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409 Fost Blvd
D Composite 41.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.7/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$329,000

409 Fost Blvd · Moyock, NC 27958
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,574 sqft · Townhouse public records · 34 Days on market
Built 2023 Excellent condition Est $316k · at est. $165/mo HOA · 6% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this stunning like-new, 3-story townhome in the desirable Fost community of Moyock! Built in 2023 and meticulously maintained, this home offers the perfect blend of modern design, functionality, and low-maintenance living. The ground level features a half-bathroom, French doors in a flex space ideal for a home office, guest room, or optional 4th bedroom, plus Mud Room access to the attached rear-entry garage. On the main level, a spacious living area flows seamlessly into a modern kitchen featuring large island, abundant cabinet space, pantry, & matching SS appliances. The top floor hosts 3 bedrooms, including a spacious primary suite complete with tray ceilings, a generous walk-in closet, & an upgraded en-suite bath w/ tiled glass-door shower. A convenient upstairs laundry area adds to the home?s thoughtful layout. Additional highlights include: Attached garage with EV Charger, Close proximity to community playground & To Be Built Community pool. Located in a growing community with easy access to the VA line, this home won't last long!

Key facts

  • $165 HOA
  • Garage
  • Built 2023

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association managed by GOODMAN MANAGEMENT GROUP; Monthly association fee of $165; Ground maintenance and playgrounds maintained by association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car garage; Off-street parking; Driveway parking spaces
  • Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater; Electric vehicle charging available
  • Home design: Attached townhouse; Three stories; Three living levels; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Stone and vinyl exterior; Asphalt shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Stone and vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Ground maintenance; Playground access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Pantry; Microwave; Gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: One bedroom with ensuite; Master bedroom with bath; Office/Study (can serve as bedroom/bonus space)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Cable hookup; Ceiling fan(s); Electric vehicle charging station; Garage door opener; Double sink in primary bath; Scuttle access; Walk-in closet(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $329k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-69 ($-829/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $317k (3.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $278k (15.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $278k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.6% in Moyock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#313 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Currituck County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #67 of 178 in NC (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Shawboro Elementary School (math 54% / reading 53%, grade C, #335 of 1,410 statewide, top 24%, 606 students, 30% FRL); Currituck County High (math 52% / reading 64%, grade C, #243 of 535 statewide, top 46%, 1,057 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools at 30% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 292 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 429 units permitted in Currituck County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Currituck County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($319k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 96% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $278,332 (15.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.28%
Cash-on-cash
-0.03%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$316,374
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
205 Fost Blvd 0.09mi 3/2.5 1,658 (+5%) 6mo $330,000 $199 82
209 Fost Blvd 0.08mi 3/3.0 1,642 (+4%) 12mo $330,000 $201 77
209 Fost Blvd 0.08mi 3/3.0 1,642 (+4%) 12mo $330,000 $201 77
315 Fost Blvd 0.03mi 3/3.0 1,577 (+0%) 24mo $329,990 $209 76
108 Fost Blvd 0.13mi 3/2.5 1,782 (+13%) 1mo $340,000 $191 71

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.8%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-57,675
Equity at exit
$49,055
10-year hold
IRR
-9.9%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-55,733
Equity at exit
$28,446

Cash invested: $92,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27958

Home prices YoY
-3.7%
Active inventory
292
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,783 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,725
Tax from tax record
$174 /mo · $2,089/yr
Insurance
$137
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$165
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$584
Net cashflow
$-69

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,871
Max offer price $316,793
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,250
Closing costs
$9,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
201 Oconner St Moyock, NC 3.0 2.5 1785 $2,750 $1.54 23d 1 0.12mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$165 · $1,980/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $329,000 Under Contract 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $329,000 Active Under Contract 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $329,000 Active Under Contract 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $329,000 Active Under Contract 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $329,000 Active Under Contract 27 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $329,000 Active Under Contract 26 DOM
  7. 2026-05-20
    historical Active Under Contract 1079-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1079 chars)

    Welcome to this stunning like-new, 3-story townhome in the desirable Fost community of Moyock! Built in 2023 and meticulously maintained, this home offers the perfect blend of modern design, functionality, and low-maintenance living. The ground level features a half-bathroom, French doors in a flex space ideal for a home office, guest room, or optional 4th bedroom, plus Mud Room access to the attached rear-entry garage. On the main level, a spacious living area flows seamlessly into a modern kitchen featuring large island, abundant cabinet space, pantry, & matching SS appliances. The top floor hosts 3 bedrooms, including a spacious primary suite complete with tray ceilings, a generous walk-in closet, & an upgraded en-suite bath w/ tiled glass-door shower. A convenient upstairs laundry area adds to the home?s thoughtful layout. Additional highlights include: Attached garage with EV Charger, Close proximity to community playground & To Be Built Community pool. Located in a growing community with easy access to the VA line, this home won't last long!

  8. 2026-05-20
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (1079 chars)

    Welcome to this stunning like-new, 3-story townhome in the desirable Fost community of Moyock! Built in 2023 and meticulously maintained, this home offers the perfect blend of modern design, functionality, and low-maintenance living. The ground level features a half-bathroom, French doors in a flex space ideal for a home office, guest room, or optional 4th bedroom, plus Mud Room access to the attached rear-entry garage. On the main level, a spacious living area flows seamlessly into a modern kitchen featuring large island, abundant cabinet space, pantry, & matching SS appliances. The top floor hosts 3 bedrooms, including a spacious primary suite complete with tray ceilings, a generous walk-in closet, & an upgraded en-suite bath w/ tiled glass-door shower. A convenient upstairs laundry area adds to the home?s thoughtful layout. Additional highlights include: Attached garage with EV Charger, Close proximity to community playground & To Be Built Community pool. Located in a growing community with easy access to the VA line, this home won't last long!

  9. 2026-05-06
    listed $329,000 Active 1079-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1079 chars)

    Welcome to this stunning like-new, 3-story townhome in the desirable Fost community of Moyock! Built in 2023 and meticulously maintained, this home offers the perfect blend of modern design, functionality, and low-maintenance living. The ground level features a half-bathroom, French doors in a flex space ideal for a home office, guest room, or optional 4th bedroom, plus Mud Room access to the attached rear-entry garage. On the main level, a spacious living area flows seamlessly into a modern kitchen featuring large island, abundant cabinet space, pantry, & matching SS appliances. The top floor hosts 3 bedrooms, including a spacious primary suite complete with tray ceilings, a generous walk-in closet, & an upgraded en-suite bath w/ tiled glass-door shower. A convenient upstairs laundry area adds to the home?s thoughtful layout. Additional highlights include: Attached garage with EV Charger, Close proximity to community playground & To Be Built Community pool. Located in a growing community with easy access to the VA line, this home won't last long!

  10. 2026-05-06
    listed $329,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (1079 chars)

    Welcome to this stunning like-new, 3-story townhome in the desirable Fost community of Moyock! Built in 2023 and meticulously maintained, this home offers the perfect blend of modern design, functionality, and low-maintenance living. The ground level features a half-bathroom, French doors in a flex space ideal for a home office, guest room, or optional 4th bedroom, plus Mud Room access to the attached rear-entry garage. On the main level, a spacious living area flows seamlessly into a modern kitchen featuring large island, abundant cabinet space, pantry, & matching SS appliances. The top floor hosts 3 bedrooms, including a spacious primary suite complete with tray ceilings, a generous walk-in closet, & an upgraded en-suite bath w/ tiled glass-door shower. A convenient upstairs laundry area adds to the home?s thoughtful layout. Additional highlights include: Attached garage with EV Charger, Close proximity to community playground & To Be Built Community pool. Located in a growing community with easy access to the VA line, this home won't last long!

  11. 2026-05-04
    listed $329,000
  12. 2026-03-27
    price $2,750
  13. 2026-03-06
    listed $2,775
  14. 2026-03-06
    historical $2,775
  15. 2026-03-05
    listed $2,775
  16. 2025-04-01
    historical $2,700
  17. 2025-03-18
    listed $2,700
  18. 2025-02-21
    historical $2,675
  19. 2025-01-28
    listed $2,675
  20. 2025-01-05
    historical $2,795
  21. 2025-01-04
    listed $2,795
  22. 2024-11-22
    historical $2,895
  23. 2024-11-22
    listed $2,895
  24. 2023-02-01
    price $306,805
  25. 2023-01-26
    soldstatus $1,665,000
  26. 2022-11-28
    listed $312,540
  27. 2022-11-28
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,089 · $174/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,698 · $225/mo
Expected delta
+$609/yr (+$51/mo · 29.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 96% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,400
− Mortgage interest
−$18,429
− Property taxes
−$2,089
− Insurance
−$2,442
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,672
− Management
−$2,672
− HOA
−$1,980
− Depreciation
−$9,571
Taxable loss
−$6,456
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,549
After-tax cash flow
$720/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 0 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This 3-story townhome in Moyock, NC, is in excellent condition with modern amenities and low-maintenance living. It offers a great blend of functionality and style, making it an ideal investment property.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Aesthetic improvements can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Add smart home features — Modern technology can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Resale Upgrade kitchen appliances — Upgrading to high-end appliances can significantly boost the home's appeal to buyers.
  • Rental Install smart thermostat — Smart thermostats can reduce energy costs and attract tech-savvy renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Aesthetic improvements can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Add smart home features — Modern technology can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Resale Upgrade kitchen appliances — Upgrading to high-end appliances can significantly boost the home's appeal to buyers.
  • Rental Install smart thermostat — Smart thermostats can reduce energy costs and attract tech-savvy renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Currituck County Schools
NCES district ID
3701080
Math proficiency
45% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$58,898
Composite
41.96/100
National rank
#3348
State rank
#67 of 178 in NC

Livability — Moyock

Score
65/100
State rank
#313
US rank
#12982

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Moyock, NC
County
Currituck County · 14,408 people
City population
14,408
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
Population (ZIP)
14,408
Household income
$112,177
Rent vs Own
8.5% rent · 91.5% own
Severe rent burden
62.0

Population outlook (Currituck County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,690 people
By 2030
30,311 · +5.7%
By 2040
33,220 · +15.8%
By 2050
35,405 · +23.4%
By 2075
40,998 · +42.9%
By 2100
44,117 · +53.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Currituck

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.9) · D 25.6% · R 73.5%
2008→2024 swing
-16.4pp toward R · 2008: -31.5pp · 2024: -47.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.9 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+49.8 2012: R+35.1 2008: R+31.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -10.69%
Current HPI
278.2606
Rent YoY
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+5.3% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Contingent Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-20 Contingent REINMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $329,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $329,000 REINMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $329,000 REINMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $2,750 NCRMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Listed for Rent $2,775 NCRMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Rental Removed $2,775 REINMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Listed for Rent $2,775 REINMLS
  • 2025-04-01 Rental Removed $2,700 REINMLS
  • 2025-03-18 Listed for Rent $2,700 REINMLS
  • 2025-02-21 Rental Removed $2,675 REINMLS
  • 2025-01-28 Listed for Rent $2,675 REINMLS
  • 2025-01-05 Rental Removed $2,795 REINMLS
  • 2025-01-04 Listed for Rent $2,795 REINMLS
  • 2024-11-22 Rental Removed $2,895 REINMLS
  • 2024-11-22 Listed for Rent $2,895 REINMLS
  • 2023-02-01 Price Changed $306,805 REINMLS
  • 2023-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $1,665,000 Public Records
  • 2022-11-28 Listing Removed REINMLS
  • 2022-11-28 Listed $312,540 REINMLS

Property tax history

+81.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,089 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…