12-31
   price $257,500 804-char remark

   Show marketing remark (804 chars)

   **Just added BRAND NEW Double Pane Windows, Landscaping**Welcome to this lovely 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home situated in a prime location in Atascocita. Completely remodeled with a BRAND NEW Roof, kitchen, bathrooms flooring, fixtures, and paint. Featuring a spacious backyard, this property offers ample space for outdoor activities, gardening, or relaxation. Conveniently located just minutes from shopping, dining, and only 15 minutes from George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH), this home combines comfort and convenience. For families, this home is within walking distance to top-rated schools: Timbers Elementary, Atascocita Middle, and Atascocita High School. Enjoy easy access to neighborhood amenities, including a community pool, park, and pavilion, perfect for outdoor fun and relaxation.

3. 2025-12-17
   price $259,000 804-char remark

   Show marketing remark (804 chars)

   **Just added BRAND NEW Double Pane Windows, Landscaping**Welcome to this lovely 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home situated in a prime location in Atascocita. Completely remodeled with a BRAND NEW Roof, kitchen, bathrooms flooring, fixtures, and paint. Featuring a spacious backyard, this property offers ample space for outdoor activities, gardening, or relaxation. Conveniently located just minutes from shopping, dining, and only 15 minutes from George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH), this home combines comfort and convenience. For families, this home is within walking distance to top-rated schools: Timbers Elementary, Atascocita Middle, and Atascocita High School. Enjoy easy access to neighborhood amenities, including a community pool, park, and pavilion, perfect for outdoor fun and relaxation.

4. 2025-11-21
   status Active 804-char remark

   Show marketing remark (804 chars)

   **Just added BRAND NEW Double Pane Windows, Landscaping**Welcome to this lovely 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home situated in a prime location in Atascocita. Completely remodeled with a BRAND NEW Roof, kitchen, bathrooms flooring, fixtures, and paint. Featuring a spacious backyard, this property offers ample space for outdoor activities, gardening, or relaxation. Conveniently located just minutes from shopping, dining, and only 15 minutes from George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH), this home combines comfort and convenience. For families, this home is within walking distance to top-rated schools: Timbers Elementary, Atascocita Middle, and Atascocita High School. Enjoy easy access to neighborhood amenities, including a community pool, park, and pavilion, perfect for outdoor fun and relaxation.

5. 2025-08-27
   historical 804-char remark

   Show marketing remark (804 chars)

   **Just added BRAND NEW Double Pane Windows, Landscaping**Welcome to this lovely 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home situated in a prime location in Atascocita. Completely remodeled with a BRAND NEW Roof, kitchen, bathrooms flooring, fixtures, and paint. Featuring a spacious backyard, this property offers ample space for outdoor activities, gardening, or relaxation. Conveniently located just minutes from shopping, dining, and only 15 minutes from George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH), this home combines comfort and convenience. For families, this home is within walking distance to top-rated schools: Timbers Elementary, Atascocita Middle, and Atascocita High School. Enjoy easy access to neighborhood amenities, including a community pool, park, and pavilion, perfect for outdoor fun and relaxation.

6. 2025-08-18
   listed $249,000 Active 804-char remark

   Show marketing remark (804 chars)

   **Just added BRAND NEW Double Pane Windows, Landscaping**Welcome to this lovely 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home situated in a prime location in Atascocita. Completely remodeled with a BRAND NEW Roof, kitchen, bathrooms flooring, fixtures, and paint. Featuring a spacious backyard, this property offers ample space for outdoor activities, gardening, or relaxation. Conveniently located just minutes from shopping, dining, and only 15 minutes from George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH), this home combines comfort and convenience. For families, this home is within walking distance to top-rated schools: Timbers Elementary, Atascocita Middle, and Atascocita High School. Enjoy easy access to neighborhood amenities, including a community pool, park, and pavilion, perfect for outdoor fun and relaxation.

7. 2024-03-06
   soldstatus
8. 2024-02-28
   soldstatus
9. 1991-06-25
   soldstatus
10. 1989-08-01
    soldstatus $68,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $4,994 · $416/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,994 · $416/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,822
• − Mortgage interest: −$14,003
• − Property taxes: −$4,994
• − Insurance: −$1,250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,066
• − Management: −$2,066
• − HOA: −$432
• − Depreciation: −$7,272
• Taxable loss: −$6,261
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,503
• After-tax cash flow: $-506/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Humble ISD
• NCES district ID: 4823910
• Math proficiency: 38% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 44% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $83,946
• Composite: 38.55/100
• National rank: #4171
• State rank: #262 of 826 in TX

Livability — Atascocita

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #346
• US rank: #7586

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Atascocita, TX
• County: Harris County · 4,702,590 people
• City population: 79,538
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 79,538
• Household income: $122,241
• Rent vs Own: 18.3% rent · 81.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1072.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 5,571,493 people
• By 2030: 6,089,821 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 7,142,806 · +28.2%
• By 2050: 8,185,864 · +46.9%
• By 2075: 10,574,329 · +89.8%
• By 2100: 12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
• Race & ethnicity: White 42% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 21% Two or more races 18% Asian 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 20% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 78% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -0.95%
• Current HPI: 218.0478
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.09%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+262.8% since first listed

10 events — show timeline

• 2026-01-28 Price Changed $249,990 HARMLS
• 2025-12-31 Price Changed $257,500 HARMLS
• 2025-12-17 Price Changed $259,000 HARMLS
• 2025-11-21 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2025-08-27 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2025-08-18 Listed $249,000 HARMLS
• 2024-03-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2024-02-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1991-06-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1989-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $68,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,994 · +10.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.