69 Santa Maria St · Palm Springs, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$58,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Priced to Sell Quickly -- Motivated Seller! Bring Your Offers. This mobile home is a fixer upper with great potential for buyers to add modern updates and personal touches. Located in Safari Park, a welcoming 55+ community, residents enjoy a variety of amenities and vibrant social opportunities that make living in Palm Springs truly special. The home features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom and is conveniently situated near community amenities. Take in panoramic mountain views while enjoying a low monthly space lease of just $514 in the rent-controlled section of the park -- including water, sewer, and trash
Key facts
- Great low lot lease
- Garage
- Built 1962
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $58k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $957 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $58k).
- Recommended offer: $51k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.1% vs local median 2.7% in Palm Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#348 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 492 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $401 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 70.74%
- DSCR
- 4.15
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $84,750
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 117 Safari Park Dr | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 760 (+1%) | 6mo | $86,000 | $113 | 89 |
| 119 Camarillo St | 0.10mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 750 (0%) | 6mo | $69,000 | $92 | 85 |
| 192 Malibu | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-4%) | 9mo | $70,000 | $97 | 82 |
| 70 Santa Monica St | 0.12mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 751 (+0%) | 11mo | $114,000 | $152 | 80 |
| 16 Carmel Dr | 0.12mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 750 (0%) | 15mo | $65,000 | $87 | 76 |
| 47 Santa Maria St | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (+7%) | 9mo | $90,000 | $113 | 73 |
| 45 Santa Ana | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 720 (-4%) | 20mo | $125,000 | $174 | 71 |
| 22 Jupiter St | 0.35mi | 2/1.5 | 660 (-12%) | 2mo | $57,000 | $86 | 60 |
| 127 Mars St | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 820 (+9%) | 17mo | $150,000 | $183 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 65.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.77×
- Total profit
- $45,016
- Equity at exit
- $8,648
- IRR
- 68.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.69×
- Total profit
- $92,431
- Equity at exit
- $5,015
Cash invested: $16,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92264
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 492
- Price-to-rent
- 2.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,356 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$304
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$72 /mo · $870/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$503
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$495
- Net cashflow
- $957
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,500
- Closing costs
- $1,740
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1700 S Araby Dr Palm Springs, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 871 | $2,682 | $3.08 | 2d | 3 | 0.67mi |
| 2540 S Araby Dr Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 678 | $2,900 | $4.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5225 E Waverly Dr #66 Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 2.0 | 887 | $3,600 | $4.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5300 E Waverly Dr Unit C4 Palm Springs, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 768 | $1,900 | $2.47 | 3d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 5301 E Waverly Dr #192 Palm Springs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 979 | $2,300 | $2.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5301 E Waverly Dr #120 Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 2.0 | 887 | $2,800 | $3.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5300 E Waverly Dr Palm Springs, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 768 | $1,900 | $2.47 | 24d | 2 | 0.95mi |
| 5301 E Waverly Dr Palm Springs, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 2.0 | 933 | $2,300 | $2.47 | 15d | 2 | 0.99mi |
| 5301 E Waverly Dr Palm Springs, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 2.0 | 933 | $2,300 | $2.47 | 18d | 2 | 0.99mi |
| 2800 Lawrence Crossley Rd Palm Springs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 905 | $2,022 | $2.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2700 Lawrence Crossley Rd #18 Palm Springs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 885 | $2,050 | $2.32 | 18d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2700 Lawrence Crossley Rd Unit B15 Palm Springs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 885 | $1,950 | $2.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2010 Lawrence Crossley Rd Unit 8 Palm Springs, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 993 | $1,895 | $1.91 | 14d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 587 El Placer Rd Palm Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,750 | $3.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $503 · $6,036/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrash
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-03-28status Pending
-
2026-01-18price $58,000
-
2025-10-27price $62,000
-
2025-09-20$65,000 Active
-
2009-06-23historical
-
2009-04-08price $19,500
-
2009-03-07$22,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,271
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,249
- − Property taxes
- −$870
- − Insurance
- −$290
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,262
- − Management
- −$2,262
- − HOA
- −$6,036
- − Depreciation
- −$1,687
- Taxable income
- $11,615
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,788
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,701/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Springs Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629550
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,638
- Composite
- 26.76/100
- National rank
- #7131
- State rank
- #328 of 517 in CA
Livability — Palm Springs
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #348
- US rank
- #11850
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palm Springs, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 46,786
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,899
- Household income
- $77,688
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1215.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 12% Asian 6% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 13% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -489.04%
- Current HPI
- 357.0969
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.43%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+163.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-28 Pending — GPSMLS
- 2026-01-18 Price Changed $58,000 GPSMLS
- 2025-10-27 Price Changed $62,000 GPSMLS
- 2025-09-20 Listed $65,000 GPSMLS
- 2009-06-23 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2009-04-08 Price Changed $19,500 GPSMLS
- 2009-03-07 Listed $22,000 GPSMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…