6135 N Joshua Ln · Atlantis, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
OWNER MOTIVATED!! NEGOTIABLE! Price REDUCTION! Fully Updated Home in the West Palm Beach Area – Move-In Ready This beautifully updated home is situated in the sought-after West Palm Beach area, just minutes away from beaches, fine dining, top-notch entertainment, and excellent schools. Located on a leased lot within a gated community, it offers resort-style living with an HOA and Lease fee of $1,270.00 monthly, covering amenities like the pool, clubhouse, lawn care, trash, and more. The home has been fully renovated and comes with modern furnishings—just move in and start enjoying the Florida lifestyle!
Key facts
- Gated community
- Fully renovated
- Modern furnishings
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Furnished; Zoning: AR
- Financial info: Land lease amount $1,270 (monthly); Total annual fees $15,240
- HOA & community: Has HOA — monthly association fee $1,270; Senior community; Pets allowed: cats and dogs
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Single-story; East-facing entry
- Construction: Vinyl siding with frame construction; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Completed condition; Built as double wide
- Exterior features: Awnings; Sidewalks; Landscaped yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floorplan
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry with washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $59k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#390 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 383 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 242 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 52% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 242 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.85%
- DSCR
- 1.84
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $10,500
- Equity at exit
- $8,797
- IRR
- 26.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.73×
- Total profit
- $45,147
- Equity at exit
- $5,101
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33462
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 383
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,452 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$74 /mo · $885/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$1,270
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$515
- Net cashflow
- $259
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6040 Lace Wood Cir Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $2,799 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 6411 Birch Ln Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3883 Island Club Cir W Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1308 | $2,400 | $1.83 | 17d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 423 Pine Tree Ct #23 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $2,300 | $1.88 | 22d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 580 Tallulah Rd Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,500 | $3.33 | 22d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 6511 Seminole Dr Unit 2 Atlantis, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 845 | $2,150 | $2.54 | 5d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4350 Peregrine Way Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $2,704 | $2.64 | 2d | 18 | 0.80mi |
| 5056 Lantana Rd #4302 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 979 | $2,295 | $2.34 | 7d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 5048 Lantana Rd #5112 Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $2,200 | $1.97 | 7d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5064 Lantana Rd #6203 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 929 | $2,100 | $2.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 6909 Blue Skies Dr Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1293 | $2,600 | $2.01 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4951 Mallory St Unit 4951 Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1309 | $2,700 | $2.06 | 22d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4947 Grinnell St Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1309 | $2,850 | $2.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 7132 Colony Club Dr Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1087 | $2,510 | $2.31 | 2d | 14 | 1.11mi |
| 4725 Via Bari Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1150 | $2,290 | $1.99 | 3d | 10 | 1.15mi |
| 7398 Willow Springs Cir E Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $2,861 | $2.06 | 5d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5864 Strawberry Lakes Cir Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $2,825 | $2.60 | 5d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4863 Gulfstream Rd Lake Worth Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $2,200 | $2.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 6289 Lear Dr Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 792 | $1,975 | $2.49 | 15d | 2 | 1.43mi |
| 6289 Lear Dr #203 Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $2,200 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3884 Melaleuca Ln Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1407 | $2,750 | $1.95 | 7d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3920 Melaleuca Ln Unit 303 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1407 | $2,695 | $1.92 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 6175 Reflections Blvd Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 814 | $2,307 | $2.83 | 1d | 15 | 1.49mi |
| 4616 Villas Santorini Dr Unit 4653 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,450 | $2.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $1,270 · $15,240/yr
- Likely covers
- trashlandscapingpoolsecurity
Listing history 9 events
-
2025-10-06price $59,000
-
2025-09-26$64,000 Active
-
2024-08-09historical
-
2024-05-02status Active
-
2024-04-25status Pending
-
2024-04-25status Active
-
2024-04-24historical
-
2024-04-09price $67,000
-
2024-02-09$80,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,426
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$885
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,354
- − Management
- −$2,354
- − HOA
- −$15,240
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $3,276
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$786
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,327/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Atlantis
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #390
- US rank
- #6861
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,371
- Household income
- $73,997
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1852.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 14% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Spanish 20% French/Haitian/Cajun 16% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -295.48%
- Current HPI
- 361.5391
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.09%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-26.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-06 Price Changed $59,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-26 Listed $64,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-09 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2024-05-02 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2024-04-25 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2024-04-25 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2024-04-24 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2024-04-09 Price Changed $67,000 Beaches MLS
- 2024-02-09 Listed $80,000 Beaches MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…