1125 E 400 S · Knox, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$82,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
country location on 1 acre. 3 bed, 1.5 bath mobile home. Kitchen and baths have been updated. The newer shed is not included
Key facts
- Updated baths
- Newer shed
- 1 acre
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $82k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $739 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $82k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 3.8% in Knox — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#583 in IN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D-, amenities F.
- Knox Community School Corporation (town): math 27% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #242 of 301 in IN (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Starke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $567 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Starke County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.65%
- DSCR
- 2.72
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $117,000
- List price
- $82,000
- Delta
- -29.91%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1520 E 400 S | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 924 (-6%) | 4mo | $117,000 | $127 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.47×
- Total profit
- $33,832
- Equity at exit
- $12,226
- IRR
- 41.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.93×
- Total profit
- $90,204
- Equity at exit
- $7,090
Cash invested: $22,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46534
- Home prices YoY
- -19.2%
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,653 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$430
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$102 /mo · $1,230/yr
- Insurance
- −$34
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$347
- Net cashflow
- $739
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $796 | -5% $768 | +0% $739 | +5% $711 | +10% $683 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $609 | -5% $674 | +0% $739 | +5% $805 | +10% $870 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $781 | -0.5pp $760 | base $739 | +0.5pp $718 | +1.0pp $697 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,500
- Closing costs
- $2,460
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $82,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $82,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $82,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $82,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $82,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $82,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $82,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $82,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $82,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $82,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $82,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $82,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $82,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $82,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $82,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $82,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $82,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-03-15$82,000 Active 124-char remark
Show marketing remark (126 chars)
Country location, 3-bedroom, 1.5 bath mobile home on 1 acre. Kitchen and bathrooms have been updated. newer shed to be removed
-
2026-03-15$82,000 Active 126-char remark
Show marketing remark (126 chars)
Country location, 3-bedroom, 1.5 bath mobile home on 1 acre. Kitchen and bathrooms have been updated. newer shed to be removed
-
2023-04-17soldstatus $65,000 Closed
-
2023-03-10historical Active Under Contract
-
2023-03-06$69,900 Active
-
2022-10-25soldstatus $64,900 Closed
-
2022-10-25soldstatus $64,900 Closed
-
2022-10-02historical Active Under Contract
-
2022-10-02historical Active Under Contract
-
2022-09-29$64,900 Active
-
2022-09-29$64,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,840
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,593
- − Property taxes
- −$1,230
- − Insurance
- −$410
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,587
- − Management
- −$1,587
- − Depreciation
- −$2,385
- Taxable income
- $8,047
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,931
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,942/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Knox Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1805340
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,955
- Composite
- 25.64/100
- National rank
- #7401
- State rank
- #242 of 301 in IN
Livability — Knox
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #583
- US rank
- #20938
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 11,029
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,029
Population outlook (Starke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,860 people
- By 2030
- 21,024 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 19,041 · -12.9%
- By 2050
- 16,881 · -22.8%
- By 2075
- 11,880 · -45.7%
- By 2100
- 7,217 · -67.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Starke
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.2% · R 75.3% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -55.3pp toward R · 2008: 3.2pp · 2024: -52.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.0 2020: R+46.8 2016: R+42.0 2012: R+10.6 2008: D+3.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.15%
- Current HPI
- 244.2216
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+26.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-15 Listed $82,000 IRMLS
- 2026-03-15 Listed $82,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-17 Sold (MLS) $65,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-10 Contingent — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-06 Listed $69,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-25 Sold (MLS) $64,900 IRMLS
- 2022-10-25 Sold (MLS) $64,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-02 Contingent — IRMLS
- 2022-10-02 Contingent — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-29 Listed $64,900 IRMLS
- 2022-09-29 Listed $64,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-14.7%/yrLatest (2022): $66 · -35.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…