222 Bridgewater Dr · Newport News, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.6/30.0
- Appreciation +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$187,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Back on the market through no fault of the seller! Freshly painted and ready for its next owner, this charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo in the Waters Ridge community offers approximately 1,500 sq. ft. of comfortable living space. The bright and spacious living area features cathedral ceilings, skylights, and a cozy wood-burning fireplace. The kitchen provides ample cabinet space and a functional layout, while the generously sized bedrooms offer comfort and convenience with access to two full baths. Relax outdoors on your private balcony. Amenities include a pool, clubhouse, playground, and well-maintained common areas. This home presents an opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or i
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Private balcony
- Community amenities
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Waters Ridge Condos association; Monthly HOA fee of $299; Association-managed (Advance Association Mgmt Group); Community amenities: boat slip, clubhouse, ground maintenance, playgrounds, pool, trash pickup
Exterior
- Parking: 2 assigned/reserved parking spaces
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater; Electric service
- Home design: Attached townhouse condo; 2 stories (2 living levels); Condo unit on level 1; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Brick and vinyl siding; Balcony
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on 2nd floor; At least one bedroom with ensuite; Additional bedroom on 1st floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air
- Interior features: Cathedral ceiling; Skylights; Fireplace (wood); Ceiling fan; Cable hookup; Walk-in closet
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Utility room on 1st floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $187k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-92 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (8.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (1.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $171k (8.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.2% in Newport News — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#123 in VA, #4,018 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: crime F, commute F.
- Newport News City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #112 of 131 in VA (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hilton Elementary (math 47% / reading 72%, grade B-, #536 of 1,108 statewide, top 51%, 382 students, 91% FRL); Woodside High (math 54% / reading 86%, grade B+, #151 of 319 statewide, top 49%, 1,807 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 55% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 65% at this address vs 44% district-wide (+21 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Newport News City Public School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 522 units permitted in Newport News city in 2024 (458 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
- Newport News County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $187k implies a 134% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.10%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $207,984
- List price
- $187,000
- Delta
- -10.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
2.14% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $8,474
- Equity at exit
- $75,142
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $49,464
- Equity at exit
- $109,280
Cash invested: $52,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23603
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 22
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,847 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$981
- Tax from tax record
- −$193 /mo · $2,315/yr
- Insurance
- −$78
- HOA
- −$299
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $-92
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $14 | -5% $-39 | +0% $-92 | +5% $-145 | +10% $-197 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-237 | -5% $-165 | +0% $-92 | +5% $-19 | +10% $54 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $3 | -0.5pp $-44 | base $-92 | +0.5pp $-140 | +1.0pp $-189 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,750
- Closing costs
- $5,610
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256 Misty Point Ln Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1570 | $1,895 | $1.21 | 2d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 626 Chelsea Pl Newport News, VA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1190 | $1,430 | $1.20 | 2d | 6 | 0.72mi |
| 181 Lees Mill Dr Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $2,499 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 203 Quarter Trl Unit F Newport News, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1167 | $1,375 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 100 Banbury Ct Unit 00 201302 Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $1,799 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 100 Banbury Ct Unit 00 202207 Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $1,909 | $1.56 | 8d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 100 Banbury Ct Unit 00 103308 Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $1,799 | $1.47 | 5d | 1 | 1.38mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $299 · $3,588/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $187,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18status $187,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-11$187,000 Active 779-char remark
-
2026-04-18historical
-
2026-04-03status Active
-
2026-03-22historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-06status Under Contract
-
2026-02-18status Active
-
2026-02-17historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-02-10status Under Contract
-
2026-01-22price $174,500
-
2025-11-19$180,000 Active
-
2019-05-11status Under Contract
-
2019-05-11price $89,813
-
2019-05-11price $89,573
-
2019-05-11price $88,398
-
2019-03-25price $83,600
-
2019-03-15status Active
-
2019-03-13status Under Contract
-
2019-03-06price $93,600
-
2019-02-14price $98,600
-
2018-11-28$98,000 Active
-
2001-10-01soldstatus $80,000
-
1993-03-11soldstatus $49,893
-
1991-08-01soldstatus $49,500
-
1986-07-10soldstatus $82,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,315 · $193/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,315 · $193/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,160
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,475
- − Property taxes
- −$2,315
- − Insurance
- −$935
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,773
- − Management
- −$1,773
- − HOA
- −$3,588
- − Depreciation
- −$5,440
- Taxable loss
- −$4,139
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$993
- After-tax cash flow
- $-106/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newport News City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102640
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -37.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,644
- Composite
- 37.7/100
- National rank
- #4360
- State rank
- #112 of 131 in VA
Livability — Newport News
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #123
- US rank
- #4018
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newport News, VA
- City population
- 178,950
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,428
Population outlook (Newport News County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 181,076 people
- By 2030
- 179,683 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 174,649 · -3.5%
- By 2050
- 167,407 · -7.5%
- By 2075
- 147,597 · -18.5%
- By 2100
- 122,144 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14% German/W. Germanic 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Newport News
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.8) · D 63.7% · R 34.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 28.7pp · 2024: 28.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.8 2020: D+32.9 2016: D+25.4 2012: D+30.0 2008: D+28.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.14%
- Current HPI
- 259.0921
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+126.7% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $187,000 REINMLS
- 2026-04-18 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2026-03-22 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2026-03-06 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-02-18 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2026-02-17 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2026-02-10 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-01-22 Price Changed $174,500 REINMLS
- 2025-11-19 Listed $180,000 REINMLS
- 2019-05-11 Pending — REINMLS
- 2019-05-11 Price Changed $89,573 REINMLS
- 2019-05-11 Price Changed $89,813 REINMLS
- 2019-05-11 Price Changed $88,398 REINMLS
- 2019-03-25 Price Changed $83,600 REINMLS
- 2019-03-15 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2019-03-13 Pending — REINMLS
- 2019-03-06 Price Changed $93,600 REINMLS
- 2019-02-14 Price Changed $98,600 REINMLS
- 2018-11-28 Listed $98,000 REINMLS
- 2001-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 1993-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $49,893 Public Records
- 1991-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
- 1986-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2026): $2,315 · +13.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…