135 Hillview Dr #19 · Fairfield Bay, AR
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GORGEOUS & Updated 2 yrs. ago and ready for a new owner. Nothing needed except your own beautiful furniture and decor items, and you're ready to enjoy. This 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath on 2 levels is near the private association pool. Open floorplan in living/dining/kitchen. The kitchen has been completely remodeled with new counter tops, oak cabinets, wainscot, & great appliances. Both baths are also updated, and the full bath has a walk-in shower. One BR has an office/TV nook with built-in desk and cabinets. Master BR has built-in drawers to allow for more floor space, plus a built-in ironing board. New flooring is vinyl plank & carpet. New doors, windows and light fixtures. This beauty has a patio that overlooks a wooded area. Come look at this one. Everything is Super nice!! Centrally located for enjoying amenities, shopping, restaurants, banks, etc. Quick Possession.
Key facts
- $358 HOA
- Pool
- Built 1975
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Green features include tankless water heater, high-efficiency HVAC (14+ SEER), and programmable thermostat; Insulated windows and doors
- Financial info: Financing options: Conventional loan, cash, or in-house financing
- HOA & community: Monthly association fees include insurance, water/sewer, building exterior, termite contract, grounds, garbage, private roads and other items; Primary monthly fee listed
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking
- Utilities: Public water; Community sewer; Electric via co-op; Internet (fiber)
- Home design: Condo in Lakewood Hills subdivision; Located inside city limits; Near Greers Ferry Lake and Little Red River
- Construction: Metal/vinyl siding exterior; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Patio; Guttering; Pool on property; Paved road access; Wooded and cleared lot in subdivision; Near river/lake area
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing stove / electric range; Microwave; Pantry; Refrigerator included
- Bedrooms: Bonus room
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Washer and dryer included (washer and dryer connections present); Electric water heater; Window treatments; Walk-in closet(s); Ceiling fan(s); Quartz kitchen countertops; Sheetrock walls and ceilings
- Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Dryer connection (electric)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $99k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $538 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 5.3% in Fairfield Bay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#220 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Shirley School District (rural): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #132 of 245 in AR (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 259 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 16 units permitted in Van Buren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $212 of equity ($684 loan paydown + $-472 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
- Van Buren County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.28%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $94,811
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- 4.42%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135 Hillview Dr #101 | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 1,117 (0%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $67 | 99 |
| 135 Hillview Dr #116 | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 1,117 (0%) | 2mo | $98,000 | $88 | 98 |
| 135 Hillview Dr #6 | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 1,133 (+1%) | 8mo | $98,000 | $86 | 90 |
| 135 Hillview #52 | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 1,117 (0%) | 14mo | $89,000 | $80 | 88 |
| 135 Hillview Dr #82 | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 1,179 (+6%) | 10mo | $79,900 | $68 | 82 |
| 120 Shorthaven Ln | 0.27mi | 2/1.5 | 1,102 (-1%) | 13mo | $125,000 | $113 | 74 |
| 134 Richwood Dr #3 | 0.43mi | 1/2.0 (-1) | 1,095 (-2%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $78 | 69 |
| 118 Richwood Dr #49 | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 1,218 (+9%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $66 | 66 |
| 125 Chelsea Dr #33 | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 | 1,156 (+4%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $160 | 50 |
| 104 Chelsea Dr #42 | 0.58mi | 2/2.5 | 1,066 (-5%) | 14mo | $99,000 | $93 | 49 |
| 134 Richwood Dr #12 | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 1,272 (+14%) | 12mo | $132,500 | $104 | 44 |
| 134 Richwood Dr #11 | 0.43mi | 1/2.0 (-1) | 970 (-13%) | 18mo | $89,500 | $92 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.48% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $29,413
- Equity at exit
- $26,411
- IRR
- 27.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.93×
- Total profit
- $81,298
- Equity at exit
- $29,938
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72088
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 259
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$358
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $538
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 Set Ct Fairfield Bay, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $358 · $4,296/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-17statusdays on market $99,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Price Change 37 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Price Change 36 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $99,000 Price Change 34 DOM
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2026-06-12pricestatusdays on market $99,000 Price Change 33 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $110,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-09$110,000 New Listing 1147-char remark
-
2025-11-22historical
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2025-06-06$109,000 New Listing
-
2024-03-28status Under Contract
Show marketing remark (894 chars)
GORGEOUS & Updated 2 yrs. ago and ready for a new owner. Nothing needed except your own beautiful furniture and decor items, and you're ready to enjoy. This 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath on 2 levels is near the private association pool. Open floorplan in living/dining/kitchen. The kitchen has been completely remodeled with new counter tops, oak cabinets, wainscot, & great appliances. Both baths are also updated, and the full bath has a walk-in shower. One BR has an office/TV nook with built-in desk and cabinets. Master BR has built-in drawers to allow for more floor space, plus a built-in ironing board. New flooring is vinyl plank & carpet. New doors, windows and light fixtures. This beauty has a patio that overlooks a wooded area. Come look at this one. Everything is Super nice!! Centrally located for enjoying amenities, shopping, restaurants, banks, etc. Quick Possession.
-
2024-03-28soldstatus $105,000 Sold
Show marketing remark (894 chars)
GORGEOUS & Updated 2 yrs. ago and ready for a new owner. Nothing needed except your own beautiful furniture and decor items, and you're ready to enjoy. This 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath on 2 levels is near the private association pool. Open floorplan in living/dining/kitchen. The kitchen has been completely remodeled with new counter tops, oak cabinets, wainscot, & great appliances. Both baths are also updated, and the full bath has a walk-in shower. One BR has an office/TV nook with built-in desk and cabinets. Master BR has built-in drawers to allow for more floor space, plus a built-in ironing board. New flooring is vinyl plank & carpet. New doors, windows and light fixtures. This beauty has a patio that overlooks a wooded area. Come look at this one. Everything is Super nice!! Centrally located for enjoying amenities, shopping, restaurants, banks, etc. Quick Possession.
-
2024-03-01$109,500 New Listing
Show marketing remark (894 chars)
GORGEOUS & Updated 2 yrs. ago and ready for a new owner. Nothing needed except your own beautiful furniture and decor items, and you're ready to enjoy. This 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath on 2 levels is near the private association pool. Open floorplan in living/dining/kitchen. The kitchen has been completely remodeled with new counter tops, oak cabinets, wainscot, & great appliances. Both baths are also updated, and the full bath has a walk-in shower. One BR has an office/TV nook with built-in desk and cabinets. Master BR has built-in drawers to allow for more floor space, plus a built-in ironing board. New flooring is vinyl plank & carpet. New doors, windows and light fixtures. This beauty has a patio that overlooks a wooded area. Come look at this one. Everything is Super nice!! Centrally located for enjoying amenities, shopping, restaurants, banks, etc. Quick Possession.
-
2023-12-09historical
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2023-10-04$114,500 New Listing
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2018-06-20soldstatus $45,000 Sold
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2018-05-09status Under Contract
-
2018-04-23$49,900 New Listing
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,485
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,920
- − Management
- −$1,920
- − HOA
- −$4,296
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $5,458
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,310
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,144/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in-ready two-level condo in Lakewood Hills offers stylish updates and a fantastic location. The open-concept living, dining, and kitchen areas create a warm and inviting space perfect for entertaining or relaxing.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace outdoor lighting fixtures — Improves safety and aesthetics
- Both Install new outdoor carpet — Enhances comfort and appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace outdoor lighting fixtures — Improves safety and aesthetics ↑
- Both Install new outdoor carpet — Enhances comfort and appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shirley School District
- NCES district ID
- 0512420
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,296
- Composite
- 37.98/100
- National rank
- #8669
- State rank
- #132 of 245 in AR
Livability — Fairfield Bay
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #220
- US rank
- #16778
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fairfield Bay, AR
- City population
- 2,264
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,264
Population outlook (Van Buren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,459 people
- By 2030
- 14,645 · -5.3%
- By 2040
- 12,918 · -16.4%
- By 2050
- 11,263 · -27.1%
- By 2075
- 7,870 · -49.1%
- By 2100
- 4,918 · -68.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Van Buren
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.2) · D 18.9% · R 79.0% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.5pp toward R · 2008: -31.7pp · 2024: -60.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.2 2020: R+56.9 2016: R+53.9 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+31.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.48%
- Current HPI
- 238.2694
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+98.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Price Changed $99,000 CARMLS
- 2026-05-09 Listed $110,000 CARMLS
- 2025-11-22 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2025-06-06 Listed $109,000 CARMLS
- 2024-03-28 Pending — CARMLS
- 2024-03-28 Sold (MLS) $105,000 CARMLS
- 2024-03-01 Listed $109,500 CARMLS
- 2023-12-09 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2023-10-04 Listed $114,500 CARMLS
- 2018-06-20 Sold (MLS) $45,000 CARMLS
- 2018-05-09 Pending — CARMLS
- 2018-04-23 Listed $49,900 CARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…