2207 2nd Ave · Koppel, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.1/30.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Appreciation +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$126,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 115-year-old home, lovingly maintained by the original family, offers timeless charm in the heart of a small town where neighbors still greet each other by name. While ready for your personal updates, the home has been well cared for throughout the decades. Enjoy peaceful mornings on the front porch, quiet evenings on the back porch, and the convenience of a walk-out basement that adds functional space and potential. A rare opportunity to own a piece of local history with room to make it your own.
Key facts
- Front porch
- Walk-out basement
- Back porch
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water service; Public sewer service
- Home design: 2-story frame dwelling; Asphalt roof; Resale property
- Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air gas heating
- Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring; Full basement with walk-out access
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $126k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $110 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (1.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $124k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#463 in PA, #4,234 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, amenities F.
- Big Beaver Falls Area SD (suburban): math 16% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #467 of 539 in PA (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 272 units permitted in Beaver County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-0.7%/yr); year-one equity from $871 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $921 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Beaver County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($124k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.75%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $94,080
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2412 2nd Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,260 (-6%) | 9mo | $163,900 | $130 | 71 |
| 7477 Big Beaver Blvd | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,523 (+13%) | 2mo | $77,000 | $51 | 60 |
| 3531 3rd Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,364 (+2%) | 23mo | $96,000 | $70 | 60 |
| 7572 Big Beaver Blvd | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,216 (-10%) | 4mo | $34,000 | $28 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.73% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-910
- Equity at exit
- $32,049
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $20,194
- Equity at exit
- $35,066
Cash invested: $35,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16136
- Home prices YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,242 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$661
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$158 /mo · $1,890/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$261
- Net cashflow
- $110
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,500
- Closing costs
- $3,780
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $126,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $126,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $126,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $126,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $126,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $126,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $126,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $126,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $126,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $140,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $140,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $122,000 267-char remark
-
2026-05-12$135,500 Active 267-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,902
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,058
- − Property taxes
- −$1,890
- − Insurance
- −$630
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,192
- − Management
- −$1,192
- − Depreciation
- −$3,665
- Taxable loss
- −$726
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$174
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,497/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This 115-year-old home requires significant exterior repairs and maintenance, including a new roof and siding, to improve its condition and value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Signs of significant wear
- Major exterior siding — Weathered and peeling
- Major fencing — Old and in need of repair
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and exterior painting — Enhances curb appeal and property value
- Both Roof replacement — Critical to the home's structural integrity and safety
- Both Exterior siding repair or replacement — Improves the home's appearance and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · Signs of significant wear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · Weathered and peeling | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| fencing · Old and in need of repair | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $45,000–150,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping and exterior painting — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Roof replacement — Critical to the home's structural integrity and safety ↑
- Both Exterior siding repair or replacement — Improves the home's appearance and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Big Beaver Falls Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4203630
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,686
- Composite
- 21.85/100
- National rank
- #8241
- State rank
- #467 of 539 in PA
Livability — Koppel
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #463
- US rank
- #4234
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Koppel, PA
- City population
- 797
- Population (ZIP)
- 797
Population outlook (Beaver County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,976 people
- By 2030
- 161,449 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 151,752 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 141,155 · -14.4%
- By 2075
- 118,142 · -28.4%
- By 2100
- 91,740 · -44.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Scottish 2% Serbian 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Beaver
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.9pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+6.6 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.73%
- Current HPI
- 182.0225
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+3.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Price Changed $126,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-05-20 Listed $140,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $122,000 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…