13004 Wilfred St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.9/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$77,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
.. .
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1926
- Listed 261 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $77k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $579 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $77k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 192 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,359/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1202% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $532 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 262 days — a 12% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $6k; list at $77k implies a 1085% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 262 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.21%
- DSCR
- 2.43
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $77,756
- List price
- $77,000
- Delta
- -0.97%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14210 Wilfred St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,264 (-6%) | 0mo | $17,000 | $13 | 74 |
| 13423 Kilbourne St | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,450 (+7%) | 8mo | $113,000 | $78 | 66 |
| 13312 Jane St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,190 (-12%) | 6mo | $124,000 | $104 | 65 |
| 13124 Flanders St | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (-15%) | 0mo | $115,000 | $100 | 65 |
| 12737 Promenade St | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+6%) | 7mo | $50,000 | $35 | 59 |
| 12304 Rosemary St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,480 (+10%) | 6mo | $22,000 | $15 | 58 |
| 12328 Longview St | 0.65mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,400 (+4%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $61 | 58 |
| 14434 Houston Whittier St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,264 (-6%) | 6mo | $7,000 | $6 | 56 |
| 14434 Houston Whittier St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,264 (-6%) | 6mo | $7,000 | $6 | 56 |
| 13334 Elmdale St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,221 (-10%) | 3mo | $89,254 | $73 | 51 |
| 11833 Wilfred St | 0.74mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,340 (-1%) | 8mo | $100,000 | $75 | 51 |
| 12019 Sanford St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,149 (-15%) | 2mo | $31,500 | $27 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $24,374
- Equity at exit
- $11,481
- IRR
- 34.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.19×
- Total profit
- $68,671
- Equity at exit
- $6,658
Cash invested: $21,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48213
- Active inventory
- 192
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,359 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$404
- Tax from tax record
- −$59 /mo · $712/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $579
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $622 | -5% $600 | +0% $579 | +5% $557 | +10% $535 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $471 | -5% $525 | +0% $579 | +5% $632 | +10% $686 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $617 | -0.5pp $598 | base $579 | +0.5pp $559 | +1.0pp $538 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,250
- Closing costs
- $2,310
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 39 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12840 Kilbourne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,350 | $1.19 | 19d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 12740 August St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 6d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 14201 Mayfield St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1296 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 13400 Longview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,400 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 12112 Christy St Unit 12110 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 12051 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $1,250 | $1.02 | 18d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 12110 Christy St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 18d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 12210 Longview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,100 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 8205 E Outer Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1874 | $1,400 | $0.75 | 18d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 11765 Glenfield Ave Unit 1510880P Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $3,102 | $3.13 | 15d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 15000 Mayfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $970 | $0.85 | 18d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 13218 Greiner St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1162 | $1,195 | $1.03 | 19d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 11171 Charlemagne Ave Unit A Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1598 | $1,200 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 11785 Nashville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,450 | $1.07 | 4d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 11760 Nashville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 18d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 15010 Cedargrove St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1018 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 11700 Engleside St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,175 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 10813 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1392 | $1,350 | $0.97 | 18d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 10724 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1425 | $1,550 | $1.09 | 19d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 9755 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 4d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 10644 Stratman St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 18d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 12651 Kelly Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1680 | $1,150 | $0.68 | 12d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 12655 Kelly Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1680 | $1,150 | $0.68 | 12d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5966 Eastlawn St Unit NA Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1366 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 11018 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,450 | $1.27 | 12d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 17851 Strasburg St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,100 | $1.02 | 18d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 9168 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1274 | $1,300 | $1.02 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,000 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 17241 Rowe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1316 | $1,450 | $1.10 | 18d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 18624 Fairport St Unit NA Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,450 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 9400 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,150 | $0.88 | 6d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 9927 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,375 | $1.46 | 16d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 9984 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1222 | $1,575 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 15494 Mapleridge St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $1,275 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 18703 Waltham St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 18681 Barlow St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1041 | $1,400 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 11074 Kennebec St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 10803 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $900 | $0.78 | 21d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $77,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $77,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $77,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $77,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $77,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $77,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $77,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $77,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $77,000 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $77,000 Active 245 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $77,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $77,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $77,000 Active 241 DOM
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2025-10-02$77,000 Active 4-char remark
Show marketing remark (4 chars)
.. .
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2025-10-02$77,000 Active 4-char remark
Show marketing remark (4 chars)
.. .
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2007-12-19soldstatus $6,500
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2007-12-19soldstatus $6,500
-
2007-12-07historical
-
2007-08-28$6,500
-
2007-08-02historical
-
2007-03-01$6,500
-
2007-03-01$13,205
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2005-09-01historical
-
2005-09-01historical
-
2005-02-28$68,900
-
2005-02-28$68,900
-
2005-02-15soldstatus $71,000
-
2003-03-18soldstatus $31,400
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2003-03-18soldstatus $31,400
-
2003-03-01historical
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2002-12-05$33,900
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2002-12-03$33,900
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2001-05-09soldstatus $57,765
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2000-07-31soldstatus $21,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $712 · $59/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $949 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- +$237/yr (+$20/mo · 33.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,312
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,313
- − Property taxes
- −$712
- − Insurance
- −$385
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,305
- − Management
- −$1,305
- − Depreciation
- −$2,240
- Taxable income
- $6,052
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,452
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,491/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,075
- Household income
- $34,003
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1202.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 92% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Arabic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.86%
- Current HPI
- 217.2037
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+266.7% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-02 Listed $77,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-02 Listed $77,000 REALCOMP
- 2007-12-19 Sold (MLS) $6,500 REALCOMP
- 2007-12-19 Sold (MLS) $6,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-12-07 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-08-28 Listed $6,500 REALCOMP
- 2007-08-02 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-03-01 Listed $13,205 REALCOMP
- 2007-03-01 Listed $6,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-09-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-09-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2005-02-28 Listed $68,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-02-28 Listed $68,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
- 2003-03-18 Sold (MLS) $31,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-03-18 Sold (MLS) $31,400 REALCOMP
- 2003-03-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-12-05 Listed $33,900 REALCOMP
- 2002-12-03 Listed $33,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $57,765 Public Records
- 2000-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $712 · -53.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…