8468 Minock St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$68,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This house is the perfect starter home or the ideal property to add to your rentals portfolio. Do not miss this great opportunity. Schedule your showing today.
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Built 1945
- Listed 81 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $370 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 363 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($31k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.29%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $46,775
- List price
- $68,000
- Delta
- 45.38%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8062 Grandville Ave | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 732 (-1%) | 6mo | $60,000 | $82 | 80 |
| 8411 Fielding St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 693 (-6%) | 1mo | $47,000 | $68 | 67 |
| 8645 Fielding St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 693 (-6%) | 2mo | $39,000 | $56 | 66 |
| 7282 Plainview Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 730 (-1%) | 1mo | $19,000 | $26 | 63 |
| 7313 Grandville Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 765 (+4%) | 0mo | $70,000 | $92 | 61 |
| 8863 Vaughan St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 800 (+8%) | 4mo | $58,500 | $73 | 61 |
| 7320 Westwood St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 738 (-0%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $156 | 60 |
| 9244 Heyden | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 801 (+8%) | 0mo | $35,000 | $44 | 59 |
| 7730 Braile St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 768 (+4%) | 2mo | $68,000 | $89 | 54 |
| 8848 Heyden St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 813 (+10%) | 7mo | $65,000 | $80 | 54 |
| 9109 Stahelin Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 836 (+13%) | 3mo | $25,000 | $30 | 51 |
| 7275 Auburn St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 803 (+9%) | 5mo | $60,000 | $75 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $9,370
- Equity at exit
- $10,139
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $26,299
- Equity at exit
- $5,879
Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48228
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 363
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,084 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$357
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,225/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $370
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,000
- Closing costs
- $2,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19301 Joy Rd Apt 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 7635 Evergreen Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,350 | $1.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 18401 Joy Rd Unit 8 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $875 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 20237 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $850 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 18450 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,117 | $1.62 | 2d | 15 | 0.89mi |
| 6980 Town Ln Dearborn Heights, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $895 | $1.49 | 17d | 1 | 1.09mi |
Listing history 32 events
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2026-06-18days on market $68,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $68,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $68,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $68,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $68,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $68,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $68,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $68,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $68,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $68,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $68,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $68,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $68,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-05-13status Active 159-char remark
Show marketing remark (159 chars)
This house is the perfect starter home or the ideal property to add to your rentals portfolio. Do not miss this great opportunity. Schedule your showing today.
-
2026-05-12historical 159-char remark
Show marketing remark (159 chars)
This house is the perfect starter home or the ideal property to add to your rentals portfolio. Do not miss this great opportunity. Schedule your showing today.
-
2026-04-25status Active 159-char remark
Show marketing remark (159 chars)
This house is the perfect starter home or the ideal property to add to your rentals portfolio. Do not miss this great opportunity. Schedule your showing today.
-
2026-04-24historical 159-char remark
Show marketing remark (159 chars)
This house is the perfect starter home or the ideal property to add to your rentals portfolio. Do not miss this great opportunity. Schedule your showing today.
-
2026-03-28$68,000 Active 159-char remark
Show marketing remark (159 chars)
This house is the perfect starter home or the ideal property to add to your rentals portfolio. Do not miss this great opportunity. Schedule your showing today.
-
2026-03-28$68,000 Active 159-char remark
Show marketing remark (159 chars)
This house is the perfect starter home or the ideal property to add to your rentals portfolio. Do not miss this great opportunity. Schedule your showing today.
-
2026-02-11historical
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2026-02-11historical
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2025-12-02$86,500 Active
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2025-12-02$86,500 Active
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2025-09-25historical
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2025-09-25historical
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2025-05-07price $88,500
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2025-05-06price $88,500
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2025-04-24$70,000 Active
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2025-04-24$70,000 Active
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2019-05-06soldstatus $50,000
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2010-04-30soldstatus $5,000
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2010-03-30$4,275
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,225 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,225 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,011
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,809
- − Property taxes
- −$1,225
- − Insurance
- −$340
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,041
- − Management
- −$1,041
- − Depreciation
- −$1,978
- Taxable income
- $3,578
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$859
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,577/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,117
- Household income
- $30,680
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4144.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -160.81%
- Current HPI
- 168.6843
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.30%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+1490.6% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-12 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-25 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-24 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-28 Listed $68,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-28 Listed $68,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-11 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-11 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-12-02 Listed $86,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-02 Listed $86,500 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-25 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-09-25 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-07 Price Changed $88,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-06 Price Changed $88,500 REALCOMP
- 2025-04-24 Listed $70,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-04-24 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2010-04-30 Sold (MLS) $5,000 REALCOMP
- 2010-03-30 Listed $4,275 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,225 · -8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…