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69 Santa Maria St
B+ Composite 75.87
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$58,000

69 Santa Maria St · Palm Springs, CA 92264
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 750 sqft · Manufactured · 163 Days on market
Built 1962 Est $85k · 32% under $503/mo HOA · 21% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Priced to Sell Quickly -- Motivated Seller! Bring Your Offers. This mobile home is a fixer upper with great potential for buyers to add modern updates and personal touches. Located in Safari Park, a welcoming 55+ community, residents enjoy a variety of amenities and vibrant social opportunities that make living in Palm Springs truly special. The home features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom and is conveniently situated near community amenities. Take in panoramic mountain views while enjoying a low monthly space lease of just $514 in the rent-controlled section of the park -- including water, sewer, and trash

Key facts

  • Great low lot lease
  • Garage
  • Built 1962

Tags

PANORAMIC MOUNTAIN VIEWSGREAT LOW LOT LEASEWATER SEWER TRASH INCLUDED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $58k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $957 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $58k).
  • Recommended offer: $51k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 26.1% vs local median 2.7% in Palm Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#348 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 492 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $401 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $51,040 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.06%
Cap rate
26.10%
Cash-on-cash
70.74%
DSCR
4.15
GRM
2.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$84,750
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
117 Safari Park Dr 0.09mi 2/1.0 760 (+1%) 6mo $86,000 $113 89
119 Camarillo St 0.10mi 1/1.0 (-1) 750 (0%) 6mo $69,000 $92 85
192 Malibu 0.08mi 2/1.0 720 (-4%) 9mo $70,000 $97 82
70 Santa Monica St 0.12mi 1/1.0 (-1) 751 (+0%) 11mo $114,000 $152 80
16 Carmel Dr 0.12mi 1/1.0 (-1) 750 (0%) 15mo $65,000 $87 76
47 Santa Maria St 0.11mi 2/2.0 800 (+7%) 9mo $90,000 $113 73
45 Santa Ana 0.03mi 2/2.0 720 (-4%) 20mo $125,000 $174 71
22 Jupiter St 0.35mi 2/1.5 660 (-12%) 2mo $57,000 $86 60
127 Mars St 0.25mi 2/2.0 820 (+9%) 17mo $150,000 $183 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
65.8%
Equity multiple
3.77×
Total profit
$45,016
Equity at exit
$8,648
10-year hold
IRR
68.8%
Equity multiple
6.69×
Total profit
$92,431
Equity at exit
$5,015

Cash invested: $16,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92264

Rents YoY
-0.4%
Active inventory
492
Price-to-rent
2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,356 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$304
Tax est. 1.5%
$72 /mo · $870/yr
Insurance
$24
HOA
$503
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$495
Net cashflow
$957

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,144
Max offer price $58,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,500
Closing costs
$1,740
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1700 S Araby Dr Palm Springs, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 871 $2,682 $3.08 2d 3 0.67mi
2540 S Araby Dr Palm Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 678 $2,900 $4.28 44d 1 0.77mi
5225 E Waverly Dr #66 Palm Springs, CA 1.0 2.0 887 $3,600 $4.06 44d 1 0.79mi
5300 E Waverly Dr Unit C4 Palm Springs, CA 2.0 1.5 768 $1,900 $2.47 3d 1 0.86mi
5301 E Waverly Dr #192 Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 979 $2,300 $2.35 24d 1 0.91mi
5301 E Waverly Dr #120 Palm Springs, CA 1.0 2.0 887 $2,800 $3.16 44d 1 0.91mi
5300 E Waverly Dr Palm Springs, CA 1.0–2.0 1.5–2.0 768 $1,900 $2.47 24d 2 0.95mi
5301 E Waverly Dr Palm Springs, CA 1.0–2.0 2.0 933 $2,300 $2.47 15d 2 0.99mi
5301 E Waverly Dr Palm Springs, CA 1.0–2.0 2.0 933 $2,300 $2.47 18d 2 0.99mi
2800 Lawrence Crossley Rd Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 905 $2,022 $2.23 44d 1 1.09mi
2700 Lawrence Crossley Rd #18 Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 885 $2,050 $2.32 18d 1 1.10mi
2700 Lawrence Crossley Rd Unit B15 Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 885 $1,950 $2.20 44d 1 1.10mi
2010 Lawrence Crossley Rd Unit 8 Palm Springs, CA 2.0 1.5 993 $1,895 $1.91 14d 1 1.38mi
587 El Placer Rd Palm Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 550 $1,750 $3.18 44d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$503 · $6,036/yr
Likely covers
watersewertrash

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-03-28
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-18
    price $58,000
  3. 2025-10-27
    price $62,000
  4. 2025-09-20
    listed $65,000 Active
  5. 2009-06-23
    historical
  6. 2009-04-08
    price $19,500
  7. 2009-03-07
    listed $22,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,271
− Mortgage interest
−$3,249
− Property taxes
−$870
− Insurance
−$290
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,262
− Management
−$2,262
− HOA
−$6,036
− Depreciation
−$1,687
Taxable income
$11,615
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,788
After-tax cash flow
$8,701/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Springs Unified
NCES district ID
0629550
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,638
Composite
26.76/100
National rank
#7131
State rank
#328 of 517 in CA

Livability — Palm Springs

Score
66/100
State rank
#348
US rank
#11850

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Palm Springs, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
46,786
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
19,899
Household income
$77,688
Rent vs Own
31.2% rent · 68.8% own
Severe rent burden
1215.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 12% Asian 6% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 13% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -489.04%
Current HPI
357.0969
Rent YoY
▼ -0.43%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+163.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-28 Pending GPSMLS
  • 2026-01-18 Price Changed $58,000 GPSMLS
  • 2025-10-27 Price Changed $62,000 GPSMLS
  • 2025-09-20 Listed $65,000 GPSMLS
  • 2009-06-23 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2009-04-08 Price Changed $19,500 GPSMLS
  • 2009-03-07 Listed $22,000 GPSMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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