🏷️ Likely Rental
123 N Rush St #16 · Prescott, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Location, location, location! Wonderful split floorplan, 2 bed 2 bath in over 55 community. Brand new laminate flooring and carpet. Open floorplan with dining room built-ins. Handicap ramp at backdoor lets you easily bring in groceries from the carport. Plenty of outside space with this unit, front porch for coffee, lattice privacy area at carport side, and full rear garden area. Home includes storage shed. Don't miss this one! Sale is mobil only, does not include land. Space rent is $600 per month.
Key facts
- Split floorplan
- Front porch
- Storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $525 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 2.4% in Prescott — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, amenities A, schools A-; Watch: cost of living D, commute F.
- Prescott Unified District (4466) (urban): math 34% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #70 of 249 in AZ (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 486 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.53%
- DSCR
- 2.00
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $375,088
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- -73.37%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 123 N Rush St #13 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (0%) | 3mo | $70,000 | $83 | 94 |
| 130 N Rush St #5 | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (0%) | 5mo | $97,500 | $116 | 89 |
| 123 N Rush St #20 | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (0%) | 7mo | $100,000 | $119 | 88 |
| 214 N Washington Ave | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (0%) | 11mo | $530,000 | $631 | 76 |
| 130 N Rush St #8 | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 780 (-7%) | 11mo | $86,500 | $111 | 71 |
| 242 S Virginia St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 821 (-2%) | 4mo | $389,000 | $474 | 66 |
| 214 E Goodwin St | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 915 (+9%) | 4mo | $600,000 | $656 | 53 |
| 203 S Penn Ave | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 897 (+7%) | 23mo | $475,000 | $530 | 51 |
| 216 E Goodwin St | 0.61mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 780 (-7%) | 6mo | $500,000 | $641 | 46 |
| 327 S Pleasant St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (+7%) | 19mo | $370,000 | $411 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.21% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $13,083
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.37×
- Total profit
- $38,252
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 86301
- Home prices YoY
- -21.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 486
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,539 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$323
- Net cashflow
- $525
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1206 Stetson Rd Unit 202 Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 791 | $1,195 | $1.51 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 135 S Arizona Ave Unit 1/2 Prescott, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,600 | $2.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 606 E Willis St Prescott, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 604 | $1,225 | $2.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1004 E Goodwin St Unit 1 Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,445 | $1.74 | 13d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 202 Robinson Dr #1 Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,375 | $1.70 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 109 N Pleasant St Unit C Prescott, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,395 | $1.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1305 Moore Pl Apt A2 Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $1,575 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1305 Moore Pl Unit B3 Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $1,345 | $1.34 | 13d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 314 S Virginia St #2 Prescott, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 314 S Virginia St Unit 1 Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,275 | $1.59 | 21d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 304 E Goodwin St Unit 1257809P Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 893 | $4,182 | $4.68 | 13d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 347 S Mount Vernon Ave Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $2,450 | $2.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 315 E Carleton St Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $1,500 | $1.72 | 13d | 6 | 0.64mi |
| 123 N Cortez St Unit 223 Prescott, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,295 | $1.99 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 129 N Cortez St Unit 223 Prescott, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,295 | $1.99 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 403 S Pleasant St Prescott, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,475 | $1.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 415 S Alarcon St Unit C Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 13d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 315 S Cortez St Unit B Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $2,500 | $2.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 422 S Marina St Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,600 | $1.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 411 S Cortez St Prescott, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 754 | $1,650 | $2.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 248 Vallejo St Apt B Prescott, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,795 | $1.79 | 13d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 408 Madison Ave #4 Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,200 | $1.76 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 141 Whipple Ext Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $1,400 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 570 1st St Apt C Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 705 | $1,050 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 131 Whipple Extention Unit B Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $1,400 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 131 Whipple Ext Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $1,500 | $1.73 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 410 Madison Ave Unit 3 Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,200 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 603 Campbell St Apt 01 Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,000 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 601 Campbell St Apt 3 Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,000 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 628 1st St Apt 2C Prescott, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,100 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 538 Lincoln Ave Unit 2A'VACATION Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,850 | $2.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 538 Lincoln Ave Unit 1A'VACATION Prescott, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 538 Lincoln Ave Unit 2C'VACATION Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,750 | $2.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 312 Bridge St Unit 4 Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,395 | $1.59 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 301 W Merritt St Unit 303-A Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,250 | $1.92 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 635 Dameron Dr Apt 1 Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 13d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 610 S Granite St Prescott, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 546 | $1,100 | $2.01 | 13d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 717 S Granite St #4 Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 910 | $1,800 | $1.98 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 740 S Montezuma St Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 878 | $1,500 | $1.71 | 13d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 378 Park Ave Prescott, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 838 | $2,300 | $2.74 | 21d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-04-15$99,900 Active 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Location, location, location! Wonderful split floorplan, 2 bed 2 bath in over 55 community. Brand new laminate flooring and carpet. Open floorplan with dining room built-ins. Handicap ramp at backdoor lets you easily bring in groceries from the carport. Plenty of outside space with this unit, front porch for coffee, lattice privacy area at carport side, and full rear garden area. Home includes storage shed. Don't miss this one! Sale is mobil only, does not include land. Space rent is $600 per month.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 5 d/yr ≥89°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,465
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,498
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,477
- − Management
- −$1,477
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $5,010
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,202
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,100/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This mobile home is in good condition with recent updates and improvements. It is move-in ready with a good curb appeal and potential for further enhancements.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace outdoor light fixtures — Improves curb appeal and safety
- Both Install new outdoor lighting — Enhances curb appeal and safety
- Both Replace outdoor carpet with a more durable material — Improves durability and appearance
- Both Install new outdoor furniture — Enhances curb appeal and functionality
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace outdoor light fixtures — Improves curb appeal and safety ↑
- Both Install new outdoor lighting — Enhances curb appeal and safety ↑
- Both Replace outdoor carpet with a more durable material — Improves durability and appearance ↑
- Both Install new outdoor furniture — Enhances curb appeal and functionality ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Prescott Unified District (4466)
- NCES district ID
- 0406730
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,354
- Composite
- 33.47/100
- National rank
- #5450
- State rank
- #70 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Prescott
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #5579
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Prescott, AZ
- County
- Yavapai County · 190,406 people
- City population
- 66,312
- Metro
- Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,076
- Household income
- $72,652
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1225.0
Population outlook (Yavapai County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 241,389 people
- By 2030
- 249,523 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 259,966 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 264,736 · +9.7%
- By 2075
- 269,334 · +11.6%
- By 2100
- 256,505 · +6.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yavapai
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.6% · R 66.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -33.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.9 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+30.7 2008: R+24.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.55%
- Current HPI
- 350.7591
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.21%
- Metro
- Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Listed $99,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…