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4040 Auburn Way Way S #101
A- Composite 81.11
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0

$59,000

4040 Auburn Way Way S #101 · Auburn, WA 98092
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Manufactured · 168 Days on market
Built 1976 ↓ 21% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

BRAND NEW PRICE DROP!!!!!!! Sought-After Auburn Location! This beautifully refreshed mobile home in Wildwood Estates is move-in ready and packed with upgrades. Enjoy brand-new carpeting and fresh interior paint, an updated bathroom with new flooring. The home also features brand-new windows along with new window and door frames, enhancing comfort and energy efficiency throughout. Located in a quiet, all-ages park, this home offers both privacy and convenience—just minutes from Muckleshoot Casino and White River Amphitheater. The spacious lot provides plenty of room for a large shed, planter boxes, or outdoor projects, perfect for gardening or extra storage. A fantastic opportunity

Key facts

  • New flooring
  • Brand-new windows
  • Spacious lot

Tags

UPDATED BATHROOMNEW FLOORINGBRAND-NEW WINDOWSNEW WINDOW AND DOOR FRAMESSPACIOUS LOT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash, Conventional
  • HOA & community: Land lease in park: $950/month; Park approved for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: Uncovered parking; 2 open parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Power provided by PSE
  • Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One level; Good condition; Manufactured after 6/15/1976; Located in Wildwood Estate Mobile Park
  • Construction: Metal/Vinyl construction materials; Flat roof (see remarks); Pillar/post/pier foundation; Make: Kentwood; Structure type: Manufactured house
  • Exterior features: Metal/vinyl exterior; Patio/porch/deck; Common area (park amenity)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stove/Range; Refrigerator; Eating space
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Carpet flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Forced air cooling; Electric energy source
  • Interior features: Kitchen with eating space; Living room; Washer and dryer included; Refrigerator included; Stove/Range included
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Water heater located in water closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 31.5% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#75 in WA, #1,371 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Auburn School District (urban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #125 of 291 in WA (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 296 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 168 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $51,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 168 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.53%
Cap rate
31.48%
Cash-on-cash
89.95%
DSCR
5.00
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
96.2%
Equity multiple
7.35×
Total profit
$104,930
Equity at exit
$53,152
10-year hold
IRR
90.5%
Equity multiple
15.29×
Total profit
$236,106
Equity at exit
$114,624

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98092

Home prices YoY
3.3%
Rents YoY
-0.5%
Active inventory
296
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,084 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax est. 1.5%
$74 /mo · $885/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$438
Net cashflow
$1,238

Break-even live

Break-even rent $516
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 36%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,279 -5% $1,259 +0% $1,238 +5% $1,218 +10% $1,198
Rent -10% $1,074 -5% $1,156 +0% $1,238 +5% $1,321 +10% $1,403
Rate -1.0pp $1,268 -0.5pp $1,253 base $1,238 +0.5pp $1,223 +1.0pp $1,208

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2220 Noble Ct SE Auburn, WA 2.0 1.5–2.0 1200 $2,048 $1.71 0d 2 0.33mi
3320 Auburn Way S Auburn, WA 2.0 1.5 1033 $2,200 $2.13 0d 1 0.54mi
2901 Auburn Way S Auburn, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 667 $2,175 $3.26 0d 20 0.83mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $59,000 Active 168 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,000 Active 165 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,000 Active 164 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,000 Active 163 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,000 Active 162 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,000 Active 160 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,000 Active 159 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,000 Active 156 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,000 Active 155 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,000 Active 154 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $59,000 Active 151 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,000 Active 150 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,000 Active 149 DOM
  14. 2026-04-22
    status Active
  15. 2026-01-13
    price $59,000
  16. 2025-12-20
    price $70,000
  17. 2025-12-20
    listed $75,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥87°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,004
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$885
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,000
− Management
−$2,000
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$14,802
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,553
After-tax cash flow
$11,308/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Auburn School District
NCES district ID
5300300
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$58,048
Composite
46.73/100
National rank
#5240
State rank
#125 of 291 in WA

Livability — Auburn

Score
81/100
State rank
#75
US rank
#1371

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Auburn, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
74,969
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
50,224
Household income
$122,300
Rent vs Own
25.7% rent · 74.3% own
Severe rent burden
1041.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 15% Asian 14% Two or more races 13% Native American 4% Black 3% Pacific Islander 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Italian 3% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 49.75%
Current HPI
1554.06
Rent YoY
▼ -0.46%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-21.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-13 Price Changed $59,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-20 Price Changed $70,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-20 Listed $75,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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