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222 Bridgewater Dr
D+ Composite 49.19
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$187,000

222 Bridgewater Dr · Newport News, VA 23603
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,500 sqft · Condo public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1986 $125/sqft · 10% below area Est $208k · 10% under $299/mo HOA · 16% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Back on the market through no fault of the seller! Freshly painted and ready for its next owner, this charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo in the Waters Ridge community offers approximately 1,500 sq. ft. of comfortable living space. The bright and spacious living area features cathedral ceilings, skylights, and a cozy wood-burning fireplace. The kitchen provides ample cabinet space and a functional layout, while the generously sized bedrooms offer comfort and convenience with access to two full baths. Relax outdoors on your private balcony. Amenities include a pool, clubhouse, playground, and well-maintained common areas. This home presents an opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or i

Key facts

  • Clubhouse
  • Private balcony
  • Community amenities

Tags

PRIVATE BALCONYWOOD-BURNING FIREPLACECOMMUNITY AMENITIESPOOLCLUBHOUSEPLAYGROUND

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Waters Ridge Condos association; Monthly HOA fee of $299; Association-managed (Advance Association Mgmt Group); Community amenities: boat slip, clubhouse, ground maintenance, playgrounds, pool, trash pickup

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 assigned/reserved parking spaces
  • Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater; Electric service
  • Home design: Attached townhouse condo; 2 stories (2 living levels); Condo unit on level 1; Crawlspace foundation
  • Construction: Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Brick and vinyl siding; Balcony

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on 2nd floor; At least one bedroom with ensuite; Additional bedroom on 1st floor
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air
  • Interior features: Cathedral ceiling; Skylights; Fireplace (wood); Ceiling fan; Cable hookup; Walk-in closet
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Utility room on 1st floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $187k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-92 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (8.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (1.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $171k (8.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.2% in Newport News — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#123 in VA, #4,018 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: crime F, commute F.
  • Newport News City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #112 of 131 in VA (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hilton Elementary (math 47% / reading 72%, grade B-, #536 of 1,108 statewide, top 51%, 382 students, 91% FRL); Woodside High (math 54% / reading 86%, grade B+, #151 of 319 statewide, top 49%, 1,807 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 55% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 65% at this address vs 44% district-wide (+21 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Newport News City Public School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 522 units permitted in Newport News city in 2024 (458 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
  • Newport News County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $187k implies a 134% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $170,816 (8.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
5.71%
Cash-on-cash
-2.10%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$207,984
List price
$187,000
Delta
-10.09%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

2.14% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.0%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$8,474
Equity at exit
$75,142
10-year hold
IRR
6.8%
Equity multiple
1.94×
Total profit
$49,464
Equity at exit
$109,280

Cash invested: $52,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23603

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
22
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,847 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$981
Tax from tax record
$193 /mo · $2,315/yr
Insurance
$78
HOA
$299
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$388
Net cashflow
$-92

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,963
Max offer price $170,816
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $14 -5% $-39 +0% $-92 +5% $-145 +10% $-197
Rent -10% $-237 -5% $-165 +0% $-92 +5% $-19 +10% $54
Rate -1.0pp $3 -0.5pp $-44 base $-92 +0.5pp $-140 +1.0pp $-189

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,750
Closing costs
$5,610
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
256 Misty Point Ln Newport News, VA 3.0 3.0 1570 $1,895 $1.21 2d 1 0.17mi
626 Chelsea Pl Newport News, VA 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1190 $1,430 $1.20 2d 6 0.72mi
181 Lees Mill Dr Newport News, VA 3.0 2.0 1428 $2,499 $1.75 44d 1 1.27mi
203 Quarter Trl Unit F Newport News, VA 2.0 1.5 1167 $1,375 $1.18 44d 1 1.32mi
100 Banbury Ct Unit 00 201302 Newport News, VA 3.0 2.0 1222 $1,799 $1.47 44d 1 1.38mi
100 Banbury Ct Unit 00 202207 Newport News, VA 3.0 2.0 1222 $1,909 $1.56 8d 1 1.38mi
100 Banbury Ct Unit 00 103308 Newport News, VA 3.0 2.0 1222 $1,799 $1.47 5d 1 1.38mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$299 · $3,588/yr
Likely covers
waterpool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $187,000 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    status $187,000 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-05-11
    listed $187,000 Active 779-char remark
  4. 2026-04-18
    historical
  5. 2026-04-03
    status Active
  6. 2026-03-22
    historical Active Under Contract
  7. 2026-03-06
    status Under Contract
  8. 2026-02-18
    status Active
  9. 2026-02-17
    historical Active Under Contract
  10. 2026-02-10
    status Under Contract
  11. 2026-01-22
    price $174,500
  12. 2025-11-19
    listed $180,000 Active
  13. 2019-05-11
    status Under Contract
  14. 2019-05-11
    price $89,813
  15. 2019-05-11
    price $89,573
  16. 2019-05-11
    price $88,398
  17. 2019-03-25
    price $83,600
  18. 2019-03-15
    status Active
  19. 2019-03-13
    status Under Contract
  20. 2019-03-06
    price $93,600
  21. 2019-02-14
    price $98,600
  22. 2018-11-28
    listed $98,000 Active
  23. 2001-10-01
    soldstatus $80,000
  24. 1993-03-11
    soldstatus $49,893
  25. 1991-08-01
    soldstatus $49,500
  26. 1986-07-10
    soldstatus $82,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,315 · $193/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,315 · $193/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,160
− Mortgage interest
−$10,475
− Property taxes
−$2,315
− Insurance
−$935
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,773
− Management
−$1,773
− HOA
−$3,588
− Depreciation
−$5,440
Taxable loss
−$4,139
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$993
After-tax cash flow
$-106/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Newport News City Public School District
NCES district ID
5102640
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -37.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$49,644
Composite
37.7/100
National rank
#4360
State rank
#112 of 131 in VA

Livability — Newport News

Score
75/100
State rank
#123
US rank
#4018

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment C Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Newport News, VA
City population
178,950
Population (ZIP)
3,428

Population outlook (Newport News County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
181,076 people
By 2030
179,683 · -0.8%
By 2040
174,649 · -3.5%
By 2050
167,407 · -7.5%
By 2075
147,597 · -18.5%
By 2100
122,144 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 14% German/W. Germanic 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Newport News

2024 margin
Strong D (+28.8) · D 63.7% · R 34.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+0.1pp no change · 2008: 28.7pp · 2024: 28.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+28.8 2020: D+32.9 2016: D+25.4 2012: D+30.0 2008: D+28.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.14%
Current HPI
259.0921
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+126.7% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending REINMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $187,000 REINMLS
  • 2026-04-18 Listing Removed REINMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Relisted REINMLS
  • 2026-03-22 Contingent REINMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Pending REINMLS
  • 2026-02-18 Relisted REINMLS
  • 2026-02-17 Contingent REINMLS
  • 2026-02-10 Pending REINMLS
  • 2026-01-22 Price Changed $174,500 REINMLS
  • 2025-11-19 Listed $180,000 REINMLS
  • 2019-05-11 Pending REINMLS
  • 2019-05-11 Price Changed $89,573 REINMLS
  • 2019-05-11 Price Changed $89,813 REINMLS
  • 2019-05-11 Price Changed $88,398 REINMLS
  • 2019-03-25 Price Changed $83,600 REINMLS
  • 2019-03-15 Relisted REINMLS
  • 2019-03-13 Pending REINMLS
  • 2019-03-06 Price Changed $93,600 REINMLS
  • 2019-02-14 Price Changed $98,600 REINMLS
  • 2018-11-28 Listed $98,000 REINMLS
  • 2001-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 1993-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $49,893 Public Records
  • 1991-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
  • 1986-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,315 · +13.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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