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165 NE 203rd Ter Unit C20 🌊 Lakefront
B Composite 70.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

165 NE 203rd Ter Unit C20 · Miami Gardens, FL 33179
1 bd · 1.5 ba · 752 sqft · Condo · 49 Days on market
Built 1970 Fair condition $350/mo HOA · 17% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

BEAUTIFUL AND BRIGHT 1 BEDROOM / 1 BATH, WITH LAKE VIEWS LOCATED ON THE SECOND FLOOR. CERAMIC FLOORS THROUGHOUT THE APARTMENT FLOORS IN THE BEDROOM. CERAMIC FLOORS ON THE PATIO AND NEW CURTAINS ON THE WINDOWS. THE BEDROOM HAS TWO BIG CLOSETS. LOTS OF SPACE. THE COMMUNITY HAS A POOL, BBQ AREA, EXERCISE ROOM, SAUNA, CLUBHOUSE, POOL TABLES. LOCATION IS PERFECT AND NEAR PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION, SHOPPING, AVENTURA MALL. ATTENTION: HOPA> 55+ OLDER COMMUNITY. AT LEAST ONE PERSON HAS TO BE 55+ OLDER. UNIT IS CURRENTLY RENTED

Key facts

  • Lake views
  • Community pool
  • Exercise room

Tags

LAKE VIEWSCERAMIC FLOORSBIG CLOSETSCOMMUNITY POOLBBQ AREAEXERCISE ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets allowed with restrictions
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $350; Association covers amenities, cable TV, electricity, hot water, insurance, internet, grounds maintenance, parking, pool(s), sewer, trash and water; Community includes a sauna; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 1 covered space
  • Home design: 2-story property; Entry on the second level; Attached property; Has a view
  • Construction: Block construction; Resale property
  • Exterior features: Awnings; Canal-front waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom located on the main level
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Bedroom on main level; Second floor entry; Ceramic tile flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $100k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $112 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 3.1% in Miami Gardens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#338 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 572 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 5→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $97,000 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  6. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  10. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  11. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  12. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  13. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  14. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.00%
Cap rate
12.76%
Cash-on-cash
23.10%
DSCR
2.03
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.7%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-13,981
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
-20.3%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-22,023
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33179

Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
572
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,000 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
Insurance
$42
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$350
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$420
Net cashflow
$112

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,858
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5525 SW 41st St Hollywood, FL 2.0 2.0 1031 $2,145 $2.08 3d 1 0.83mi
5100 SW 41st St Pembroke Park, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 815 $1,699 $2.08 19d 3 0.89mi
5100 SW 41st St Pembroke Park, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 815 $1,650 $2.02 3d 4 0.89mi
5540 SW 38th Ct West Park, FL 2.0 1.0 768 $2,000 $2.60 11d 1 0.91mi
5460 SW 38th Ct West Park, FL 2.0 1.0 890 $2,350 $2.64 24d 1 0.92mi
5440 SW 38th Ct West Park, FL 2.0 1.0 768 $1,900 $2.47 7d 1 0.92mi
5440 SW 38th Ct West Park, FL 2.0 1.0 768 $1,900 $2.47 24d 1 0.92mi
5710 SW 38th St West Park, FL 2.0 1.0 835 $2,400 $2.87 24d 1 0.92mi
5510 SW 38th St West Park, FL 2.0 1.0 855 $2,250 $2.63 2d 1 0.96mi
5510 SW 38th St Unit 5510 West Park, FL 2.0 1.0 822 $2,250 $2.74 4d 1 0.96mi
5510 SW 38th St Unit 5510 West Park, FL 2.0 1.0 822 $2,250 $2.74 3d 1 0.96mi
3721 SW 54th Ave West Park, FL 2.0 1.0 768 $2,100 $2.73 12d 1 1.02mi
3700 SW 52nd Ave Hollywood, FL 2.0 2.0 850 $1,446 $1.70 24d 1 1.04mi
3842 SW 48th Ave Hollywood, FL 2.0 2.0 966 $2,000 $2.07 24d 1 1.05mi
3856 SW 48th Ave #3856 Pembroke Park, FL 2.0 2.0 950 $2,150 $2.26 16d 1 1.06mi
3838 SW 48th Ave Unit 3838 Pembroke Park, FL 2.0 2.0 966 $2,200 $2.28 24d 1 1.06mi
3828 SW 48th Ave Unit D27 Hollywood, FL 2.0 2.0 950 $2,300 $2.42 24d 1 1.08mi
3874 SW 48th Ave #3874 Pembroke Park, FL 2.0 2.0 950 $2,150 $2.26 7d 1 1.08mi
3826 SW 48th Ave Unit 3826 Pembroke Park, FL 2.0 2.0 950 $2,200 $2.32 15d 1 1.10mi
3826 SW 48th Ave Unit 3826 Pembroke Park, FL 2.0 2.0 950 $2,200 $2.32 5d 1 1.10mi
6112 SW 37th St Unit B Miramar, FL 2.0 1.0 850 $1,800 $2.12 22d 1 1.11mi
5521 SW 34th St Unit 2 Pembroke Park, FL 2.0 1.0 692 $1,750 $2.53 24d 1 1.29mi
6033 SW 35th St Unit 101 Miramar, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,995 $2.00 24d 1 1.32mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$350 · $4,200/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 44 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $100,000 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-05-12
    price $100,000
  15. 2026-04-30
    listed $120,000 Active
  16. 2025-12-31
    historical
  17. 2025-07-16
    listed $130,000 Active
  18. 2024-12-31
    historical
  19. 2024-08-06
    listed $140,000 Active
  20. 2024-06-14
    historical
  21. 2024-05-28
    price $125,000
  22. 2024-04-26
    price $140,000
  23. 2023-11-15
    listed $145,000 Active
  24. 2021-12-01
    historical
  25. 2021-02-12
    listed $90,000 Active
  26. 2021-02-11
    historical
  27. 2020-06-18
    listed $90,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 5 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,000
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,500
− Insurance
−$5,618
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,920
− Management
−$1,920
− HOA
−$4,200
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$331
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$79
After-tax cash flow
$1,269/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This 1-bedroom/1.5-bath condo requires moderate repairs and maintenance, with potential for significant value increase through painting, landscaping, and kitchen/bathroom updates.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
  • Minor bathroom fixtures — slight wear
  • Moderate exterior paint — some fading
  • Minor landscaping — some overgrown areas

Value-add opportunities

  • Both painting — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both kitchen and bathroom updates — modernizes spaces and improves functionality

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
bathroom fixtures · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
exterior paint · some fading Moderate $3,000–15,000
landscaping · some overgrown areas Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $4,500–24,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both painting — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both kitchen and bathroom updates — modernizes spaces and improves functionality

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miami-Dade
NCES district ID
1200390
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,928
Composite
41.76/100
National rank
#3397
State rank
#40 of 73 in FL

Livability — Miami Gardens

Score
72/100
State rank
#338
US rank
#5854

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime D- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Miami Gardens, FL
County
Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
51,591
Household income
$65,211
Rent vs Own
43.3% rent · 56.7% own
Severe rent burden
3123.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,126,439 people
By 2030
3,325,765 · +6.4%
By 2040
3,697,561 · +18.3%
By 2050
4,012,134 · +28.3%
By 2075
4,605,612 · +47.3%
By 2100
4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 23% White 19% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 6% Dominican 3% Salvadoran 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 13% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
48% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
42% English-only · Spanish 37% French/Haitian/Cajun 13% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -608.34%
Current HPI
328.1733
Rent YoY
▲ 0.22%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.1% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $100,000 MARMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $120,000 MARMLS
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2025-07-16 Listed $130,000 MARMLS
  • 2024-12-31 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2024-08-06 Listed $140,000 MARMLS
  • 2024-06-14 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2024-05-28 Price Changed $125,000 MARMLS
  • 2024-04-26 Price Changed $140,000 MARMLS
  • 2023-11-15 Listed $145,000 MARMLS
  • 2021-12-01 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2021-02-12 Listed $90,000 MARMLS
  • 2021-02-11 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2020-06-18 Listed $90,000 MARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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