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309 2nd Ave
D+ Composite 45.35
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.9/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

309 2nd Ave · Clarence, IA 52216
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 975 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1949 7,841 sqft lot Est $97k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Why rent when you can own? This affordable 2 bedroom/1 bathroom home in Clarence has so much to offer for a great price! Open concept kitchen and living room with potential to convert the formal dining into a third bedroom or an office. One of the bedrooms is currently being used for main floor laundry room but there are laundry hook ups in the basement as well. The one stall detached garage with a carport attached to it with alley access. Take advantage of all of the perks of homeownership at a great price.

Key facts

  • 7,841 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1949

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 1-car garage; Carport; Garage with automatic door opener
  • Utilities: Public water service; Public sewer service
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Frame construction with vinyl siding
  • Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; Lot approximately 0.18 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Window/wall air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $60 ($717/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $87k (13.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (13.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#212 in IA, #3,902 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • North Cedar Community School District (rural): math 61% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #219 of 289 in IA (top 76%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: North Cedar Mechanicsville Elem Ctr (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #462 of 616 statewide, top 79%, 159 students, 51% FRL); North Cedar Jr/Sr High School (math 60% / reading 71%, grade B, #204 of 336 statewide, top 61%, 294 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools average 46% FRL vs 28% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 89 units permitted in Cedar County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cedar County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $100k implies a 235% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $86,999 (13.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
7.01%
Cash-on-cash
2.56%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$96,525
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
307 2nd Ave Ave 0.01mi 2/1.5 944 (-3%) 12mo $93,000 $99 82
312 3rd. Ave 0.06mi 2/1.0 1,044 (+7%) 11mo $62,000 $59 76

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.3%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-12,427
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
-3.2%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-6,029
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 52216

Home prices YoY
-21.9%
Active inventory
9
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$870 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $738/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$183
Net cashflow
$60

Break-even live

Break-even rent $794
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $116 -5% $88 +0% $60 +5% $31 +10% $3
Rent -10% $-9 -5% $25 +0% $60 +5% $94 +10% $128
Rate -1.0pp $110 -0.5pp $85 base $60 +0.5pp $34 +1.0pp $7

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $100,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $100,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    remarks 513-char remark
  4. 2026-06-21
    listed $100,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$738 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,154 · $96/mo
Expected delta
+$416/yr (+$35/mo · 56.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,440
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$738
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$835
− Management
−$835
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable loss
−$979
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$235
After-tax cash flow
$952/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Cedar Community School District
NCES district ID
1917100
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$54,549
Composite
53.17/100
National rank
#1507
State rank
#219 of 289 in IA

Livability — Clarence

Score
75/100
State rank
#212
US rank
#3902

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clarence, IA
Population (ZIP)
1,513

Population outlook (Cedar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,416 people
By 2030
18,294 · -0.7%
By 2040
17,771 · -3.5%
By 2050
16,841 · -8.6%
By 2075
14,503 · -21.2%
By 2100
11,301 · -38.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (99%)
Race & ethnicity
White 99%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cedar

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.4% · R 60.1% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-31.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.6pp · 2024: -21.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.8 2020: R+17.0 2016: R+18.1 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+9.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -52.41%
Current HPI
187.076
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+334.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-19 Listed $100,000 CRAAR, CDRMLS
  • 2017-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $29,875 Public Records
  • 2012-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $738 · -5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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